Vitória de Sernache vs Mafra — Liga 3
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Vitória de Sernache and Mafra meet in the Liga 3 2026 season on 29 November 2026. Vitória de Sernache have recorded 4 wins from 9 matches this season (44% win rate), averaging 1.11 goals scored and 1.56 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 33% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 56%; and clean sheets in 44% of games. Mafra have won 46% of their 13 matches, with 2.08 goals scored and 1.46 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 69%, Over 2.5 at 69%, and clean sheets at 31%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.40 for Vitória de Sernache and 1.16 for Mafra. The models give Vitória de Sernache a 39% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Mafra win at 33%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 47% and BTTS at 52%.
Season Statistics
Vitória de SernacheMafraHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Vitória de | Home | Away | Mafra | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 67% | 75% | 60% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 33% | 25% | 40% | 62% | 67% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 11% | 0% | 20% | 31% | 33% | 29% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 25% | 40% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Vitória de | Home | Away | Mafra | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 56% | 50% | 60% | 69% | 50% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 44% | 25% | 60% | 62% | 50% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 33% | 25% | 40% | 15% | 0% | 29% |
| Clean Sheets | 44% | 50% | 40% | 31% | 50% | 14% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Vitória de | Mafra | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 67% | 85% |
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 69% |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 54% |
| Over 4.5 | 22% | 38% |
| BTTS | 33% | 69% |
| BTTS & Win | 11% | 15% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 31% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 33% | 62% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 22% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Vitória de | Mafra | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 22% | 15% |
| Draw 1st Half | 56% | 62% |
| Loss 1st Half | 22% | 23% |
| Scored 1st Half | 33% | 62% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 33% | 69% |
| Win 2nd Half | 22% | 54% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 31% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 44% | 15% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 44% | 77% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 56% | 62% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 56% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 22% | 62% |
Recent Venue Form
Vitória de (H)
Louletano1–0
Varzim2–1
CF Os Belenenses1–3
SC Covilha0–0Louletano1–1
Oliveira Hospital0–0Mafra (A)
Caldas3–3
Oliveirense1–2
Atlético Malveira3–2
Lusitano Évora 19111–2
Atlético CP1–1
FC Fredericia2–3Head to Head · 1 matches
Vitória de Sernache| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paredes | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 16 |
| 1 | CF Os Belenenses | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +11 | 16 |
| 2 | Atlético CP | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 13 |
| 2 |  Leça | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 10 |
| 3 |  AD Marco 09 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 10 |
| 3 | Oliveirense | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 |
| 4 | Mafra | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 9 |
| 4 |  Vianense | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +1 | 9 |
| 5 |  Fafe | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +4 | 9 |
| 5 | Caldas | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 8 |
| 6 | Varzim | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | +2 | 9 |
| 6 |  União Santarém | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 7 |
| 7 |  Pacos Ferreira | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 8 |
| 7 | Louletano | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| 8 | SC Covilha | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 8 |  São João Ver | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 9 | Lusitano Évora 1911 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 6 |
| 9 |  Guimaraes B | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 5 |
| 10 |  Trofense | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -9 | 5 |
| 10 | Vitória de Sernache | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -9 | 4 |
Team Insights
Vitória de- ●Vitória de Sernache have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Vitória de Sernache have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●77% of Vitória de Sernache's goals conceded were conceded away.
Mafra- ●Mafra have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Mafra have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Mafra have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Mafra have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Mafra have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Mafra have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●80% of Mafra's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●78% of Mafra's points have been earned at home.
- ●Mafra have conceded 60% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Vitória deLouletano1–0Caldas0–2CF Os Belenenses1–3Oliveirense2–3SC Covilha0–0Mafra0–5União Santarém25/10Lusitano Évora 191101/11Atlético CP08/11MafraCaldas3–3CF Os Belenenses2–2Oliveirense1–2SC Covilha1–0Lusitano Évora 19111–2Atlético CP1–1Louletano31/10União Santarém06/11Vitória de Sernache29/11Top Scorers
Vitória deMafraCards Given
Vitória deMafra