Al Ahli Doha vs Al Shamal — Stars League
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Hamad bin Khalifa Stadium·Doha·Qatar·20,000
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Al Ahli Doha and Al Shamal meet in the Stars League 2026 season on 27 November 2026. Al Ahli Doha have recorded 2 wins from 13 matches this season (15% win rate), averaging 1.46 goals scored and 2.08 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 54% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 69%; and clean sheets in 15% of games. Al Shamal have won 38% of their 13 matches, with 1.92 goals scored and 1.69 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 69%, Over 2.5 at 69%, and clean sheets at 23%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.94 for Al Ahli Doha and 1.70 for Al Shamal. The models give Al Ahli Doha a 42% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Al Shamal win at 34%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 69% and BTTS at 67%.
Season Statistics
Al Ahli Doha—
Al Shamal7º
Position
6º
1.14
PPG
1.29
29%
Win %
29%
1.71
Goals / game
1.71
2.00
Conceded / game
1.86
54%
BTTS %
69%
15%
Clean sheet %
23%
69%
Over 2.5 %
69%
7.0
Avg corners
5.4
18.4
Avg shots
10.9
6.6
Avg shots on target
4.0
1.0
Avg yellow cards
2.5
9.6
Avg fouls
9.9
57.8%
Avg possession
53.9%
Home vs Away
Al Ahli Doha
Home (4)
—
Al Shamal
Away (3)
1.75
PPG
1.67
50%
Win %
33%
2.25
Goals / game
1.67
1.50
Conceded / game
1.00
33%
BTTS %
40%
33%
Clean sheet %
60%
67%
Over 2.5 %
60%
7.0
Avg corners
5.4
18.4
Avg shots
10.9
6.6
Avg shots on target
4.0
1.0
Avg yellow cards
2.5
57.8%
Avg possession
53.9%
Goals Scored
| Al Ahli | Home | Away | Al Shamal | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 69% | 67% | 71% | 77% | 88% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 38% | 50% | 29% | 62% | 63% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 23% | 33% | 14% | 31% | 25% | 40% |
| Failed To Score | 31% | 33% | 29% | 23% | 13% | 40% |
Goals Conceded
| Al Ahli | Home | Away | Al Shamal | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 85% | 67% | 100% | 77% | 100% | 40% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 62% | 50% | 71% | 38% | 50% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 54% | 50% | 57% | 23% | 38% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 15% | 33% | 0% | 23% | 0% | 60% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Al Ahli | Al Shamal | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 | 85% | 85% |
| Over 2.5 | 69% | 69% |
| Over 3.5 | 46% | 54% |
| Over 4.5 | 31% | 23% |
| BTTS | 54% | 69% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 31% |
| BTTS & Draw | 38% | 23% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 38% | 54% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 31% | 15% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Al Ahli | Al Shamal | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 8% | 23% |
| Draw 1st Half | 46% | 54% |
| Loss 1st Half | 46% | 23% |
| Scored 1st Half | 31% | 46% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 62% | 46% |
| Win 2nd Half | 38% | 31% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 23% | 62% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 38% | 8% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 69% | 62% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 69% | 62% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 69% | 62% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 54% | 31% |
Recent Venue Form
Al Ahli (H)L
Al Wakrah0–3
Al Wakrah0–3W
Al-Sailiya5–0
Al-Sailiya5–0L
Al Shahaniya0–1
Al Shahaniya0–1W
Qatar SC1–0
Qatar SC1–0D
Lusail City3–3
Lusail City3–3W
Al Hussein3–1
Al Hussein3–1Al Shamal (A)DLusail City0–0
Lusail City0–0D
Tractor Sazi0–0
Tractor Sazi0–0W
Al Bidda SC4–0
Al Bidda SC4–0W
Al-Gharafa3–1
Al-Gharafa3–1D
Al-Arabi SC2–2
Al-Arabi SC2–2L
Al Sadd2–3
Al Sadd2–3Number of Corners
11.0
Corners / Match
5 games
League Avg
10.5
34 games
10.3
Corners / Match
8 games
| Match Corners | Al Ahli | Al Shamal | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 80% | 100% | 91% |
| Over 7 | 80% | 88% | 82% |
| Over 8 | 60% | 75% | 71% |
