Leça vs Guimaraes B — Liga 3
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Leça and Guimaraes B meet in the Liga 3 2026 season on 6 December 2026. Leça have recorded 5 wins from 11 matches this season (45% win rate), averaging 1.09 goals scored and 1.18 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 27% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 36%; and clean sheets in 36% of games. Guimaraes B have won 29% of their 7 matches, with 1.00 goals scored and 1.14 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 43%, Over 2.5 at 29%, and clean sheets at 29%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.42 for Leça and 1.05 for Guimaraes B. The models give Leça a 46% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Guimaraes B win at 27%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 45% and BTTS at 50%.
Season Statistics
LeçaGuimaraes BHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Leça | Home | Away | Guimaraes B | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 55% | 50% | 57% | 57% | 33% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 36% | 25% | 43% | 29% | 33% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 9% | 0% | 14% | 14% | 0% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 45% | 50% | 43% | 43% | 67% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Leça | Home | Away | Guimaraes B | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 64% | 50% | 71% | 71% | 33% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 27% | 25% | 29% | 29% | 0% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 18% | 25% | 14% | 14% | 0% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 36% | 50% | 29% | 29% | 67% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Leça | Guimaraes B | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 | 73% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 | 36% | 29% |
| Over 3.5 | 18% | 29% |
| Over 4.5 | 9% | 14% |
| BTTS | 27% | 43% |
| BTTS & Win | 18% | 14% |
| BTTS & Draw | 9% | 14% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 18% | 29% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 18% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Leça | Guimaraes B | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 45% | 0% |
| Draw 1st Half | 18% | 67% |
| Loss 1st Half | 36% | 33% |
| Scored 1st Half | 45% | 17% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 55% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 36% | 17% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 36% | 67% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 27% | 17% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 36% | 33% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 27% | 33% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 82% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 27% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
Leça (H)
AD Marco 092–0
Fafe0–3
São João Ver1–1
Lusitânia Lourosa0–0
Vitória de Sernache1–1
Bragança1–0Guimaraes B (A)AD Marco 090–1Fafe1–1
Paredes1–3
Chaves3–2
Trofense1–1
Varzim2–2Head to Head · 3 matches
LeçaLeçaGuimaraes B| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paredes | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 16 |
| 1 |  CF Os Belenenses | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +11 | 16 |
| 2 |  Atlético CP | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 13 |
| 2 | Leça | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 10 |
| 3 | AD Marco 09 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 10 |
| 3 |  Oliveirense | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 |
| 4 |  Mafra | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 9 |
| 4 |  Vianense | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +1 | 9 |
| 5 | Fafe | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +4 | 9 |
| 5 |  Caldas | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 8 |
| 6 | Varzim | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | +2 | 9 |
| 6 |  União Santarém | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 7 |
| 7 |  Pacos Ferreira | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 8 |
| 7 |  Louletano | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| 8 |  SC Covilha | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 8 | São João Ver | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 9 |  Lusitano Évora 1911 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 6 |
| 9 | Guimaraes B | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 5 |
| 10 | Trofense | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -9 | 5 |
| 10 | Vitória de Sernache | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -9 | 4 |
Team Insights
Leça- ●67% of Leça's goals have been scored away.
- ●60% of Leça's points have been earned away.
- ●Leça have scored 67% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Leça have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
Guimaraes B- ●Guimaraes B have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
Season Schedule
LeçaPacos Ferreira0–1AD Marco 092–0Trofense4–1Fafe0–3Paredes2–1Guimaraes B0–2Varzim31/10Vianense07/11São João Ver29/11Guimaraes BPacos Ferreira0–1AD Marco 090–1Trofense0–0Fafe1–1Leça2–0Paredes1–3Varzim25/10Vianense01/11São João Ver07/11Top Scorers
LeçaGuimaraes BCards Given
LeçaGuimaraes B