Needham Market vs Banbury United — Non League Premier - Southern Central
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Needham Market and Banbury United meet in the Non League Premier - Southern Central 2026 season on 14 November 2026. Needham Market have recorded 9 wins from 20 matches this season (45% win rate), averaging 1.90 goals scored and 1.45 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 55% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 65%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. Banbury United have won 26% of their 19 matches, with 1.16 goals scored and 1.47 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 63%, Over 2.5 at 58%, and clean sheets at 26%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.79 for Needham Market and 1.15 for Banbury United. The models give Needham Market a 55% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Banbury United win at 21%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 56% and BTTS at 57%.
Season Statistics
Needham Market—
Banbury United5º
Position
16º
1.77
PPG
1.00
54%
Win %
23%
2.15
Goals / game
1.23
1.46
Conceded / game
1.77
55%
BTTS %
63%
25%
Clean sheet %
26%
65%
Over 2.5 %
58%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Needham Market
Home (7)
—
Banbury United
Away (6)
1.57
PPG
0.50
43%
Win %
0%
1.86
Goals / game
0.83
1.29
Conceded / game
1.83
60%
BTTS %
55%
20%
Clean sheet %
27%
60%
Over 2.5 %
55%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Needham Market | Home | Away | Banbury United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 75% | 80% | 70% | 68% | 88% | 55% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 60% | 60% | 60% | 37% | 38% | 36% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 40% | 40% | 40% | 11% | 13% | 9% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 20% | 30% | 32% | 13% | 45% |
Goals Conceded
| Needham Market | Home | Away | Banbury United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 75% | 80% | 70% | 74% | 75% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 35% | 40% | 30% | 42% | 50% | 36% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 25% | 30% | 20% | 26% | 25% | 27% |
| Clean Sheets | 25% | 20% | 30% | 26% | 25% | 27% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Needham Market | Banbury United | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 | 90% | 68% |
| Over 2.5 | 65% | 58% |
| Over 3.5 | 40% | 32% |
| Over 4.5 | 20% | 21% |
| BTTS | 55% | 63% |
| BTTS & Win | 25% | 21% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 11% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 45% | 53% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 20% | 5% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Needham Market | Banbury United | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 50% | 21% |
| Draw 1st Half | 15% | 58% |
| Loss 1st Half | 35% | 21% |
| Scored 1st Half | 65% | 58% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 53% |
| Win 2nd Half | 30% | 16% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 40% | 47% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 30% | 37% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 45% | 47% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 45% | 63% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 90% | 74% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 50% | 42% |
Recent Venue Form
Needham Market (H)L
Wingate & Finchley0–2
Wingate & Finchley0–2W
Bishop's Stortford2–1
Bishop's Stortford2–1D
Anstey Nomads1–1
Anstey Nomads1–1W
Stamford4–0
Stamford4–0D
Braintree3–3
Braintree3–3W
Worcester City2–0
Worcester City2–0Banbury United (A)L
Bourne Town0–1
Bourne Town0–1D
Bromsgrove Sporting1–1
Bromsgrove Sporting1–1L
Peterborough Sports2–4
Peterborough Sports2–4WPeterborough Sports3–1
Peterborough Sports3–1DWorcester City0–0
Worcester City0–0L
Exmouth1–2
Exmouth1–2Head to Head · 2 matches
0
Needham Market
0%
1
Draws
50%
1
Banbury United
50%
50%
Over 1.5
1/2
0%
Over 2.5
0/2
0%
Over 3.5
0/2
0%
BTTS
0/2
25/04/26Banbury United
Needham Market
0–2Banbury United13/12/25Needham Market
Banbury United
0–0Needham Market| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Real Bedford | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | +21 | 32 |
| 2 |  Bury Town | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 31 |
| 3 | Bromsgrove Sporting | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | +10 | 27 |
| 4 |  Rushall Olympic | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | +9 | 27 |
| 5 | Needham Market | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | +9 | 23 |
| 6 | Peterborough Sports | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | +7 | 23 |
| 7 |  Kettering Town | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | +13 | 22 |
| 8 |  Alvechurch | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | +12 | 22 |
| 9 | Anstey Nomads | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +4 | 19 |
| 10 |  Racing Club Warwick | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | +3 | 17 |
| 11 |  Halesowen Town | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 17 |
| 12 |  Stourbridge | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | -2 | 16 |
| 13 |  Redditch United | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | +1 | 14 |
| 14 |  Hitchin Town | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -4 | 13 |
| 15 | Bishop's Stortford | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | -6 | 13 |
| 16 | Banbury United | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -7 | 13 |
| 17 |  Leiston | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 12 |
| 18 |  Stratford Town | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | -8 | 12 |
| 19 |  Leamington | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -6 | 10 |
| 20 | Worcester City | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -8 | 7 |
| 21 |  Leighton Town | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | -13 | 5 |
| 22 | Stamford | 13 | 0 | 1 | 12 | -32 | 1 |
Team Insights
Needham Market- ●Needham Market have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Needham Market have scored in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Needham Market have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Needham Market have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Needham Market have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Needham Market have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Needham Market have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Needham Market have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Needham Market failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Needham Market have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Needham Market failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Needham Market have won 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Needham Market have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Needham Market have scored 61% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Needham Market have conceded 68% of their goals in the first half.
Banbury United- ●Banbury United have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Banbury United have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Banbury United have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Banbury United failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Banbury United have scored in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●69% of Banbury United's goals have been scored at home.
- ●77% of Banbury United's points have been earned at home.
- ●Banbury United have scored 56% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Needham MarketWHBishop's Stortford2–1
Bishop's Stortford2–1WALeamington2–1
Leamington2–1WABury Town5–0
Bury Town5–0DHAnstey Nomads1–1
Anstey Nomads1–1LARushall Olympic3–5
Rushall Olympic3–5WHStamford4–0
Stamford4–0–HLeighton Town27/10
Leighton Town27/10–ARedditch United31/10
Redditch United31/10–HStourbridge07/11
Stourbridge07/11Banbury UnitedWHLeighton Town1–0
Leighton Town1–0DABromsgrove Sporting1–1
Bromsgrove Sporting1–1LAPeterborough Sports2–4
Peterborough Sports2–4WHStamford3–2
Stamford3–2LHStratford Town2–3
Stratford Town2–3DAWorcester City0–0
Worcester City0–0–HWorcester City27/10
Worcester City27/10–ABury Town31/10
Bury Town31/10–HLeamington07/11
Leamington07/11Top Scorers
Needham MarketR. Miles9 ⚽
L. Pearce6 ⚽
K. Hammond4 ⚽
L. Ingram2 ⚽
T. Allen2 ⚽
D. Morphew2 ⚽
Banbury UnitedL. Steele5 ⚽
A. Prosser3 ⚽
O. Jackson2 ⚽
George AJ1 ⚽
J. Anker1 ⚽
J. Cavallo1 ⚽
Cards Given
Needham MarketD. Morphew2 🟨
Banbury UnitedA. Prosser1 🟨