Alvechurch vs Leighton Town — Non League Premier - Southern Central
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Alvechurch and Leighton Town meet in the Non League Premier - Southern Central 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Alvechurch have recorded 12 wins from 23 matches this season (52% win rate), averaging 1.91 goals scored and 0.96 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 52% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 57%; and clean sheets in 39% of games. Leighton Town have won 7% of their 14 matches, with 1.07 goals scored and 2.29 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 71%, Over 2.5 at 64%, and clean sheets at 0%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.82 for Alvechurch and 0.94 for Leighton Town. The models give Alvechurch a 60% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Leighton Town win at 17%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 52% and BTTS at 51%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Alvechurch | Home | Away | Leighton Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 83% | 82% | 83% | 71% | 83% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 65% | 64% | 67% | 36% | 50% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 30% | 36% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 17% | 18% | 17% | 29% | 17% | 38% |
Goals Conceded
| Alvechurch | Home | Away | Leighton Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 61% | 45% | 75% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 26% | 9% | 42% | 64% | 67% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 4% | 0% | 8% | 43% | 67% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 39% | 55% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Alvechurch | Leighton Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 78% | 86% |
| Over 2.5 | 57% | 64% |
| Over 3.5 | 39% | 36% |
| Over 4.5 | 9% | 36% |
| BTTS | 52% | 71% |
| BTTS & Win | 22% | 7% |
| BTTS & Draw | 26% | 14% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 43% | 57% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 13% | 7% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Alvechurch | Leighton Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 30% | 14% |
| Draw 1st Half | 48% | 0% |
| Loss 1st Half | 22% | 86% |
| Scored 1st Half | 52% | 14% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 48% | 93% |
| Win 2nd Half | 57% | 21% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 39% | 57% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 4% | 21% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 70% | 57% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 35% | 57% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 74% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 39% | 43% |
Recent Venue Form
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | +21 | 32 | |
| 2 | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 31 | |
| 3 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | +10 | 27 | |
| 4 | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | +9 | 27 | |
| 5 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | +9 | 23 | |
| 6 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | +7 | 23 | |
| 7 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | +13 | 22 | |
| 8 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | +12 | 22 | |
| 9 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +4 | 19 | |
| 10 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | +3 | 17 | |
| 11 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 17 | |
| 12 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | -2 | 16 | |
| 13 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | +1 | 14 | |
| 14 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -4 | 13 | |
| 15 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | -6 | 13 | |
| 16 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -7 | 13 | |
| 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 12 | |
| 18 | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | -8 | 12 | |
| 19 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -6 | 10 | |
| 20 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -8 | 7 | |
| 21 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | -13 | 5 | |
| 22 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 12 | -32 | 1 |
Team Insights
- ●Alvechurch have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Alvechurch have been undefeated in their last 5 away matches.
- ●Alvechurch have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Alvechurch have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Alvechurch have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●80% of Alvechurch's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Leighton Town have failed to win in their last 9 matches.
- ●Leighton Town have lost their last 9 matches.
- ●Leighton Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 12 matches.
- ●Leighton Town have lost their last 3 home matches.
- ●Leighton Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Leighton Town have lost their last 6 away matches.
- ●Leighton Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Leighton Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Leighton Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Leighton Town have lost 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Leighton Town have conceded 65% of their goals in the first half.