AD Marco 09 vs Varzim — Liga 3
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AD Marco 09 and Varzim meet in the Liga 3 2026 season on 6 December 2026. AD Marco 09 have recorded 5 wins from 11 matches this season (45% win rate), averaging 0.82 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 27% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 27%; and clean sheets in 45% of games. Varzim have won 50% of their 10 matches, with 1.60 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 60%, Over 2.5 at 60%, and clean sheets at 20%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.36 for AD Marco 09 and 1.08 for Varzim. The models give AD Marco 09 a 45% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Varzim win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 44% and BTTS at 49%.
Season Statistics
AD Marco 09VarzimHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| AD Marco | Home | Away | Varzim | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 64% | 100% | 43% | 80% | 75% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 18% | 50% | 0% | 30% | 50% | 17% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 20% | 25% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 36% | 0% | 57% | 20% | 25% | 17% |
Goals Conceded
| AD Marco | Home | Away | Varzim | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 55% | 25% | 71% | 80% | 100% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 36% | 0% | 57% | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 9% | 0% | 14% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 45% | 75% | 29% | 20% | 0% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| AD Marco | Varzim | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 64% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 27% | 60% |
| Over 3.5 | 0% | 20% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 20% |
| BTTS | 27% | 60% |
| BTTS & Win | 9% | 30% |
| BTTS & Draw | 9% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 18% | 60% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 9% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| AD Marco | Varzim | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 30% | 50% |
| Draw 1st Half | 30% | 20% |
| Loss 1st Half | 40% | 30% |
| Scored 1st Half | 30% | 60% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 40% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 40% | 30% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 40% | 40% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 20% | 30% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 40% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 30% | 40% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 70% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 20% | 30% |
Recent Venue Form
AD Marco (H)
Maia Lidador1–0
Guimaraes B1–0
Vianense2–0
Pacos Ferreira2–1
SC Braga B1–0
Fafe1–0Varzim (A)
São João Ver1–2
Vitória de Sernache1–2Pacos Ferreira4–1
Trofense1–0
Tirsense1–0
Tondela0–1Head to Head · 3 matches
AD Marco 09VarzimAD Marco 09| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paredes | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 16 |
| 1 |  CF Os Belenenses | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +11 | 16 |
| 2 |  Atlético CP | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 13 |
| 2 |  Leça | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 10 |
| 3 | AD Marco 09 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 10 |
| 3 |  Oliveirense | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 |
| 4 |  Mafra | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 9 |
| 4 | Vianense | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +1 | 9 |
| 5 | Fafe | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +4 | 9 |
| 5 |  Caldas | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 8 |
| 6 | Varzim | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | +2 | 9 |
| 6 |  União Santarém | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 7 |
| 7 | Pacos Ferreira | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 8 |
| 7 |  Louletano | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| 8 |  SC Covilha | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 8 | São João Ver | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 9 |  Lusitano Évora 1911 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 6 |
| 9 | Guimaraes B | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 5 |
| 10 | Trofense | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -9 | 5 |
| 10 | Vitória de Sernache | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -9 | 4 |
Team Insights
AD Marco- ●AD Marco 09 have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●AD Marco 09 have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●90% of AD Marco 09's points have been earned at home.
Varzim- ●Varzim have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Varzim have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Varzim failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●67% of Varzim's goals have been scored away.
- ●67% of Varzim's points have been earned away.
- ●Varzim have scored 78% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
AD MarcoLeça0–2Guimaraes B1–0São João Ver0–0Vianense2–0Varzim1–2Pacos Ferreira2–1Trofense31/10Paredes07/11Pacos Ferreira28/11VarzimSão João Ver1–2Vianense1–2Paredes0–1Pacos Ferreira4–1AD Marco 092–1Trofense1–0Guimaraes B25/10Leça31/10Fafe08/11Top Scorers
AD MarcoVarzimCards Given
AD MarcoVarzim