União Santarém vs Mafra — Liga 3
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Campo Chã das Padeiras·Santarém·Portugal·2,000
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União Santarém and Mafra meet in the Liga 3 2026 season on 6 November 2026. União Santarém have recorded 3 wins from 9 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 1.44 goals scored and 1.44 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 33% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 56%; and clean sheets in 33% of games. Mafra have won 46% of their 13 matches, with 2.08 goals scored and 1.46 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 69%, Over 2.5 at 69%, and clean sheets at 31%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.56 for União Santarém and 1.14 for Mafra. The models give União Santarém a 43% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Mafra win at 31%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 51% and BTTS at 54%.
Season Statistics
União Santarém—
Mafra6º
Position
4º
1.17
PPG
1.29
33%
Win %
29%
1.00
Goals / game
2.00
1.67
Conceded / game
1.43
33%
BTTS %
69%
33%
Clean sheet %
31%
56%
Over 2.5 %
69%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
União Santarém
Home (3)
—
Mafra
Away (4)
1.33
PPG
0.50
33%
Win %
0%
1.33
Goals / game
1.50
0.67
Conceded / game
2.00
33%
BTTS %
86%
50%
Clean sheet %
14%
50%
Over 2.5 %
71%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| União Santarém | Home | Away | Mafra | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 56% | 67% | 33% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 44% | 50% | 33% | 62% | 67% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 22% | 33% | 0% | 31% | 33% | 29% |
| Failed To Score | 44% | 33% | 67% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| União Santarém | Home | Away | Mafra | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 67% | 50% | 100% | 69% | 50% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 33% | 17% | 67% | 62% | 50% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 22% | 17% | 33% | 15% | 0% | 29% |
| Clean Sheets | 33% | 50% | 0% | 31% | 50% | 14% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| União Santarém | Mafra | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 78% | 85% |
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 69% |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 54% |
| Over 4.5 | 33% | 38% |
| BTTS | 33% | 69% |
| BTTS & Win | 11% | 15% |
| BTTS & Draw | 11% | 31% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 22% | 62% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 33% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| União Santarém | Mafra | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 22% | 15% |
| Draw 1st Half | 44% | 62% |
| Loss 1st Half | 33% | 23% |
| Scored 1st Half | 22% | 62% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 33% | 69% |
| Win 2nd Half | 22% | 54% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 44% | 31% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 33% | 15% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 44% | 77% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 44% | 62% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 56% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 22% | 62% |
Recent Venue Form
União Santarém (H)L
GIL Vicente2–3
GIL Vicente2–3W
Lusitano Évora 19113–0
Lusitano Évora 19113–0W
Merelinense5–0
Merelinense5–0L
Caldas0–1
Caldas0–1D
Oliveirense1–1
Oliveirense1–1D
Academica0–0
Academica0–0Mafra (A)DCaldas3–3
Caldas3–3LOliveirense1–2
Oliveirense1–2W
Atlético Malveira3–2
Atlético Malveira3–2LLusitano Évora 19111–2
Lusitano Évora 19111–2D
Atlético CP1–1
Atlético CP1–1L
FC Fredericia2–3
FC Fredericia2–3Head to Head · 5 matches
1
União Santarém
20%
1
Draws
20%
3
Mafra
60%
60%
Over 1.5
3/5
60%
Over 2.5
3/5
20%
Over 3.5
1/5
60%
BTTS
3/5
03/04/26União Santarém
Mafra
2–1União Santarém04/03/26Mafra
União Santarém
3–1Mafra16/01/26União Santarém
Mafra
0–0União Santarém26/10/25Mafra
União Santarém
1–2Mafra02/10/22Mafra
União Santarém
0–1Mafra| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paredes | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 16 |
| 1 |  CF Os Belenenses | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +11 | 16 |
| 2 | Atlético CP | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 13 |
| 2 |  Leça | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 10 |
| 3 |  AD Marco 09 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 10 |
| 3 | Oliveirense | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 |
| 4 | Mafra | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 9 |
| 4 |  Vianense | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +1 | 9 |
| 5 |  Fafe | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +4 | 9 |
| 5 | Caldas | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 8 |
| 6 |  Varzim | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | +2 | 9 |
| 6 | União Santarém | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 7 |
| 7 |  Pacos Ferreira | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 8 |
| 7 |  Louletano | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| 8 |  SC Covilha | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 8 |  São João Ver | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 9 | Lusitano Évora 1911 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 6 |
| 9 |  Guimaraes B | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 5 |
| 10 |  Trofense | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -9 | 5 |
| 10 |  Vitória de Sernache | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -9 | 4 |
Team Insights
União Santarém- ●União Santarém have won their last 2 matches.
- ●80% of União Santarém's goals conceded were conceded away.
Mafra- ●Mafra have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Mafra have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Mafra have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Mafra have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Mafra have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Mafra have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●80% of Mafra's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●78% of Mafra's points have been earned at home.
- ●Mafra have conceded 60% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
União SantarémWHLusitano Évora 19113–0
Lusitano Évora 19113–0WALouletano2–1
Louletano2–1LHCaldas0–1
Caldas0–1LACF Os Belenenses0–5
CF Os Belenenses0–5DHOliveirense1–1
Oliveirense1–1LASC Covilha0–2
SC Covilha0–2–HVitória de Sernache25/10
Vitória de Sernache25/10–AAtlético CP31/10
Atlético CP31/10–HMafra06/11
Mafra06/11MafraDACaldas3–3
Caldas3–3DHCF Os Belenenses2–2
CF Os Belenenses2–2LAOliveirense1–2
Oliveirense1–2WHSC Covilha1–0
SC Covilha1–0LALusitano Évora 19111–2
Lusitano Évora 19111–2DAAtlético CP1–1
Atlético CP1–1–HLouletano31/10
Louletano31/10–AUnião Santarém06/11
União Santarém06/11–AVitória de Sernache29/11
Vitória de Sernache29/11Top Scorers
União Santarém5 ⚽
Costinha2 ⚽
R. Mordomo2 ⚽
R. Camacho1 ⚽
L. Martins1 ⚽
J. Nobrega1 ⚽
Mafra12 ⚽
M. Niang5 ⚽
R. Matos2 ⚽
Rodrigo Matos2 ⚽
L. Neves2 ⚽
Xico1 ⚽
Cards Given
União SantarémG. Isnaba2 🟨
J. Nobrega2 🟨
M. Pami2 🟨
A. Sousa2 🟨
J. Simoes1 🟨
K. John1 🟨
Mafra9 🟨
Lénio Neves3 🟨
Y. Maiga3 🟨
G. Cardoso1 🟨
A. Ba1 🟨
R. Moreira1 🟨