Worcester City vs Real Bedford — Non League Premier - Southern Central
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Worcester City and Real Bedford meet in the Non League Premier - Southern Central 2026 season on 31 October 2026. Worcester City have recorded 6 wins from 21 matches this season (29% win rate), averaging 0.86 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 48% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 29%; and clean sheets in 29% of games. Real Bedford have won 62% of their 21 matches, with 3.19 goals scored and 2.05 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 81%, Over 2.5 at 86%, and clean sheets at 14%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.18 for Worcester City and 1.65 for Real Bedford. The models give Worcester City a 23% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Real Bedford win at 52%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 54% and BTTS at 56%.
Season Statistics
Worcester City—
Real Bedford20º
Position
1º
0.64
PPG
2.46
9%
Win %
77%
0.73
Goals / game
2.85
1.45
Conceded / game
1.23
48%
BTTS %
81%
29%
Clean sheet %
14%
29%
Over 2.5 %
86%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Worcester City
Home (4)
—
Real Bedford
Away (6)
1.00
PPG
2.50
25%
Win %
83%
0.50
Goals / game
2.67
1.00
Conceded / game
0.83
20%
BTTS %
63%
60%
Clean sheet %
38%
20%
Over 2.5 %
75%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Worcester City | Home | Away | Real Bedford | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 67% | 60% | 73% | 95% | 92% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 14% | 10% | 18% | 86% | 85% | 88% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 5% | 0% | 9% | 57% | 62% | 50% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 40% | 27% | 5% | 8% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Worcester City | Home | Away | Real Bedford | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 71% | 40% | 100% | 86% | 100% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 29% | 20% | 36% | 52% | 69% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 10% | 10% | 9% | 29% | 31% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 29% | 60% | 0% | 14% | 0% | 38% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Worcester City | Real Bedford | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 57% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 | 29% | 86% |
| Over 3.5 | 19% | 71% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 52% |
| BTTS | 48% | 81% |
| BTTS & Win | 10% | 48% |
| BTTS & Draw | 24% | 19% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 29% | 76% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 10% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Worcester City | Real Bedford | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 24% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 48% |
| Loss 1st Half | 43% | 19% |
| Scored 1st Half | 29% | 76% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 48% | 62% |
| Win 2nd Half | 29% | 57% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 48% | 29% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 24% | 14% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 52% | 86% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 43% | 67% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 71% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 14% | 81% |
Recent Venue Form
Worcester City (H)W
Chorley1–0
Chorley1–0L
Stourbridge1–3
Stourbridge1–3L
Leek Town0–2
Leek Town0–2D
Banbury United0–0
Banbury United0–0W
Stratford Town2–1
Stratford Town2–1W
Knowle W1–0
Knowle W1–0Real Bedford (A)L
Bishop's Stortford1–3
Bishop's Stortford1–3W
Stamford4–0
Stamford4–0L
Chesham United3–4
Chesham United3–4WStourbridge4–1
Stourbridge4–1W
Harleston Town2–1
Harleston Town2–1W
Halesowen Town2–0
Halesowen Town2–0Head to Head · 2 matches
0
Worcester City
0%
1
Draws
50%
1
Real Bedford
50%
50%
Over 1.5
1/2
50%
Over 2.5
1/2
50%
Over 3.5
1/2
50%
BTTS
1/2
17/03/26Worcester City
Real Bedford
0–0Worcester City20/09/25Real Bedford
Worcester City
1–3Real Bedford| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Bedford | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | +21 | 32 |
| 2 |  Bury Town | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 31 |
| 3 |  Bromsgrove Sporting | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | +10 | 27 |
| 4 |  Rushall Olympic | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | +9 | 27 |
| 5 |  Needham Market | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | +9 | 23 |
| 6 |  Peterborough Sports | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | +7 | 23 |
| 7 |  Kettering Town | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | +13 | 22 |
| 8 |  Alvechurch | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | +12 | 22 |
| 9 |  Anstey Nomads | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +4 | 19 |
| 10 |  Racing Club Warwick | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | +3 | 17 |
| 11 | Halesowen Town | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 17 |
| 12 | Stourbridge | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | -2 | 16 |
| 13 |  Redditch United | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | +1 | 14 |
| 14 |  Hitchin Town | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -4 | 13 |
| 15 | Bishop's Stortford | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | -6 | 13 |
| 16 | Banbury United | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -7 | 13 |
| 17 |  Leiston | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 12 |
| 18 | Stratford Town | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | -8 | 12 |
| 19 |  Leamington | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -6 | 10 |
| 20 | Worcester City | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -8 | 7 |
| 21 |  Leighton Town | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | -13 | 5 |
| 22 | Stamford | 13 | 0 | 1 | 12 | -32 | 1 |
Team Insights
Worcester City- ●Worcester City have failed to win in their last 7 matches.
- ●Worcester City failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Worcester City failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Worcester City have scored in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●75% of Worcester City's goals have been scored away.
- ●75% of Worcester City's goals conceded were conceded away.
Real Bedford- ●Real Bedford have scored in each of their last 13 matches.
- ●Real Bedford have been undefeated in their last 7 home matches.
- ●Real Bedford failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Real Bedford have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Real Bedford have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Real Bedford failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Real Bedford have scored in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Real Bedford have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Real Bedford have won 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Real Bedford have scored in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●69% of Real Bedford's goals conceded were conceded at home.
Season Schedule
Worcester CityLHStourbridge1–3
Stourbridge1–3LARushall Olympic0–1
Rushall Olympic0–1DARacing Club Warwick2–2
Racing Club Warwick2–2DHBanbury United0–0
Banbury United0–0LANeedham Market0–2
Needham Market0–2LHBromsgrove Sporting0–1
Bromsgrove Sporting0–1–ABanbury United27/10
Banbury United27/10–HReal Bedford31/10
Real Bedford31/10–HBishop's Stortford03/11
Bishop's Stortford03/11Real BedfordLABishop's Stortford1–3
Bishop's Stortford1–3DHBury Town2–2
Bury Town2–2WAStamford4–0
Stamford4–0DHBromsgrove Sporting1–1
Bromsgrove Sporting1–1WHLeiston3–2
Leiston3–2WAStourbridge4–1
Stourbridge4–1–HStourbridge27/10
Stourbridge27/10–AWorcester City31/10
Worcester City31/10–AAnstey Nomads03/11
Anstey Nomads03/11Top Scorers
Worcester CityL. Lockett3 ⚽
C. Wise2 ⚽
B. Smalley2 ⚽
J. Taroni1 ⚽
L. Ezewele1 ⚽
M. Richards1 ⚽
Real BedfordJ. Allen13 ⚽
C. Tee8 ⚽
J. Ponticelli8 ⚽
B. Stevens7 ⚽
S. Cartwright3 ⚽
A. Jones2 ⚽
Cards Given
Worcester CityC. Wise1 🟨
F. Salmon1 🟨
Real BedfordJ. Ponticelli2 🟨
C. King1 🟨
D. Richardson1 🟨