| Over 9 | 60% | 63% | 59% |
| Over 10 | 60% | 63% | 53% |
| Over 11 | 60% | 38% | 44% |
| Over 12 | 20% | 0% | 21% |
| Over 13 | 20% | 0% | 15% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Al Ahli | Al Shamal |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 7.0 | 5.4 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.0 | 4.9 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 88% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 80% | 75% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 60% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 80% | 88% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 60% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 60% | 50% |
Head to Head · 18 matches
7
Al Ahli
39%
6
Draws
33%
5
Al Shamal
28%
61%
Over 1.5
11/18
50%
Over 2.5
9/18
33%
Over 3.5
6/18
50%
BTTS
9/18
07/01/26Al Shamal
Al Ahli Doha
4–2Al Shamal14/12/25Al Ahli Doha
Al Shamal
0–1Al Ahli Doha14/08/25Al Ahli Doha
Al Shamal
2–0Al Ahli Doha28/02/25Al Shamal
Al Ahli Doha
1–1Al Shamal27/09/24Al Ahli Doha
Al Shamal
2–4Al Ahli Doha29/03/24Al Ahli Doha
Al Shamal
2–1Al Ahli Doha03/11/23Al Shamal
Al Ahli Doha
1–2Al Shamal02/04/23Al Shamal
Al Ahli Doha
0–1Al Shamal14/09/22Al Ahli Doha
Al Shamal
2–2Al Ahli Doha25/02/22Al Ahli Doha
Al Shamal
3–0Al Ahli Doha22/11/21Al Ahli Doha
Al Shamal
2–2Al Ahli Doha03/11/21Al Shamal
Al Ahli Doha
0–0Al Shamal06/09/21Al Shamal
Al Ahli Doha
2–2Al Shamal27/02/15Al Shamal
Al Ahli Doha
3–2Al Shamal02/10/14Al Ahli Doha
Al Shamal
0–1Al Ahli Doha11/03/13Al Shamal
Al Ahli Doha
0–0Al Shamal24/01/13Al Ahli Doha
Al Shamal
0–1Al Ahli Doha21/11/12Al Shamal
Al Ahli Doha
1–0Al Shamal| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Rayyan SC | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | +13 | 17 |
| 2 | Al Sadd | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | +14 | 15 |
| 3 |  Al-Duhail SC | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +9 | 15 |
| 4 | Al-Arabi SC | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +8 | 12 |
| 5 | Al Wakrah | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
| 6 | Al Shamal | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -1 | 9 |
| 7 | Al Ahli Doha | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 8 | Al Shahaniya | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -11 | 7 |
| 9 | Lusail City | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 10 | Al-Gharafa | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -5 | 6 |
| 11 | Qatar SC | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -7 | 6 |
| 12 | Al-Sailiya | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -18 | 1 |
Team Insights
Al Ahli- ●Al Ahli Doha have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●75% of Al Ahli Doha's goals have been scored at home.
- ●87% of Al Ahli Doha's points have been earned at home.
- ●Al Ahli Doha have conceded 71% of their goals in the first half.
Al Shamal- ●Al Shamal have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Al Shamal have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●77% of Al Shamal's goals conceded were conceded at home.
Season Schedule
Al AhliDAAl-Gharafa2–2
Al-Gharafa2–2LHAl Wakrah0–3
Al Wakrah0–3WHAl-Sailiya5–0
Al-Sailiya5–0LAAl-Rayyan SC0–3
Al-Rayyan SC0–3WHQatar SC1–0
Qatar SC1–0DHLusail City3–3
Lusail City3–3–HAl Shahaniya06/11
Al Shahaniya06/11–AAl-Arabi SC20/11
Al-Arabi SC20/11–HAl Shamal27/11
Al Shamal27/11Al ShamalLHQatar SC2–3
Qatar SC2–3DALusail City0–0
Lusail City0–0LHAl-Duhail SC0–4
Al-Duhail SC0–4DHAl Wakrah1–1
Al Wakrah1–1WHAl Shahaniya4–2
Al Shahaniya4–2WAAl-Gharafa3–1
Al-Gharafa3–1–AAl Sadd06/11
Al Sadd06/11–HAl-Sailiya20/11
Al-Sailiya20/11–AAl Ahli Doha27/11
Al Ahli Doha27/11Top Scorers
Al AhliNaïm Sliti3 ⚽
J. Draxler3 ⚽
E. Exposito2 ⚽
I. Mohammed2 ⚽
Benjamin Bourigeaud1 ⚽
Younis Hussein Abdelrahman1 ⚽
Al ShamalB. Bounedjah3 ⚽
Baghdad Bounedjah3 ⚽
O. Ali2 ⚽
A. Al Saeed2 ⚽
Mowafak Awad2 ⚽
O. Mohamed2 ⚽
Cards Given
Al AhliTalal Al Shila2 🟨
Ayoub Amraoui1 🟨
Borja Jiménez Sáez1 🟨
D. Fettouhi1 🟨
G. Al Minhali1 🟨
Ghanem Al-Minhali1 🟨
Al ShamalBaghdad Bounedjah3 🟨
Mowafak Awad3 🟨
Musab Khoder2 🟨
Ali Assadalla2 🟨
M. Termanini2 🟨
O. Ebrahimi2 🟨