BG Pathum United vs Rayong FC — Thai League 1
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BG Pathum United and Rayong FC meet in the Thai League 1 2026 season on 8 November 2026. BG Pathum United have recorded 3 wins from 12 matches this season (25% win rate), averaging 1.42 goals scored and 1.42 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 58% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. Rayong FC have won 43% of their 7 matches, with 1.57 goals scored and 1.71 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 86%, Over 2.5 at 57%, and clean sheets at 14%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.05 for BG Pathum United and 1.53 for Rayong FC. The models give BG Pathum United a 52% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an Rayong FC win at 26%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 69% and BTTS at 68%.
Season Statistics
BG Pathum United—
Rayong FC7º
Position
9º
1.50
PPG
1.33
33%
Win %
33%
1.50
Goals / game
1.50
1.17
Conceded / game
1.83
58%
BTTS %
86%
25%
Clean sheet %
14%
50%
Over 2.5 %
57%
3.8
Avg corners
3.3
13.3
Avg shots
11.5
3.7
Avg shots on target
4.0
2.0
Avg yellow cards
1.5
12.2
Avg fouls
10.5
52.8%
Avg possession
35.8%
Home vs Away
BG Pathum United
Home (3)
—
Rayong FC
Away (3)
2.33
PPG
1.00
67%
Win %
33%
2.00
Goals / game
2.00
1.00
Conceded / game
3.00
67%
BTTS %
100%
17%
Clean sheet %
0%
67%
Over 2.5 %
100%
3.8
Avg corners
3.3
13.3
Avg shots
11.5
3.7
Avg shots on target
4.0
2.0
Avg yellow cards
1.5
52.8%
Avg possession
35.8%
Goals Scored
| BG Pathum | Home | Away | Rayong FC | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 75% | 83% | 67% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 33% | 33% | 33% | 43% | 0% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 17% | 17% | 17% | 14% | 0% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 17% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| BG Pathum | Home | Away | Rayong FC | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 75% | 83% | 67% | 86% | 67% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 42% | 67% | 17% | 43% | 0% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 25% | 33% | 17% | 29% | 0% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 25% | 17% | 33% | 14% | 33% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| BG Pathum | Rayong FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 83% | 86% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 57% |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 43% |
| Over 4.5 | 25% | 43% |
| BTTS | 58% | 86% |
| BTTS & Win | 8% | 29% |
| BTTS & Draw | 25% | 29% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 33% | 57% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 17% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| BG Pathum | Rayong FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 25% | 29% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 43% |
| Loss 1st Half | 42% | 29% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 43% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 67% | 43% |
| Win 2nd Half | 42% | 43% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 29% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 25% | 29% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 86% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 33% | 71% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 92% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 50% | 29% |
Recent Venue Form
BG Pathum (H)W
Chiangrai United2–0
Chiangrai United2–0L
Adelaide United1–2
Adelaide United1–2D
Ayutthaya FC1–1
Ayutthaya FC1–1W
Rasi Salai United3–2
Rasi Salai United3–2L
Aston Villa1–3
Aston Villa1–3L
Buriram United0–3
Buriram United0–3Rayong FC (A)L
Port FC1–4
Port FC1–4W
Thap Luang United2–1
Thap Luang United2–1LBuriram United2–3
Buriram United2–3W
Chonburi FC3–2
Chonburi FC3–2L
Ratchaburi1–6
Ratchaburi1–6L
Uthai Thani1–4
Uthai Thani1–4Number of Corners
8.2
Corners / Match
6 games
League Avg
10.5
27 games
9.3
Corners / Match
4 games
| Match Corners | BG Pathum | Rayong FC | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 50% | 50% | 81% |
| Over 7 | 50% | 50% | 70% |
| Over 8 | 50% | 50% | 67% |
| Over 9 | 33% | 50% | 52% |
| Over 10 | 17% | 50% | 48% |
| Over 11 | 17% | 50% | 33% |
