União Santarém vs SC Covilha — Liga 3
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União Santarém and SC Covilha meet in the Liga 3 2026 season on 29 November 2026. União Santarém have recorded 3 wins from 9 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 1.44 goals scored and 1.44 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 33% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 56%; and clean sheets in 33% of games. SC Covilha have won 14% of their 7 matches, with 0.57 goals scored and 0.86 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 14%, Over 2.5 at 29%, and clean sheets at 57%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.33 for União Santarém and 0.94 for SC Covilha. The models give União Santarém a 45% win probability, with a draw at 29% and an SC Covilha win at 26%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 39% and BTTS at 45%.
Season Statistics
União SantarémSC CovilhaHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| União Santarém | Home | Away | SC Covilha | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 56% | 67% | 33% | 38% | 25% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 44% | 50% | 33% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 22% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 44% | 33% | 67% | 63% | 75% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| União Santarém | Home | Away | SC Covilha | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 67% | 50% | 100% | 50% | 25% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 33% | 17% | 67% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 22% | 17% | 33% | 13% | 25% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 33% | 50% | 0% | 50% | 75% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| União Santarém | SC Covilha | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 | 78% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 25% |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 13% |
| Over 4.5 | 33% | 0% |
| BTTS | 33% | 25% |
| BTTS & Win | 11% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 11% | 25% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 22% | 13% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 33% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| União Santarém | SC Covilha | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 22% | 0% |
| Draw 1st Half | 44% | 100% |
| Loss 1st Half | 33% | 0% |
| Scored 1st Half | 22% | 13% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 33% | 13% |
| Win 2nd Half | 22% | 13% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 44% | 63% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 33% | 25% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 44% | 38% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 44% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 56% | 13% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 22% | 13% |
Recent Venue Form
União Santarém (H)
GIL Vicente2–3
Lusitano Évora 19113–0
Merelinense5–0
Caldas0–1
Oliveirense1–1
Academica0–0SC Covilha (A)
CF Os Belenenses1–1Lusitano Évora 19112–2
Mafra0–1
Vitória de Sernache0–0Caldas1–1Lusitano Évora 19110–1Head to Head · 7 matches
União SantarémUnião SantarémSC CovilhaSC CovilhaUnião SantarémUnião SantarémSC Covilha| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paredes | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 16 |
| 1 | CF Os Belenenses | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +11 | 16 |
| 2 |  Atlético CP | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 13 |
| 2 |  Leça | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 10 |
| 3 |  AD Marco 09 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 10 |
| 3 | Oliveirense | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 |
| 4 | Mafra | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 9 |
| 4 |  Vianense | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +1 | 9 |
| 5 |  Fafe | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +4 | 9 |
| 5 | Caldas | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 8 |
| 6 |  Varzim | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | +2 | 9 |
| 6 | União Santarém | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 7 |
| 7 |  Pacos Ferreira | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 8 |
| 7 |  Louletano | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| 8 | SC Covilha | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 8 |  São João Ver | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 9 | Lusitano Évora 1911 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 6 |
| 9 |  Guimaraes B | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 5 |
| 10 |  Trofense | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -9 | 5 |
| 10 | Vitória de Sernache | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -9 | 4 |
Team Insights
União Santarém- ●União Santarém have won their last 2 matches.
- ●80% of União Santarém's goals conceded were conceded away.
SC Covilha- ●SC Covilha have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
Season Schedule
União SantarémLusitano Évora 19113–0Louletano2–1Caldas0–1CF Os Belenenses0–5Oliveirense1–1SC Covilha0–2Atlético CP31/10Mafra06/11SC Covilha29/11SC CovilhaCF Os Belenenses1–1Oliveirense0–0Lusitano Évora 19112–2Mafra0–1Atlético CP0–3Vitória de Sernache0–0Caldas01/11Louletano08/11Lusitano Évora 191121/11Top Scorers
União SantarémSC CovilhaCards Given
União SantarémSC Covilha