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Worcester City vs Bury Town — Non League Premier - Southern Central

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Worcester City
Worcester City
17º · 1.00 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 21d 0h
vs
–
–
Bury Town
Bury Town
2º · 2.13 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 17d 19h
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Worcester City and Bury Town meet in the Non League Premier - Southern Central 2026 season on 21 November 2026. Worcester City have recorded 8 wins from 23 matches this season (35% win rate), averaging 1.09 goals scored and 1.04 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 48% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 35%; and clean sheets in 30% of games. Bury Town have won 59% of their 22 matches, with 1.95 goals scored and 1.82 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 59%, Over 2.5 at 68%, and clean sheets at 27%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.51 for Worcester City and 1.40 for Bury Town. The models give Worcester City a 38% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Bury Town win at 35%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 55% and BTTS at 59%.

Season Statistics

Worcester City
—
Bury Town
17º
Position
2º
1.00
PPG
2.13
23%
Win %
67%
1.15
Goals / game
1.73
1.31
Conceded / game
1.47
48%
BTTS %
59%
30%
Clean sheet %
27%
35%
Over 2.5 %
68%
0.0
Avg corners
4.0
0.0
Avg shots
13.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
5.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
54.0%

Home vs Away

Worcester City
Home (5)
—
Bury Town
Away (8)
1.40
PPG
2.00
40%
Win %
63%
1.20
Goals / game
1.63
1.00
Conceded / game
1.50
27%
BTTS %
69%
55%
Clean sheet %
15%
27%
Over 2.5 %
77%
0.0
Avg corners
4.0
0.0
Avg shots
13.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
5.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
54.0%

Goals Scored

Worcester CityHomeAwayBury TownHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored70%64%75%87%90%85%
Over 1.5 Scored22%18%25%57%60%54%
Over 2.5 Scored13%9%17%35%30%38%
Failed To Score30%36%25%13%10%15%

Goals Conceded

Worcester CityHomeAwayBury TownHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded70%45%92%74%60%85%
Over 1.5 Conceded26%18%33%52%50%54%
Over 2.5 Conceded9%9%8%35%40%31%
Clean Sheets30%55%8%26%40%15%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

Worcester CityBury Town
Over 0.591%100%
Over 1.561%78%
Over 2.535%70%
Over 3.522%61%
Over 4.54%43%
BTTS48%61%
BTTS & Win13%30%
BTTS & Draw22%17%
BTTS & Over 2.530%57%
BTTS No & Over 2.54%13%

1st Half / 2nd Half

Worcester CityBury Town
Win 1st Half30%30%
Draw 1st Half30%39%
Loss 1st Half39%30%
Scored 1st Half35%61%
Conceded 1st Half48%61%
Win 2nd Half35%43%
Draw 2nd Half43%22%
Loss 2nd Half22%35%
Scored 2nd Half57%61%
Conceded 2nd Half39%61%
Over 0.5 HT74%78%
Over 1.5 HT17%61%

Recent Venue Form

Worcester City (H)
WReal Bedford4–1
WChorley1–0
LStourbridge1–3
LLeek Town0–2
DBanbury United0–0
WStratford Town2–1
Bury Town (A)
LHitchin Town1–5
DReal Bedford2–2
WAlvechurch1–0
LSpalding United0–4
WBishop's Stortford2–1
LSt Albans City1–4

Team Corners

Team CornersWorcester CityBury Town
Corners Earned / Match0.04.0
Corners Against / Match0.04.0
Over 2.5 Corners For0%100%
Over 3.5 Corners For0%100%
Over 4.5 Corners For0%0%
Over 2.5 Corners Against0%100%
Over 3.5 Corners Against0%100%
Over 4.5 Corners Against0%0%

Head to Head · 2 matches

0
Worcester City
0%
2
Draws
100%
0
Bury Town
0%
100%
Over 1.5
2/2
50%
Over 2.5
1/2
50%
Over 3.5
1/2
100%
BTTS
2/2
03/04/26
Bury Town
1–1
Worcester City
23/08/25
Worcester City
2–2
Bury Town
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Real Bedford151023+1732
2Bury Town151023+432
3Bromsgrove Sporting14941+1431
4Rushall Olympic16907+727
5Alvechurch14752+1426
6Peterborough Sports15753+626
7Kettering Town14743+1125
8Needham Market15744+925
9Anstey Nomads13652+723
10Halesowen Town13724+223
11Stourbridge14644+222
12Racing Club Warwick15555+320
13Redditch United13463+218
14Stratford Town15375-616
15Leiston13436-315
16Banbury United15357-1014
17Worcester City13346-213
18Hitchin Town15348-613
19Bishop's Stortford154110-1013
20Leamington15249-910
21Leighton Town141310-176
22Stamford151113-354

Team Insights

Worcester City
  • ●Worcester City have won their last 2 matches.
  • ●Worcester City failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 8 away matches.
  • ●Worcester City have scored in 6 of their 8 away matches.
  • ●71% of Worcester City's goals conceded were conceded away.
Bury Town
  • ●Bury Town have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
  • ●Bury Town have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
  • ●Bury Town have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
  • ●Bury Town have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
  • ●Bury Town have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 8 home matches.
  • ●Bury Town have scored in 7 of their 8 home matches.
  • ●Bury Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 8 away matches.
  • ●Bury Town have won 5 of their 8 away matches.
  • ●Bury Town have scored in 7 of their 8 away matches.
  • ●Bury Town have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
WHReal Bedford1º4–1
WABanbury United16º3–0
WHChorley1–0
DAChorley1–1
LHStourbridge11º1–3
LARushall Olympic4º0–1
LHLeek Town0–2
DHBanbury United16º0–0
LHKettering Town7º2–3
DHBanbury United16º2–2
LAHitchin Town18º1–5
DAReal Bedford1º2–2
WHStourbridge11º2–0
LHNeedham Market8º0–5
WAAlvechurch5º1–0

Season Schedule

Worcester City
WHReal Bedford4–1
WABanbury United3–0
LHStourbridge1–3
LARushall Olympic0–1
DARacing Club Warwick2–2
DHBanbury United0–0
–HRacing Club Warwick10/11
–AAnstey Nomads14/11
–HKettering Town17/11
Bury Town
LHKettering Town2–3
DHBanbury United2–2
LAHitchin Town1–5
DAReal Bedford2–2
WHStourbridge2–0
LHNeedham Market0–5
–ARacing Club Warwick07/11
–HBishop's Stortford10/11
–HRushall Olympic14/11

Top Scorers

Worcester City
C. Wise4 ⚽
L. Lockett3 ⚽
A. Bishop3 ⚽
D. Idehen2 ⚽
B. Smalley2 ⚽
N. Hayward2 ⚽
Bury Town
J. McGrath7 ⚽
O. Canfer5 ⚽
T. Smith4 ⚽
T. Hughes2 ⚽
S. Chambers2 ⚽
J. Carroll1 ⚽

Cards Given

Worcester City
A. Bishop1 🟨
C. Wise1 🟨
F. Salmon1 🟨
Bury Town
C. Beckwith1 🟨
R. Jolland1 🟨