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AD Marco 09 vs Paredes — Liga 3

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Portugal · Liga 3 · Regular Season - 9
AD Marco 09
AD Marco 09
2º · 1.75 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 7d 5h
vs
–
–
Paredes
Paredes
1º · 2.38 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 6d 0h
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AD Marco 09 and Paredes meet in the Liga 3 2026 season on 7 November 2026. AD Marco 09 have recorded 6 wins from 13 matches this season (46% win rate), averaging 0.85 goals scored and 0.85 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 23% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 23%; and clean sheets in 54% of games. Paredes have won 79% of their 14 matches, with 2.43 goals scored and 1.14 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 64%, Over 2.5 at 71%, and clean sheets at 29%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.27 for AD Marco 09 and 1.06 for Paredes. The models give AD Marco 09 a 39% win probability, with a draw at 29% and an Paredes win at 31%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 41% and BTTS at 47%.

Season Statistics

AD Marco 09
—
Paredes
2º
Position
1º
1.75
PPG
2.38
50%
Win %
75%
1.00
Goals / game
2.13
0.63
Conceded / game
1.00
23%
BTTS %
64%
54%
Clean sheet %
29%
23%
Over 2.5 %
71%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

AD Marco 09
Home (4)
—
Paredes
Away (3)
2.50
PPG
2.33
75%
Win %
67%
1.25
Goals / game
1.67
0.25
Conceded / game
1.00
20%
BTTS %
50%
80%
Clean sheet %
33%
20%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

AD MarcoHomeAwayParedesHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored62%80%50%93%100%83%
Over 1.5 Scored23%40%13%64%75%50%
Over 2.5 Scored0%0%0%50%50%50%
Failed To Score38%20%50%7%0%17%

Goals Conceded

AD MarcoHomeAwayParedesHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded46%20%63%71%75%67%
Over 1.5 Conceded31%0%50%36%25%50%
Over 2.5 Conceded8%0%13%7%0%17%
Clean Sheets54%80%38%29%25%33%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

AD MarcoParedes
Over 0.585%100%
Over 1.562%79%
Over 2.523%71%
Over 3.50%50%
Over 4.50%29%
BTTS23%64%
BTTS & Win8%50%
BTTS & Draw8%7%
BTTS & Over 2.515%64%
BTTS No & Over 2.58%7%

1st Half / 2nd Half

AD MarcoParedes
Win 1st Half33%62%
Draw 1st Half33%15%
Loss 1st Half33%23%
Scored 1st Half33%85%
Conceded 1st Half33%38%
Win 2nd Half42%38%
Draw 2nd Half42%46%
Loss 2nd Half17%15%
Scored 2nd Half50%62%
Conceded 2nd Half25%46%
Over 0.5 HT67%92%
Over 1.5 HT17%62%

Recent Venue Form

AD Marco (H)
DFafe0–0
WMaia Lidador1–0
WGuimaraes B1–0
WVianense2–0
WPacos Ferreira2–1
WSC Braga B1–0
Paredes (A)
DVianense3–3
WVarzim1–0
WErmesinde3–1
WPacos Ferreira1–0
WAVS4–2
LSanta Clara0–2

Head to Head · 8 matches

2
AD Marco
25%
3
Draws
38%
3
Paredes
38%
63%
Over 1.5
5/8
25%
Over 2.5
2/8
13%
Over 3.5
1/8
13%
BTTS
1/8
03/05/26
Paredes
2–2
AD Marco 09
14/02/26
AD Marco 09
0–2
Paredes
11/01/26
AD Marco 09
0–3
Paredes
05/10/25
Paredes
2–0
AD Marco 09
01/06/25
Paredes
0–0
AD Marco 09
11/05/25
AD Marco 09
0–0
Paredes
24/03/24
Paredes
0–2
AD Marco 09
10/12/23
AD Marco 09
1–0
Paredes
Liga 3
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1CF Os Belenenses8620+1220
1Paredes8611+919
2Atlético CP8521+1017
2AD Marco 098422+314
3Fafe8341+613
3Mafra8332+512
4Leça8413+213
4Caldas8323-211
5Vianense8242-110
5Oliveirense8242-110
6União Santarém8314-510
6Guimaraes B823309
7São João Ver8233-19
7Louletano8224-28
8Varzim8305-29
8SC Covilha8143-37
9Pacos Ferreira8224-58
9Vitória de Sernache8215-97
10Lusitano Évora 19118134-56
10Trofense8125-115

Team Insights

AD Marco
  • ●AD Marco 09 have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
  • ●AD Marco 09 have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
  • ●AD Marco 09 have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 home matches.
  • ●63% of AD Marco 09's goals have been scored at home.
Paredes
  • ●Paredes have won their last 2 matches.
  • ●Paredes have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
  • ●Paredes have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
  • ●Paredes have won their last 3 home matches.
  • ●Paredes have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
  • ●Paredes have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
  • ●Paredes failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
  • ●71% of Paredes's goals have been scored at home.
  • ●Paredes have scored 65% of their goals in the first half.
AD Marco 09AD Marco 09
WATrofense10º2–0
DHFafe3º0–0
LAFarense0–3
LALeça4º0–2
WHMaia Lidador1–0
WHGuimaraes B6º1–0
DASão João Ver7º0–0
WARégua1–0
WHVianense5º2–0
LAVarzim8º1–2
ParedesParedes
WHSão João Ver7º2–1
WHTrofense10º4–0
WHFamalicao1–0
DAVianense5º3–3
WHMaria da Fonte5–1
WHFafe3º2–1
WAVarzim8º1–0
WAErmesinde3–1
LHLeça4º1–2
WAPacos Ferreira9º1–0

Season Schedule

AD Marco
WATrofense2–0
DHFafe0–0
LALeça0–2
WHGuimaraes B1–0
DASão João Ver0–0
WHVianense2–0
–HParedes07/11
–APacos Ferreira28/11
–HVarzim06/12
Paredes
WHSão João Ver2–1
WHTrofense4–0
DAVianense3–3
WHFafe2–1
WAVarzim1–0
LHLeça1–2
–AAD Marco 0907/11
–AGuimaraes B29/11
–HPacos Ferreira06/12

Top Scorers

AD Marco
Ka4 ⚽
P. Pedro3 ⚽
L. Garro1 ⚽
M. Douglas1 ⚽
1 ⚽
Paredes
F. Canario5 ⚽
F. Almara4 ⚽
Miguel4 ⚽
D. Rodrigues3 ⚽
Erik3 ⚽
J. Yuk2 ⚽

Cards Given

AD Marco
B. Traore5 🟨
Lucas Henrique2 🟨
2 🟨
F. Pacheco1 🟨
G. Lobo1 🟨
B. Guimaraes1 🟨
Paredes
Miguel3 🟨
3 🟨
J. Vigario2 🟨
Erik2 🟨
D. P. Duarte2 🟨
D. Rodrigues2 🟨