Mafra vs Atlético CP — Liga 3
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Mafra and Atlético CP meet in the Liga 3 2026 season on 6 December 2026. Mafra have recorded 6 wins from 13 matches this season (46% win rate), averaging 2.08 goals scored and 1.46 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 69% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 69%; and clean sheets in 31% of games. Atlético CP have won 64% of their 11 matches, with 1.91 goals scored and 0.82 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 36%, Over 2.5 at 55%, and clean sheets at 36%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.44 for Mafra and 1.11 for Atlético CP. The models give Mafra a 44% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Atlético CP win at 29%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 47% and BTTS at 52%.
Season Statistics
MafraAtlético CPHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Mafra | Home | Away | Atlético CP | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 100% | 100% | 100% | 75% | 83% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 62% | 67% | 57% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 31% | 33% | 29% | 42% | 50% | 33% |
| Failed To Score | 0% | 0% | 0% | 25% | 17% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Mafra | Home | Away | Atlético CP | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 69% | 50% | 86% | 67% | 83% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 62% | 50% | 71% | 17% | 0% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 15% | 0% | 29% | 8% | 0% | 17% |
| Clean Sheets | 31% | 50% | 14% | 33% | 17% | 50% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Mafra | Atlético CP | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 85% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 | 69% | 58% |
| Over 3.5 | 54% | 42% |
| Over 4.5 | 38% | 17% |
| BTTS | 69% | 42% |
| BTTS & Win | 15% | 25% |
| BTTS & Draw | 31% | 17% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 62% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 25% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Mafra | Atlético CP | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 15% | 45% |
| Draw 1st Half | 62% | 55% |
| Loss 1st Half | 23% | 0% |
| Scored 1st Half | 62% | 64% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 69% | 18% |
| Win 2nd Half | 54% | 36% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 31% | 45% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 15% | 18% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 77% | 55% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 62% | 55% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 85% | 64% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 62% | 45% |
Recent Venue Form
Mafra (H)
Santa Clara3–2
CF Os Belenenses2–2
Tirsense2–2
SC Covilha1–0
Vitória de Sernache5–0
Alverca1–0Atlético CP (A)
Louletano2–2CF Os Belenenses0–1
Olímpico do Montijo4–0SC Covilha3–0
Lusitano Évora 19111–0
Estoril0–3Head to Head · 3 matches
MafraMafraAtlético CP| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paredes | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 16 |
| 1 | CF Os Belenenses | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +11 | 16 |
| 2 | Atlético CP | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 13 |
| 2 |  Leça | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 10 |
| 3 |  AD Marco 09 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 10 |
| 3 |  Oliveirense | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 |
| 4 | Mafra | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 9 |
| 4 |  Vianense | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +1 | 9 |
| 5 |  Fafe | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +4 | 9 |
| 5 |  Caldas | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 8 |
| 6 |  Varzim | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | +2 | 9 |
| 6 |  União Santarém | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 7 |
| 7 |  Pacos Ferreira | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 8 |
| 7 | Louletano | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| 8 | SC Covilha | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 8 |  São João Ver | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 9 | Lusitano Évora 1911 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 6 |
| 9 |  Guimaraes B | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 5 |
| 10 |  Trofense | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -9 | 5 |
| 10 | Vitória de Sernache | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -9 | 4 |
Team Insights
Mafra- ●Mafra have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Mafra have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Mafra have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Mafra have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Mafra have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Mafra have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●80% of Mafra's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●78% of Mafra's points have been earned at home.
- ●Mafra have conceded 60% of their goals in the first half.
Atlético CP- ●Atlético CP have won their last 2 home matches.
Season Schedule
MafraCaldas3–3CF Os Belenenses2–2Oliveirense1–2SC Covilha1–0Lusitano Évora 19111–2Atlético CP1–1Louletano31/10União Santarém06/11Vitória de Sernache29/11Atlético CPLouletano2–2Caldas4–1CF Os Belenenses0–1Oliveirense3–1SC Covilha3–0Mafra1–1União Santarém31/10Vitória de Sernache08/11Lusitano Évora 191128/11Top Scorers
MafraAtlético CPCards Given
MafraAtlético CP