AD Marco 09 vs São João Ver — Liga 3
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AD Marco 09 and São João Ver meet in the Liga 3 2026 season on 20 December 2026. AD Marco 09 have recorded 6 wins from 13 matches this season (46% win rate), averaging 0.85 goals scored and 0.85 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 23% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 23%; and clean sheets in 54% of games. São João Ver have won 25% of their 12 matches, with 0.92 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 58%, Over 2.5 at 33%, and clean sheets at 25%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.27 for AD Marco 09 and 0.92 for São João Ver. The models give AD Marco 09 a 45% win probability, with a draw at 29% and an São João Ver win at 26%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 38% and BTTS at 43%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| AD Marco | Home | Away | São João | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 62% | 80% | 50% | 67% | 67% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 23% | 40% | 13% | 17% | 33% | 11% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 8% | 0% | 11% |
| Failed To Score | 38% | 20% | 50% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| AD Marco | Home | Away | São João | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 46% | 20% | 63% | 75% | 67% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 31% | 0% | 50% | 17% | 33% | 11% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 8% | 0% | 13% | 8% | 33% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 54% | 80% | 38% | 25% | 33% | 22% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| AD Marco | São João | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 85% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 | 62% | 58% |
| Over 2.5 | 23% | 33% |
| Over 3.5 | 0% | 17% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS | 23% | 58% |
| BTTS & Win | 8% | 17% |
| BTTS & Draw | 8% | 25% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 15% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| AD Marco | São João | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 40% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 30% |
| Loss 1st Half | 33% | 30% |
| Scored 1st Half | 33% | 40% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 33% | 30% |
| Win 2nd Half | 42% | 30% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 42% | 30% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 17% | 40% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 40% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 25% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 17% | 10% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 7 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | +12 | 20 | |
| 1 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +9 | 19 | |
| 2 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +10 | 17 | |
| 2 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 14 | |
| 3 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | +6 | 13 | |
| 3 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +5 | 12 | |
| 4 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 13 | |
| 4 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 11 | |
| 5 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 10 | |
| 5 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 10 | |
| 6 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 10 | |
| 6 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 | |
| 7 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 9 | |
| 7 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 8 | |
| 8 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -2 | 9 | |
| 8 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 7 | |
| 9 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 8 | |
| 9 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 7 | |
| 10 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 6 | |
| 10 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -11 | 5 |
Team Insights
- ●AD Marco 09 have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●AD Marco 09 have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●AD Marco 09 have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 home matches.
- ●63% of AD Marco 09's goals have been scored at home.
- ●São João Ver failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●São João Ver failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●67% of São João Ver's goals have been scored away.