Leiston vs Alvechurch — Non League Premier - Southern Central
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Leiston and Alvechurch meet in the Non League Premier - Southern Central 2026 season on 31 October 2026. Leiston have recorded 8 wins from 19 matches this season (42% win rate), averaging 1.79 goals scored and 1.68 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 63% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 79%; and clean sheets in 16% of games. Alvechurch have won 52% of their 23 matches, with 1.91 goals scored and 0.96 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 52%, Over 2.5 at 57%, and clean sheets at 39%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.59 for Leiston and 1.54 for Alvechurch. The models give Leiston a 40% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Alvechurch win at 35%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 60% and BTTS at 63%.
Season Statistics
Leiston—
Alvechurch17º
Position
8º
1.09
PPG
1.83
27%
Win %
50%
1.55
Goals / game
1.83
1.91
Conceded / game
0.83
63%
BTTS %
52%
16%
Clean sheet %
39%
79%
Over 2.5 %
57%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
5.0
Avg shots
0.0
3.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
3.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
49.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Leiston
Home (4)
—
Alvechurch
Away (6)
1.50
PPG
1.50
50%
Win %
33%
1.75
Goals / game
1.83
1.50
Conceded / game
1.33
50%
BTTS %
67%
13%
Clean sheet %
25%
88%
Over 2.5 %
67%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
5.0
Avg shots
0.0
3.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
3.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
49.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Leiston | Home | Away | Alvechurch | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 68% | 63% | 73% | 83% | 82% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 58% | 50% | 64% | 65% | 64% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 37% | 50% | 27% | 30% | 36% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 32% | 38% | 27% | 17% | 18% | 17% |
Goals Conceded
| Leiston | Home | Away | Alvechurch | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 84% | 88% | 82% | 61% | 45% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 47% | 50% | 45% | 26% | 9% | 42% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 26% | 25% | 27% | 4% | 0% | 8% |
| Clean Sheets | 16% | 13% | 18% | 39% | 55% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Leiston | Alvechurch | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 | 89% | 78% |
| Over 2.5 | 79% | 57% |
| Over 3.5 | 53% | 39% |
| Over 4.5 | 21% | 9% |
| BTTS | 63% | 52% |
| BTTS & Win | 37% | 22% |
| BTTS & Draw | 11% | 26% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 58% | 43% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 21% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Leiston | Alvechurch | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 37% | 30% |
| Draw 1st Half | 32% | 48% |
| Loss 1st Half | 32% | 22% |
| Scored 1st Half | 58% | 52% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 53% | 48% |
| Win 2nd Half | 26% | 57% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 32% | 39% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 42% | 4% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 53% | 70% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 63% | 35% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 84% | 74% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 58% | 39% |
Recent Venue Form
Leiston (H)L
Guiseley AFC0–3
Guiseley AFC0–3W
Coventry United3–1
Coventry United3–1L
Dartford0–3
Dartford0–3L
Peterborough Sports0–2
Peterborough Sports0–2W
Grays Athletic5–0
Grays Athletic5–0W
Redditch United3–1
Redditch United3–1Alvechurch (A)D
Stratford Town4–4
Stratford Town4–4D
Spalding United2–2
Spalding United2–2D
Halesowen Town1–1
Halesowen Town1–1W
Cambridge City2–1
Cambridge City2–1D
Anstey Nomads2–2
Anstey Nomads2–2W
Rushall Olympic1–0
Rushall Olympic1–0Team Corners
| Team Corners | Leiston | Alvechurch |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 7.0 | 0.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 0% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 0% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
Head to Head · 9 matches
3
Leiston
33%
6
Draws
67%
0
Alvechurch
0%
100%
Over 1.5
9/9
56%
Over 2.5
5/9
44%
Over 3.5
4/9
89%
BTTS
8/9
25/04/26Leiston
Alvechurch
1–1Leiston20/01/26Alvechurch
Leiston
3–3Alvechurch22/03/25Leiston
Alvechurch
1–1Leiston12/11/24Alvechurch
Leiston
2–1Alvechurch24/02/24Alvechurch
Leiston
2–2Alvechurch28/11/23Leiston
Alvechurch
0–2Leiston11/02/23Alvechurch
Leiston
1–1Alvechurch19/11/22Alvechurch
Leiston
4–3Alvechurch24/09/22Leiston
Alvechurch
3–3Leiston| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Real Bedford | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | +21 | 32 |
| 2 |  Bury Town | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 31 |
| 3 |  Bromsgrove Sporting | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | +10 | 27 |
| 4 | Rushall Olympic | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | +9 | 27 |
| 5 |  Needham Market | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | +9 | 23 |
| 6 | Peterborough Sports | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | +7 | 23 |
| 7 |  Kettering Town | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | +13 | 22 |
| 8 | Alvechurch | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | +12 | 22 |
| 9 | Anstey Nomads | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +4 | 19 |
| 10 |  Racing Club Warwick | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | +3 | 17 |
| 11 | Halesowen Town | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 17 |
| 12 |  Stourbridge | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | -2 | 16 |
| 13 | Redditch United | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | +1 | 14 |
| 14 |  Hitchin Town | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -4 | 13 |
| 15 |  Bishop's Stortford | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | -6 | 13 |
| 16 |  Banbury United | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -7 | 13 |
| 17 | Leiston | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 12 |
| 18 | Stratford Town | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | -8 | 12 |
| 19 |  Leamington | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -6 | 10 |
| 20 |  Worcester City | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -8 | 7 |
| 21 |  Leighton Town | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | -13 | 5 |
| 22 |  Stamford | 13 | 0 | 1 | 12 | -32 | 1 |
Team Insights
Leiston- ●Leiston have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Leiston failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Leiston have scored in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●71% of Leiston's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Leiston have scored 59% of their goals in the first half.
Alvechurch- ●Alvechurch have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Alvechurch have been undefeated in their last 5 away matches.
- ●Alvechurch have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Alvechurch have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Alvechurch have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●80% of Alvechurch's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
LeistonLAKettering Town0–4
Kettering Town0–4DARacing Club Warwick0–0
Racing Club Warwick0–0LAReal Bedford2–3
Real Bedford2–3LHPeterborough Sports0–2
Peterborough Sports0–2WABanbury United2–1
Banbury United2–1LABury Town3–4
Bury Town3–4–APeterborough Sports27/10
Peterborough Sports27/10–HAlvechurch31/10
Alvechurch31/10–ABromsgrove Sporting07/11
Bromsgrove Sporting07/11AlvechurchDAStratford Town4–4
Stratford Town4–4DAHalesowen Town1–1
Halesowen Town1–1LHBury Town0–1
Bury Town0–1DHStourbridge0–0
Stourbridge0–0DAAnstey Nomads2–2
Anstey Nomads2–2WHStamford4–0
Stamford4–0–HAnstey Nomads27/10
Anstey Nomads27/10–ALeiston31/10
Leiston31/10–HLeighton Town07/11
Leighton Town07/11Top Scorers
LeistonA. Mills9 ⚽
7 ⚽
H. Sayer4 ⚽
E. Jackson2 ⚽
N. Aitkens2 ⚽
W. Clemons2 ⚽
AlvechurchM. Okafor8 ⚽
E. Ilesanmi5 ⚽
4 ⚽
K. Wakefield3 ⚽
D. Newton2 ⚽
J. Osborne2 ⚽
Cards Given
Leiston3 🟨
AlvechurchBen Stephens1 🟨
George Forsyth1 🟨
J. Kelly1 🟨
Jamey Osborne1 🟨
Johan Rask1 🟨
K. Wakefield1 🟨