Caldas vs Oliveirense — Liga 3
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Caldas and Oliveirense meet in the Liga 3 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Caldas have recorded 3 wins from 10 matches this season (30% win rate), averaging 1.30 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 40% of games. Oliveirense have won 30% of their 10 matches, with 1.50 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 70%, Over 2.5 at 70%, and clean sheets at 30%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.50 for Caldas and 1.25 for Oliveirense. The models give Caldas a 42% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Oliveirense win at 31%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 52% and BTTS at 56%.
Season Statistics
CaldasOliveirenseHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Caldas | Home | Away | Oliveirense | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 80% | 83% | 75% | 80% | 83% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 40% | 67% | 0% | 40% | 50% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 10% | 17% | 0% | 20% | 33% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 17% | 25% | 20% | 17% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Caldas | Home | Away | Oliveirense | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 60% | 67% | 50% | 70% | 67% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 67% | 25% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 40% | 50% | 25% | 10% | 0% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 33% | 50% | 30% | 33% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Caldas | Oliveirense | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 | 60% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 70% |
| Over 3.5 | 50% | 40% |
| Over 4.5 | 30% | 10% |
| BTTS | 50% | 70% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 20% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 20% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 60% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 10% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Caldas | Oliveirense | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 20% | 40% |
| Draw 1st Half | 40% | 40% |
| Loss 1st Half | 40% | 20% |
| Scored 1st Half | 40% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 30% |
| Win 2nd Half | 30% | 30% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 30% | 50% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 40% | 20% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 60% | 60% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 40% | 60% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 70% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 30% | 30% |
Recent Venue Form
Caldas (H)
Mafra3–3
Vitória de Sernache2–0
Sintrense1–3
Louletano2–4
Lusitano Évora 19110–0
Academica2–2Oliveirense (A)Lusitano Évora 19112–2
SC Covilha0–0
Atlético CP1–3
União Santarém1–1
Feirense2–1
Chaves1–2| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  CF Os Belenenses | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | +12 | 20 |
| 1 |  Paredes | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +9 | 19 |
| 2 | Atlético CP | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +10 | 17 |
| 2 |  AD Marco 09 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 14 |
| 3 |  Fafe | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | +6 | 13 |
| 3 | Mafra | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +5 | 12 |
| 4 |  Leça | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 13 |
| 4 | Caldas | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 11 |
| 5 |  Vianense | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 10 |
| 5 | Oliveirense | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 10 |
| 6 | União Santarém | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 10 |
| 6 |  Guimaraes B | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 |
| 7 |  São João Ver | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 9 |
| 7 | Louletano | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 8 |
| 8 |  Varzim | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -2 | 9 |
| 8 | SC Covilha | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 9 |  Pacos Ferreira | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 8 |
| 9 | Vitória de Sernache | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 7 |
| 10 | Lusitano Évora 1911 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 6 |
| 10 |  Trofense | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -11 | 5 |
Team Insights
Caldas- ●Caldas have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●70% of Caldas's goals have been scored at home.
Oliveirense- ●Oliveirense have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
Season Schedule
CaldasSC Covilha1–0Mafra3–3Atlético CP1–4Vitória de Sernache2–0União Santarém1–0Louletano2–4Oliveirense07/11CF Os Belenenses29/11Lusitano Évora 191106/12OliveirenseCF Os Belenenses1–2Lusitano Évora 19112–2SC Covilha0–0Mafra2–1Atlético CP1–3Vitória de Sernache3–2Caldas07/11Louletano29/11União Santarém06/12Top Scorers
CaldasOliveirenseCards Given
CaldasOliveirense