| Over 12 | 17% | 25% | 30% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 0% | 22% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | BG Pathum | Rayong FC |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.8 | 3.3 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.3 | 6.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 67% | 25% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 67% | 25% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 33% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 50% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 50% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 50% | 50% |
Head to Head · 8 matches
4
BG Pathum
50%
3
Draws
38%
1
Rayong FC
13%
75%
Over 1.5
6/8
38%
Over 2.5
3/8
25%
Over 3.5
2/8
75%
BTTS
6/8
14/03/26BG Pathum United
Rayong FC
1–1BG Pathum United09/11/25Rayong FC
BG Pathum United
1–1Rayong FC12/01/25BG Pathum United
Rayong FC
1–1BG Pathum United16/08/24Rayong FC
BG Pathum United
0–1Rayong FC25/02/21BG Pathum United
Rayong FC
0–1BG Pathum United03/10/20Rayong FC
BG Pathum United
2–1Rayong FC30/06/19BG Pathum United
Rayong FC
2–4BG Pathum United17/02/19Rayong FC
BG Pathum United
7–2Rayong FC| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Port FC | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | +7 | 15 |
| 2 | Buriram United | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 13 |
| 3 |  Prachuap | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +5 | 12 |
| 4 | Ratchaburi | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +6 | 10 |
| 5 | Uthai Thani | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 10 |
| 6 |  Sisaket United | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 |
| 7 | BG Pathum United | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 9 |
| 8 |  Bangkok United | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 9 |
| 9 | Rayong FC | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 8 |
| 10 | Ayutthaya FC | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 7 |
| 11 |  Sukhothai FC | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -4 | 6 |
| 12 |  Lamphun Warrior | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 4 |
| 13 | Chiangrai United | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 4 |
| 14 |  Pattani | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 4 |
| 15 | Chonburi FC | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -4 | 3 |
| 16 | Rasi Salai United | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -8 | 1 |
Team Insights
BG Pathum- ●BG Pathum United have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●BG Pathum United have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●BG Pathum United have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●67% of BG Pathum United's goals have been scored at home.
- ●78% of BG Pathum United's points have been earned at home.
- ●BG Pathum United have scored 67% of their goals in the first half.
Rayong FC- ●Rayong FC have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Rayong FC failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Rayong FC have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Rayong FC have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Rayong FC have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Rayong FC have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●67% of Rayong FC's goals have been scored away.
- ●82% of Rayong FC's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
BG PathumWHChiangrai United2–0
Chiangrai United2–0DASisaket United1–1
Sisaket United1–1DHAyutthaya FC1–1
Ayutthaya FC1–1LABangkok United2–3
Bangkok United2–3WHRasi Salai United3–2
Rasi Salai United3–2DAPattani0–0
Pattani0–0–AChonburi FC02/11
Chonburi FC02/11–HRayong FC08/11
Rayong FC08/11–APrachuap07/12
Prachuap07/12Rayong FCLAPort FC1–4
Port FC1–4DHUthai Thani1–1
Uthai Thani1–1LABuriram United2–3
Buriram United2–3DHRatchaburi1–1
Ratchaburi1–1WAChonburi FC3–2
Chonburi FC3–2WHPrachuap1–0
Prachuap1–0–HLamphun Warrior30/10
Lamphun Warrior30/10–ABG Pathum United08/11
BG Pathum United08/11–HRasi Salai United22/11
Rasi Salai United22/11Top Scorers
BG PathumRaniel4 ⚽
Joao Magno2 ⚽
L. James1 ⚽
Marin Jurina1 ⚽
P. Gustavsson1 ⚽
P. Verkamp1 ⚽
Rayong FCJoão Felipe Proscinski Giaccomoni4 ⚽
Joao Felipe2 ⚽
Coutinho1 ⚽
A. Amornlerdsak1 ⚽
Renan Gorne1 ⚽
T. Pimoytha1 ⚽
Cards Given
BG Pathum2 🟨
Sarach Yooyen2 🟨
Anthony Belmonte2 🟨
E. Dolah1 🟨
Elias Dolah1 🟨
Edin Osmanović1 🟨
Rayong FCJoão Afonso2 🟨
Mayron Marques Barboza da Rocha2 🟨
João Felipe Proscinski Giaccomoni2 🟨
Joao Afonso2 🟨
Bruno Leite1 🟨
Renan Gorne1 🟨