Malvern Town vs Hanworth Villa — Non League Premier - Southern South
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Malvern Town and Hanworth Villa meet in the Non League Premier - Southern South 2026 season on 24 November 2026. Malvern Town have recorded 3 wins from 20 matches this season (15% win rate), averaging 1.20 goals scored and 2.45 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 60% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 75%; and clean sheets in 15% of games. Hanworth Villa have won 67% of their 24 matches, with 2.33 goals scored and 1.29 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 71%, Over 2.5 at 71%, and clean sheets at 21%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.65 for Malvern Town and 1.59 for Hanworth Villa. The models give Malvern Town a 35% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Hanworth Villa win at 40%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 63% and BTTS at 64%.
Season Statistics
Malvern Town—
Hanworth Villa22º
Position
3º
0.79
PPG
2.00
21%
Win %
60%
1.50
Goals / game
2.07
2.71
Conceded / game
1.20
60%
BTTS %
71%
15%
Clean sheet %
21%
75%
Over 2.5 %
71%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Malvern Town
Home (6)
—
Hanworth Villa
Away (7)
1.67
PPG
2.00
50%
Win %
57%
2.17
Goals / game
1.57
1.83
Conceded / game
0.86
75%
BTTS %
50%
13%
Clean sheet %
30%
75%
Over 2.5 %
60%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Malvern Town | Home | Away | Hanworth Villa | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 65% | 88% | 50% | 88% | 100% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 35% | 50% | 25% | 71% | 86% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 10% | 25% | 0% | 33% | 43% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 35% | 13% | 50% | 13% | 0% | 30% |
Goals Conceded
| Malvern Town | Home | Away | Hanworth Villa | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 85% | 88% | 83% | 79% | 86% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 75% | 75% | 75% | 29% | 36% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 45% | 13% | 67% | 13% | 14% | 10% |
| Clean Sheets | 15% | 13% | 17% | 21% | 14% | 30% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Malvern Town | Hanworth Villa | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90% | 96% |
| Over 1.5 | 90% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 | 75% | 71% |
| Over 3.5 | 45% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 | 35% | 42% |
| BTTS | 60% | 71% |
| BTTS & Win | 10% | 50% |
| BTTS & Draw | 15% | 8% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 67% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 25% | 4% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Malvern Town | Hanworth Villa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 10% | 54% |
| Draw 1st Half | 45% | 25% |
| Loss 1st Half | 45% | 21% |
| Scored 1st Half | 40% | 71% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 70% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 20% | 50% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 25% | 25% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 55% | 25% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 71% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 75% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 80% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 35% | 46% |
Recent Venue Form
Malvern Town (H)W
Frome Town2–0
Frome Town2–0W
Yate Town3–2
Yate Town3–2W
Gloucester City5–2
Gloucester City5–2D
Redditch United1–1
Redditch United1–1L
Chippenham Town1–2
Chippenham Town1–2L
Wimborne Town0–3
Wimborne Town0–3Hanworth Villa (A)W
Chichester City2–1
Chichester City2–1L
Enfield Town1–5
Enfield Town1–5D
Havant & Wville2–2
Havant & Wville2–2W
Bracknell Town4–1
Bracknell Town4–1L
Leatherhead0–1
Leatherhead0–1W
Berkhamsted2–1
Berkhamsted2–1| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Uxbridge | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | +17 | 32 |
| 2 |  Poole Town | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | +11 | 31 |
| 3 | Hanworth Villa | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | +13 | 30 |
| 4 |  Plymouth Parkway | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | +13 | 29 |
| 5 |  Bath City | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | +10 | 29 |
| 6 |  Chertsey Town | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | +9 | 26 |
| 7 | Chichester City | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | +2 | 25 |
| 8 |  Gosport Borough | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | +5 | 24 |
| 9 | Wimborne Town | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | +13 | 22 |
| 10 |  Taunton Town | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | +6 | 19 |
| 11 | Frome Town | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | +3 | 19 |
| 12 | Berkhamsted | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | -2 | 18 |
| 13 |  Sholing | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | -2 | 16 |
| 14 |  Evesham United | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | -12 | 16 |
| 15 |  Basingstoke Town | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -7 | 15 |
| 16 |  Hanwell Town | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -3 | 14 |
| 17 | Yate Town | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -11 | 14 |
| 18 | Bracknell Town | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | -18 | 14 |
| 19 | Havant & Wville | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | -12 | 12 |
| 20 | Chippenham Town | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -14 | 12 |
| 21 | Gloucester City | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -4 | 11 |
| 22 | Malvern Town | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | -17 | 11 |
Team Insights
Malvern Town- ●Malvern Town have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Malvern Town have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Malvern Town have lost their last 6 away matches.
- ●Malvern Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Malvern Town have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Malvern Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Malvern Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Malvern Town have lost 7 of their 8 away matches.
- ●62% of Malvern Town's goals have been scored at home.
- ●71% of Malvern Town's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●91% of Malvern Town's points have been earned at home.
Hanworth Villa- ●Hanworth Villa have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Hanworth Villa failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Hanworth Villa have scored in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Hanworth Villa failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Hanworth Villa have scored in each of their last 8 home matches.
- ●Hanworth Villa have been undefeated in their last 5 away matches.
- ●Hanworth Villa have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Hanworth Villa have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Hanworth Villa failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Hanworth Villa have scored in 8 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Hanworth Villa failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Hanworth Villa have won 4 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Hanworth Villa have scored in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●65% of Hanworth Villa's goals have been scored at home.
- ●67% of Hanworth Villa's goals conceded were conceded at home.
Season Schedule
Malvern TownLASholing2–4
Sholing2–4LAUxbridge0–3
Uxbridge0–3WHFrome Town2–0
Frome Town2–0WHYate Town3–2
Yate Town3–2LABasingstoke Town1–4
Basingstoke Town1–4LABath City1–2
Bath City1–2–HHavant & Wville07/11
Havant & Wville07/11–AGloucester City10/11
Gloucester City10/11–HChichester City14/11
Chichester City14/11Hanworth VillaWHPlymouth Parkway4–2
Plymouth Parkway4–2WAChichester City2–1
Chichester City2–1DHChippenham Town1–1
Chippenham Town1–1DAHavant & Wville2–2
Havant & Wville2–2WABracknell Town4–1
Bracknell Town4–1LHGloucester City1–3
Gloucester City1–3–ABasingstoke Town07/11
Basingstoke Town07/11–HBerkhamsted10/11
Berkhamsted10/11–AFrome Town14/11
Frome Town14/11Top Scorers
Malvern TownH. Clark7 ⚽
J. Tumelty3 ⚽
S. Clark3 ⚽
M. Fulloway2 ⚽
L. Payne1 ⚽
D. Digie1 ⚽
Hanworth VillaM. Harding8 ⚽
H. Vaughan7 ⚽
5 ⚽
G. McGregor3 ⚽
L. Jake3 ⚽
E. Bolton2 ⚽
Cards Given
Malvern TownD. Molyneux1 🟨
Hanworth VillaE. Bolton1 🟨