Guimaraes B vs Paredes — Liga 3
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Guimaraes B and Paredes meet in the Liga 3 2026 season on 29 November 2026. Guimaraes B have recorded 3 wins from 9 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 1.44 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 56% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 44%; and clean sheets in 22% of games. Paredes have won 79% of their 14 matches, with 2.43 goals scored and 1.14 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 64%, Over 2.5 at 71%, and clean sheets at 29%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.24 for Guimaraes B and 1.22 for Paredes. The models give Guimaraes B a 36% win probability, with a draw at 29% and an Paredes win at 36%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 45% and BTTS at 50%.
Season Statistics
Guimaraes B—
Paredes6º
Position
1º
1.13
PPG
2.38
25%
Win %
75%
1.25
Goals / game
2.13
1.25
Conceded / game
1.00
56%
BTTS %
64%
22%
Clean sheet %
29%
44%
Over 2.5 %
71%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Guimaraes B
Home (4)
—
Paredes
Away (3)
1.25
PPG
2.33
25%
Win %
67%
1.00
Goals / game
1.67
0.75
Conceded / game
1.00
25%
BTTS %
50%
50%
Clean sheet %
33%
25%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Guimaraes B | Home | Away | Paredes | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 67% | 50% | 80% | 93% | 100% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 44% | 50% | 40% | 64% | 75% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 22% | 0% | 40% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 50% | 20% | 7% | 0% | 17% |
Goals Conceded
| Guimaraes B | Home | Away | Paredes | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 78% | 50% | 100% | 71% | 75% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 44% | 25% | 60% | 36% | 25% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 11% | 0% | 20% | 7% | 0% | 17% |
| Clean Sheets | 22% | 50% | 0% | 29% | 25% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Guimaraes B | Paredes | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 67% | 79% |
| Over 2.5 | 44% | 71% |
| Over 3.5 | 44% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 | 22% | 29% |
| BTTS | 56% | 64% |
| BTTS & Win | 22% | 50% |
| BTTS & Draw | 22% | 7% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 44% | 64% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 7% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Guimaraes B | Paredes | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 13% | 62% |
| Draw 1st Half | 63% | 15% |
| Loss 1st Half | 25% | 23% |
| Scored 1st Half | 25% | 85% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 38% |
| Win 2nd Half | 25% | 38% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 63% | 46% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 13% | 15% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 62% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 46% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 50% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 38% | 62% |
Recent Venue Form
Guimaraes B (H)D
Vianense2–2
Vianense2–2L
Pacos Ferreira0–1
Pacos Ferreira0–1D
Trofense0–0
Trofense0–0W
Leça2–0
Leça2–0L
Amarante1–3
Amarante1–3L
Mafra0–2
Mafra0–2Paredes (A)DVianense3–3
Vianense3–3W
Varzim1–0
Varzim1–0W
Ermesinde3–1
Ermesinde3–1WPacos Ferreira1–0
Pacos Ferreira1–0W
AVS4–2
AVS4–2L
Santa Clara0–2
Santa Clara0–2Head to Head · 13 matches
3
Guimaraes B
23%
4
Draws
31%
6
Paredes
46%
69%
Over 1.5
9/13
38%
Over 2.5
5/13
23%
Over 3.5
3/13
54%
BTTS
7/13
07/08/26Guimaraes B
Paredes
3–1Guimaraes B21/12/25Paredes
Guimaraes B
1–3Paredes24/09/25Guimaraes B
Paredes
1–1Guimaraes B18/05/25Guimaraes B
Paredes
0–2Guimaraes B27/04/25Paredes
Guimaraes B
3–3Paredes16/02/25Paredes
Guimaraes B
2–1Paredes04/10/24Guimaraes B
Paredes
0–1Guimaraes B07/04/24Paredes
Guimaraes B
0–2Paredes17/12/23Guimaraes B
Paredes
2–1Guimaraes B29/04/23Guimaraes B
Paredes
0–0Guimaraes B08/04/23Paredes
Guimaraes B
0–1Paredes13/01/23Guimaraes B
Paredes
1–1Guimaraes B04/09/22Paredes
Guimaraes B
0–1Paredes| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  CF Os Belenenses | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | +12 | 20 |
| 1 | Paredes | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +9 | 19 |
| 2 |  Atlético CP | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +10 | 17 |
| 2 |  AD Marco 09 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 14 |
| 3 |  Fafe | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | +6 | 13 |
| 3 | Mafra | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +5 | 12 |
| 4 | Leça | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 13 |
| 4 |  Caldas | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 11 |
| 5 | Vianense | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 10 |
| 5 |  Oliveirense | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 10 |
| 6 |  União Santarém | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 10 |
| 6 | Guimaraes B | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 |
| 7 |  São João Ver | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 9 |
| 7 |  Louletano | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 8 |
| 8 | Varzim | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -2 | 9 |
| 8 |  SC Covilha | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 9 | Pacos Ferreira | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 8 |
| 9 |  Vitória de Sernache | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 7 |
| 10 |  Lusitano Évora 1911 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 6 |
| 10 | Trofense | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -11 | 5 |
Team Insights
Guimaraes B- ●70% of Guimaraes B's goals conceded were conceded away.
Paredes- ●Paredes have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Paredes have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Paredes have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Paredes have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Paredes have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Paredes have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Paredes failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●71% of Paredes's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Paredes have scored 65% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Guimaraes BDHVianense2–2
Vianense2–2WAVarzim4–2
Varzim4–2LHPacos Ferreira0–1
Pacos Ferreira0–1LAAD Marco 090–1
AD Marco 090–1DHTrofense0–0
Trofense0–0DAFafe1–1
Fafe1–1–ASão João Ver07/11
São João Ver07/11–HParedes29/11
Paredes29/11–ALeça06/12
Leça06/12ParedesWHSão João Ver2–1
São João Ver2–1WHTrofense4–0
Trofense4–0DAVianense3–3
Vianense3–3WHFafe2–1
Fafe2–1WAVarzim1–0
Varzim1–0LHLeça1–2
Leça1–2–AAD Marco 0907/11
AD Marco 0907/11–AGuimaraes B29/11
Guimaraes B29/11–HPacos Ferreira06/12
Pacos Ferreira06/12Top Scorers
Guimaraes BM. Tepe5 ⚽
Jota1 ⚽
R. Macedo1 ⚽
R. Rocha1 ⚽
S. Dahle1 ⚽
U. Akuazaoku1 ⚽
ParedesF. Canario5 ⚽
F. Almara4 ⚽
Miguel4 ⚽
D. Rodrigues3 ⚽
Erik3 ⚽
J. Yuk2 ⚽
Cards Given
Guimaraes BRodrigo Silva3 🟨
R. Rocha3 🟨
Rika2 🟨
Alcobia2 🟨
G. Braga2 🟨
T. Rodrigues2 🟨
ParedesMiguel3 🟨
3 🟨
J. Vigario2 🟨
Erik2 🟨
D. P. Duarte2 🟨
D. Rodrigues2 🟨