Mafra vs Lusitano Évora 1911 — Liga 3
← Back
vs
–
–
Estádio Municipal de Mafra·Mafra·Portugal·2,900
🔒 Pro Feature
Unlock all Match Predictions
Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.
from€8.99/mo
billed annually · cancel anytime
Mafra and Lusitano Évora 1911 meet in the Liga 3 2026 season on 13 December 2026. Mafra have recorded 6 wins from 13 matches this season (46% win rate), averaging 2.08 goals scored and 1.46 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 69% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 69%; and clean sheets in 31% of games. Lusitano Évora 1911 have won 10% of their 10 matches, with 0.80 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 10%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.67 for Mafra and 0.85 for Lusitano Évora 1911. The models give Mafra a 56% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Lusitano Évora 1911 win at 19%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 46% and BTTS at 47%.
Season Statistics
Mafra—
Lusitano Évora 19114º
Position
9º
1.29
PPG
0.86
29%
Win %
14%
2.00
Goals / game
0.86
1.43
Conceded / game
1.43
69%
BTTS %
50%
31%
Clean sheet %
10%
69%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Mafra
Home (3)
—
Lusitano Évora 1911
Away (3)
2.33
PPG
0.33
67%
Win %
0%
2.67
Goals / game
0.00
0.67
Conceded / game
1.33
50%
BTTS %
20%
50%
Clean sheet %
20%
67%
Over 2.5 %
20%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Mafra | Home | Away | Lusitano Évora | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 100% | 100% | 100% | 50% | 80% | 20% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 62% | 67% | 57% | 30% | 60% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 31% | 33% | 29% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 20% | 80% |
Goals Conceded
| Mafra | Home | Away | Lusitano Évora | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 69% | 50% | 86% | 90% | 100% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 62% | 50% | 71% | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 15% | 0% | 29% | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 31% | 50% | 14% | 10% | 0% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Mafra | Lusitano Évora | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 | 85% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 69% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 54% | 20% |
| Over 4.5 | 38% | 0% |
| BTTS | 69% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 15% | 10% |
| BTTS & Draw | 31% | 30% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 62% | 40% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 10% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Mafra | Lusitano Évora | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 15% | 11% |
| Draw 1st Half | 62% | 44% |
| Loss 1st Half | 23% | 44% |
| Scored 1st Half | 62% | 33% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 69% | 67% |
| Win 2nd Half | 54% | 22% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 31% | 56% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 15% | 22% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 77% | 56% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 62% | 44% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 85% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 62% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
Mafra (H)W
Santa Clara3–2
Santa Clara3–2D
CF Os Belenenses2–2
CF Os Belenenses2–2D
Tirsense2–2
Tirsense2–2W
SC Covilha1–0
SC Covilha1–0W
Vitória de Sernache5–0
Vitória de Sernache5–0W
Alverca1–0
Alverca1–0Lusitano Évora (A)L
União Santarém0–3
União Santarém0–3L
Louletano0–1
Louletano0–1D
Caldas0–0
Caldas0–0L
Estrela0–1
Estrela0–1D
Benfica B1–1
Benfica B1–1W
Amora2–1
Amora2–1Head to Head · 3 matches
0
Mafra
0%
1
Draws
33%
2
Lusitano Évora
67%
100%
Over 1.5
3/3
67%
Over 2.5
2/3
33%
Over 3.5
1/3
100%
BTTS
3/3
22/08/26Mafra
Lusitano Évora 1911
2–1Mafra30/11/25Lusitano Évora 1911
Mafra
1–1Lusitano Évora 191117/08/25Mafra
Lusitano Évora 1911
4–1Mafra| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paredes | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 16 |
| 1 | CF Os Belenenses | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +11 | 16 |
| 2 |  Atlético CP | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 13 |
| 2 |  Leça | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 10 |
| 3 |  AD Marco 09 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 10 |
| 3 |  Oliveirense | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 |
| 4 | Mafra | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 9 |
| 4 |  Vianense | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +1 | 9 |
| 5 |  Fafe | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +4 | 9 |
| 5 | Caldas | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 8 |
| 6 |  Varzim | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | +2 | 9 |
| 6 | União Santarém | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 7 |
| 7 |  Pacos Ferreira | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 8 |
| 7 | Louletano | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| 8 | SC Covilha | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 8 |  São João Ver | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 9 | Lusitano Évora 1911 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 6 |
| 9 |  Guimaraes B | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 5 |
| 10 |  Trofense | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -9 | 5 |
| 10 | Vitória de Sernache | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -9 | 4 |
Team Insights
Mafra- ●Mafra have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Mafra have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Mafra have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Mafra have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Mafra have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Mafra have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●80% of Mafra's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●78% of Mafra's points have been earned at home.
- ●Mafra have conceded 60% of their goals in the first half.
Lusitano Évora- ●Lusitano Évora 1911 have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Lusitano Évora 1911 failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Lusitano Évora 1911 have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Lusitano Évora 1911 have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Lusitano Évora 1911 have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●83% of Lusitano Évora 1911's points have been earned at home.
- ●Lusitano Évora 1911 have conceded 60% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
MafraDACaldas3–3
Caldas3–3DHCF Os Belenenses2–2
CF Os Belenenses2–2LAOliveirense1–2
Oliveirense1–2WHSC Covilha1–0
SC Covilha1–0LALusitano Évora 19111–2
Lusitano Évora 19111–2DAAtlético CP1–1
Atlético CP1–1–HLouletano31/10
Louletano31/10–AUnião Santarém06/11
União Santarém06/11–AVitória de Sernache29/11
Vitória de Sernache29/11Lusitano ÉvoraDHOliveirense2–2
Oliveirense2–2LAUnião Santarém0–3
União Santarém0–3DHSC Covilha2–2
SC Covilha2–2LALouletano0–1
Louletano0–1WHMafra2–1
Mafra2–1DACaldas0–0
Caldas0–0–HVitória de Sernache01/11
Vitória de Sernache01/11–ACF Os Belenenses08/11
CF Os Belenenses08/11–ASC Covilha21/11
SC Covilha21/11Top Scorers
Mafra12 ⚽
M. Niang5 ⚽
R. Matos2 ⚽
Rodrigo Matos2 ⚽
L. Neves2 ⚽
Xico1 ⚽
Lusitano ÉvoraD. Lopes1 ⚽
D. Silva1 ⚽
J. Pinto1 ⚽
R. Batalha1 ⚽
S. A. Andrade Male1 ⚽
T. Baptista1 ⚽
Cards Given
Mafra9 🟨
Lénio Neves3 🟨
Y. Maiga3 🟨
G. Cardoso1 🟨
A. Ba1 🟨
R. Moreira1 🟨
Lusitano ÉvoraC. Santana3 🟨
S. A. Andrade Male2 🟨
R. Monteiro2 🟨
O. Diagne2 🟨
J. Pinto1 🟨
D. Martins1 🟨