Real Bedford vs Stourbridge — Non League Premier - Southern Central
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Real Bedford and Stourbridge meet in the Non League Premier - Southern Central 2026 season on 27 October 2026. Real Bedford have recorded 13 wins from 21 matches this season (62% win rate), averaging 3.19 goals scored and 2.05 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 81% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 86%; and clean sheets in 14% of games. Stourbridge have won 35% of their 17 matches, with 1.35 goals scored and 1.65 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 59%, Over 2.5 at 53%, and clean sheets at 18%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.94 for Real Bedford and 1.44 for Stourbridge. The models give Real Bedford a 56% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an Stourbridge win at 22%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 66% and BTTS at 65%.
Season Statistics
Real Bedford—
Stourbridge1º
Position
12º
2.46
PPG
1.33
77%
Win %
33%
2.85
Goals / game
1.17
1.23
Conceded / game
1.33
81%
BTTS %
59%
14%
Clean sheet %
18%
86%
Over 2.5 %
53%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Real Bedford
Home (7)
—
Stourbridge
Away (6)
2.43
PPG
1.50
71%
Win %
33%
3.00
Goals / game
1.17
1.57
Conceded / game
1.00
92%
BTTS %
67%
0%
Clean sheet %
22%
92%
Over 2.5 %
44%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Real Bedford | Home | Away | Stourbridge | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 95% | 92% | 100% | 71% | 63% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 86% | 85% | 88% | 47% | 38% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 57% | 62% | 50% | 18% | 0% | 33% |
| Failed To Score | 5% | 8% | 0% | 29% | 38% | 22% |
Goals Conceded
| Real Bedford | Home | Away | Stourbridge | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 86% | 100% | 63% | 82% | 88% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 52% | 69% | 25% | 41% | 63% | 22% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 29% | 31% | 25% | 24% | 38% | 11% |
| Clean Sheets | 14% | 0% | 38% | 18% | 13% | 22% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Real Bedford | Stourbridge | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 88% |
| Over 2.5 | 86% | 53% |
| Over 3.5 | 71% | 41% |
| Over 4.5 | 52% | 18% |
| BTTS | 81% | 59% |
| BTTS & Win | 48% | 24% |
| BTTS & Draw | 19% | 24% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 76% | 47% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 10% | 6% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Real Bedford | Stourbridge | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 41% |
| Draw 1st Half | 48% | 29% |
| Loss 1st Half | 19% | 29% |
| Scored 1st Half | 76% | 59% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 62% | 47% |
| Win 2nd Half | 57% | 18% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 29% | 41% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 14% | 41% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 86% | 47% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 67% | 71% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 86% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 81% | 47% |
Recent Venue Form
Real Bedford (H)D
Bury Town2–2
Bury Town2–2D
Bromsgrove Sporting1–1
Bromsgrove Sporting1–1W
Leiston3–2
Leiston3–2L
Wingate & Finchley0–3
Wingate & Finchley0–3W
Redditch United2–1
Redditch United2–1W
Royston Town4–1
Royston Town4–1Stourbridge (A)W
Loughborough University2–0
Loughborough University2–0LBury Town0–2
Bury Town0–2W
Worcester City3–1
Worcester City3–1D
Alvechurch0–0
Alvechurch0–0W
Rushall Olympic3–1
Rushall Olympic3–1D
Hitchin Town1–1
Hitchin Town1–1Head to Head · 3 matches
2
Real Bedford
67%
0
Draws
0%
1
Stourbridge
33%
100%
Over 1.5
3/3
100%
Over 2.5
3/3
67%
Over 3.5
2/3
100%
BTTS
3/3
22/09/26Real Bedford
Stourbridge
1–4Real Bedford21/02/26Real Bedford
Stourbridge
2–1Real Bedford21/10/25Stourbridge
Real Bedford
3–1Stourbridge| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Bedford | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | +21 | 32 |
| 2 | Bury Town | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 31 |
| 3 | Bromsgrove Sporting | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | +10 | 27 |
| 4 | Rushall Olympic | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | +9 | 27 |
| 5 |  Needham Market | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | +9 | 23 |
| 6 |  Peterborough Sports | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | +7 | 23 |
| 7 |  Kettering Town | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | +13 | 22 |
| 8 | Alvechurch | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | +12 | 22 |
| 9 |  Anstey Nomads | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +4 | 19 |
| 10 |  Racing Club Warwick | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | +3 | 17 |
| 11 |  Halesowen Town | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 17 |
| 12 | Stourbridge | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | -2 | 16 |
| 13 | Redditch United | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | +1 | 14 |
| 14 | Hitchin Town | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -4 | 13 |
| 15 |  Bishop's Stortford | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | -6 | 13 |
| 16 |  Banbury United | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -7 | 13 |
| 17 | Leiston | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 12 |
| 18 |  Stratford Town | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | -8 | 12 |
| 19 |  Leamington | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -6 | 10 |
| 20 | Worcester City | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -8 | 7 |
| 21 |  Leighton Town | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | -13 | 5 |
| 22 |  Stamford | 13 | 0 | 1 | 12 | -32 | 1 |
Team Insights
Real Bedford- ●Real Bedford have scored in each of their last 13 matches.
- ●Real Bedford have been undefeated in their last 7 home matches.
- ●Real Bedford failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Real Bedford have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Real Bedford have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Real Bedford failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Real Bedford have scored in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Real Bedford have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Real Bedford have won 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Real Bedford have scored in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●69% of Real Bedford's goals conceded were conceded at home.
Stourbridge- ●Stourbridge failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Stourbridge failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Stourbridge failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Stourbridge have scored 64% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Real BedfordLABishop's Stortford1–3
Bishop's Stortford1–3DHBury Town2–2
Bury Town2–2WAStamford4–0
Stamford4–0DHBromsgrove Sporting1–1
Bromsgrove Sporting1–1WHLeiston3–2
Leiston3–2WAStourbridge4–1
Stourbridge4–1–HStourbridge27/10
Stourbridge27/10–AWorcester City31/10
Worcester City31/10–AAnstey Nomads03/11
Anstey Nomads03/11StourbridgeLABury Town0–2
Bury Town0–2WAWorcester City3–1
Worcester City3–1WHLeighton Town2–1
Leighton Town2–1LHRacing Club Warwick0–1
Racing Club Warwick0–1DAAlvechurch0–0
Alvechurch0–0LHReal Bedford1–4
Real Bedford1–4–AReal Bedford27/10
Real Bedford27/10–HKettering Town31/10
Kettering Town31/10–ANeedham Market07/11
Needham Market07/11Top Scorers
Real BedfordJ. Allen13 ⚽
C. Tee8 ⚽
J. Ponticelli8 ⚽
B. Stevens7 ⚽
S. Cartwright3 ⚽
A. Jones2 ⚽
StourbridgeC. Pavey4 ⚽
C. Wragg3 ⚽
D. Jarvis2 ⚽
J. Verma2 ⚽
J. Quaynor1 ⚽
K. Pearce1 ⚽
Cards Given
Real BedfordJ. Ponticelli2 🟨
C. King1 🟨
D. Richardson1 🟨
StourbridgeJ. Fletcher1 🟨
J. Verma1 🟨