Evesham United vs Yate Town — Non League Premier - Southern South
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Evesham United and Yate Town meet in the Non League Premier - Southern South 2026 season on 10 November 2026. Evesham United have recorded 8 wins from 22 matches this season (36% win rate), averaging 1.18 goals scored and 1.82 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 41% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 64%; and clean sheets in 27% of games. Yate Town have won 21% of their 19 matches, with 1.16 goals scored and 1.74 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 63%, Over 2.5 at 63%, and clean sheets at 21%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.62 for Evesham United and 1.50 for Yate Town. The models give Evesham United a 39% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Yate Town win at 35%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 60% and BTTS at 62%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Evesham United | Home | Away | Yate Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 64% | 64% | 63% | 74% | 60% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 32% | 29% | 38% | 26% | 30% | 22% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 18% | 14% | 25% | 16% | 20% | 11% |
| Failed To Score | 36% | 36% | 38% | 26% | 40% | 11% |
Goals Conceded
| Evesham United | Home | Away | Yate Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 73% | 64% | 88% | 79% | 60% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 55% | 50% | 63% | 53% | 30% | 78% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 36% | 36% | 38% | 32% | 30% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 27% | 36% | 13% | 21% | 40% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Evesham United | Yate Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 | 86% | 79% |
| Over 2.5 | 64% | 63% |
| Over 3.5 | 36% | 32% |
| Over 4.5 | 14% | 21% |
| BTTS | 41% | 63% |
| BTTS & Win | 14% | 11% |
| BTTS & Draw | 5% | 21% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 36% | 47% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 27% | 16% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Evesham United | Yate Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 32% | 26% |
| Draw 1st Half | 27% | 53% |
| Loss 1st Half | 41% | 21% |
| Scored 1st Half | 55% | 47% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 37% |
| Win 2nd Half | 23% | 5% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 27% | 42% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 50% | 53% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 36% | 37% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 59% | 68% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 82% | 58% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 41% | 42% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 6 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | +9 | 27 | |
| 2 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | +15 | 26 | |
| 3 | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | +9 | 26 | |
| 4 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | +10 | 24 | |
| 5 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +12 | 23 | |
| 6 | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | +2 | 22 | |
| 7 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | +7 | 19 | |
| 8 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | +7 | 19 | |
| 9 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | +4 | 19 | |
| 10 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +11 | 18 | |
| 11 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | +2 | 18 | |
| 12 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | -2 | 16 | |
| 13 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -4 | 15 | |
| 14 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | -14 | 14 | |
| 15 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -9 | 13 | |
| 16 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | -11 | 13 | |
| 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 12 | |
| 18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | -4 | 11 | |
| 19 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -15 | 11 | |
| 20 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -3 | 10 | |
| 21 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -8 | 9 | |
| 22 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -14 | 9 |
Team Insights
- ●Evesham United have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Evesham United have lost their last 5 matches.
- ●Evesham United failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Evesham United have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Evesham United have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Evesham United failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Evesham United have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Evesham United have lost 4 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Evesham United failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Evesham United have lost 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Evesham United have scored 60% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Yate Town have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Yate Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 11 matches.
- ●Yate Town have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Yate Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Yate Town have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Yate Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Yate Town have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Yate Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Yate Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Yate Town have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Yate Town have scored 63% of their goals in the first half.