Worcester City vs Bury Town — Non League Premier - Southern Central
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Worcester City and Bury Town meet in the Non League Premier - Southern Central 2026 season on 21 November 2026. Worcester City have recorded 8 wins from 23 matches this season (35% win rate), averaging 1.09 goals scored and 1.04 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 48% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 35%; and clean sheets in 30% of games. Bury Town have won 59% of their 22 matches, with 1.95 goals scored and 1.82 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 59%, Over 2.5 at 68%, and clean sheets at 27%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.51 for Worcester City and 1.40 for Bury Town. The models give Worcester City a 38% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Bury Town win at 35%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 55% and BTTS at 59%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Worcester City | Home | Away | Bury Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 70% | 64% | 75% | 87% | 90% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 22% | 18% | 25% | 57% | 60% | 54% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 13% | 9% | 17% | 35% | 30% | 38% |
| Failed To Score | 30% | 36% | 25% | 13% | 10% | 15% |
Goals Conceded
| Worcester City | Home | Away | Bury Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 70% | 45% | 92% | 74% | 60% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 26% | 18% | 33% | 52% | 50% | 54% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 9% | 9% | 8% | 35% | 40% | 31% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 55% | 8% | 26% | 40% | 15% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Worcester City | Bury Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 61% | 78% |
| Over 2.5 | 35% | 70% |
| Over 3.5 | 22% | 61% |
| Over 4.5 | 4% | 43% |
| BTTS | 48% | 61% |
| BTTS & Win | 13% | 30% |
| BTTS & Draw | 22% | 17% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 30% | 57% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 4% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Worcester City | Bury Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 30% | 30% |
| Draw 1st Half | 30% | 39% |
| Loss 1st Half | 39% | 30% |
| Scored 1st Half | 35% | 61% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 48% | 61% |
| Win 2nd Half | 35% | 43% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 43% | 22% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 22% | 35% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 57% | 61% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 39% | 61% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 74% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 17% | 61% |
Recent Venue Form
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Worcester City | Bury Town |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 0.0 | 4.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 0.0 | 4.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 0% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 0% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 0% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 0% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 0% | 0% |
Head to Head · 2 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | +17 | 32 | |
| 2 | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | +4 | 32 | |
| 3 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | +14 | 31 | |
| 4 | 16 | 9 | 0 | 7 | +7 | 27 | |
| 5 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | +14 | 26 | |
| 6 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | +6 | 26 | |
| 7 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | +11 | 25 | |
| 8 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | +9 | 25 | |
| 9 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | +7 | 23 | |
| 10 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 23 | |
| 11 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | +2 | 22 | |
| 12 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | +3 | 20 | |
| 13 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | +2 | 18 | |
| 14 | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | -6 | 16 | |
| 15 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 15 | |
| 16 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | -10 | 14 | |
| 17 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 13 | |
| 18 | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -6 | 13 | |
| 19 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | -10 | 13 | |
| 20 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | -9 | 10 | |
| 21 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | -17 | 6 | |
| 22 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 13 | -35 | 4 |
Team Insights
- ●Worcester City have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Worcester City failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Worcester City have scored in 6 of their 8 away matches.
- ●71% of Worcester City's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Bury Town have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Bury Town have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Bury Town have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Bury Town have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Bury Town have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Bury Town have scored in 7 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Bury Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Bury Town have won 5 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Bury Town have scored in 7 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Bury Town have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.