São João Ver vs Leça — Liga 3
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São João Ver and Leça meet in the Liga 3 2026 season on 29 November 2026. São João Ver have recorded 2 wins from 10 matches this season (20% win rate), averaging 0.70 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 20%; and clean sheets in 30% of games. Leça have won 45% of their 11 matches, with 1.09 goals scored and 1.18 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 27%, Over 2.5 at 36%, and clean sheets at 36%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.29 for São João Ver and 1.26 for Leça. The models give São João Ver a 39% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Leça win at 34%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 47% and BTTS at 52%.
Season Statistics
São João VerLeçaHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| São João | Home | Away | Leça | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 60% | 67% | 57% | 55% | 50% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 10% | 33% | 0% | 36% | 25% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 9% | 0% | 14% |
| Failed To Score | 40% | 33% | 43% | 45% | 50% | 43% |
Goals Conceded
| São João | Home | Away | Leça | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 70% | 67% | 71% | 64% | 50% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 10% | 33% | 0% | 27% | 25% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 10% | 33% | 0% | 18% | 25% | 14% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 33% | 29% | 36% | 50% | 29% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| São João | Leça | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 80% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 | 50% | 73% |
| Over 2.5 | 20% | 36% |
| Over 3.5 | 10% | 18% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 9% |
| BTTS | 50% | 27% |
| BTTS & Win | 10% | 18% |
| BTTS & Draw | 30% | 9% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 20% | 18% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 18% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| São João | Leça | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 38% | 45% |
| Draw 1st Half | 38% | 18% |
| Loss 1st Half | 25% | 36% |
| Scored 1st Half | 38% | 45% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 25% | 55% |
| Win 2nd Half | 13% | 36% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 38% | 36% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 50% | 27% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 25% | 36% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 27% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 63% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 0% | 27% |
Recent Venue Form
São João (H)
Varzim2–1
AD Marco 090–0
Fafe1–3
Sanjoanense2–1AD Marco 090–0
Paredes3–1Leça (A)
Pacos Ferreira0–1
Penafiel1–0
Mortágua2–0
Trofense4–1Paredes2–1
Guimaraes B0–2Head to Head · 1 matches
São João Ver| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paredes | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 16 |
| 1 |  CF Os Belenenses | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +11 | 16 |
| 2 |  Atlético CP | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 13 |
| 2 | Leça | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 10 |
| 3 | AD Marco 09 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 10 |
| 3 |  Oliveirense | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 |
| 4 |  Mafra | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 9 |
| 4 |  Vianense | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +1 | 9 |
| 5 | Fafe | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +4 | 9 |
| 5 |  Caldas | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 8 |
| 6 | Varzim | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | +2 | 9 |
| 6 |  União Santarém | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 7 |
| 7 | Pacos Ferreira | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 8 |
| 7 |  Louletano | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| 8 |  SC Covilha | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 8 | São João Ver | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 9 |  Lusitano Évora 1911 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 6 |
| 9 | Guimaraes B | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 5 |
| 10 | Trofense | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -9 | 5 |
| 10 |  Vitória de Sernache | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -9 | 4 |
Team Insights
São João- ●São João Ver have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
Leça- ●67% of Leça's goals have been scored away.
- ●60% of Leça's points have been earned away.
- ●Leça have scored 67% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Leça have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
São JoãoVarzim2–1Pacos Ferreira1–1AD Marco 090–0Trofense0–1Fafe1–3Leça1–1Vianense25/10Paredes01/11Guimaraes B07/11LeçaPacos Ferreira0–1AD Marco 092–0Trofense4–1Fafe0–3Paredes2–1Guimaraes B0–2Varzim31/10Vianense07/11São João Ver29/11Top Scorers
São JoãoLeçaCards Given
São JoãoLeça