Needham Market vs Leighton Town — Non League Premier - Southern Central
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Needham Market and Leighton Town meet in the Non League Premier - Southern Central 2026 season on 27 October 2026. Needham Market have recorded 9 wins from 20 matches this season (45% win rate), averaging 1.90 goals scored and 1.45 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 55% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 65%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. Leighton Town have won 7% of their 14 matches, with 1.07 goals scored and 2.29 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 71%, Over 2.5 at 64%, and clean sheets at 0%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.85 for Needham Market and 1.21 for Leighton Town. The models give Needham Market a 57% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Leighton Town win at 20%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 59% and BTTS at 59%.
Season Statistics
Needham Market—
Leighton Town5º
Position
21º
1.77
PPG
0.42
54%
Win %
8%
2.15
Goals / game
1.08
1.46
Conceded / game
2.17
55%
BTTS %
71%
25%
Clean sheet %
0%
65%
Over 2.5 %
64%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Needham Market
Home (7)
—
Leighton Town
Away (7)
1.57
PPG
0.14
43%
Win %
0%
1.86
Goals / game
0.86
1.29
Conceded / game
2.00
60%
BTTS %
63%
20%
Clean sheet %
0%
60%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Needham Market | Home | Away | Leighton Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 75% | 80% | 70% | 71% | 83% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 60% | 60% | 60% | 36% | 50% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 40% | 40% | 40% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 20% | 30% | 29% | 17% | 38% |
Goals Conceded
| Needham Market | Home | Away | Leighton Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 75% | 80% | 70% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 35% | 40% | 30% | 64% | 67% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 25% | 30% | 20% | 43% | 67% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 25% | 20% | 30% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Needham Market | Leighton Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 90% | 86% |
| Over 2.5 | 65% | 64% |
| Over 3.5 | 40% | 36% |
| Over 4.5 | 20% | 36% |
| BTTS | 55% | 71% |
| BTTS & Win | 25% | 7% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 14% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 45% | 57% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 20% | 7% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Needham Market | Leighton Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 50% | 14% |
| Draw 1st Half | 15% | 0% |
| Loss 1st Half | 35% | 86% |
| Scored 1st Half | 65% | 14% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 93% |
| Win 2nd Half | 30% | 21% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 40% | 57% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 30% | 21% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 45% | 57% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 45% | 57% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 90% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 50% | 43% |
Recent Venue Form
Needham Market (H)L
Wingate & Finchley0–2
Wingate & Finchley0–2W
Bishop's Stortford2–1
Bishop's Stortford2–1D
Anstey Nomads1–1
Anstey Nomads1–1W
Stamford4–0
Stamford4–0D
Braintree3–3
Braintree3–3W
Worcester City2–0
Worcester City2–0Leighton Town (A)L
Banbury United0–1
Banbury United0–1L
Stourbridge1–2
Stourbridge1–2L
Hitchin Town0–1
Hitchin Town0–1L
Newmarket1–2
Newmarket1–2L
Halesowen Town2–4
Halesowen Town2–4L
Real Bedford2–3
Real Bedford2–3| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Bedford | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | +21 | 32 |
| 2 |  Bury Town | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 31 |
| 3 |  Bromsgrove Sporting | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | +10 | 27 |
| 4 |  Rushall Olympic | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | +9 | 27 |
| 5 | Needham Market | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | +9 | 23 |
| 6 |  Peterborough Sports | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | +7 | 23 |
| 7 |  Kettering Town | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | +13 | 22 |
| 8 |  Alvechurch | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | +12 | 22 |
| 9 | Anstey Nomads | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +4 | 19 |
| 10 |  Racing Club Warwick | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | +3 | 17 |
| 11 | Halesowen Town | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 17 |
| 12 | Stourbridge | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | -2 | 16 |
| 13 |  Redditch United | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | +1 | 14 |
| 14 | Hitchin Town | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -4 | 13 |
| 15 | Bishop's Stortford | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | -6 | 13 |
| 16 | Banbury United | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -7 | 13 |
| 17 |  Leiston | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 12 |
| 18 |  Stratford Town | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | -8 | 12 |
| 19 |  Leamington | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -6 | 10 |
| 20 | Worcester City | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -8 | 7 |
| 21 | Leighton Town | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | -13 | 5 |
| 22 | Stamford | 13 | 0 | 1 | 12 | -32 | 1 |
Team Insights
Needham Market- ●Needham Market have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Needham Market have scored in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Needham Market have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Needham Market have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Needham Market have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Needham Market have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Needham Market have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Needham Market have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Needham Market failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Needham Market have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Needham Market failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Needham Market have won 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Needham Market have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Needham Market have scored 61% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Needham Market have conceded 68% of their goals in the first half.
Leighton Town- ●Leighton Town have failed to win in their last 9 matches.
- ●Leighton Town have lost their last 9 matches.
- ●Leighton Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 12 matches.
- ●Leighton Town have lost their last 3 home matches.
- ●Leighton Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Leighton Town have lost their last 6 away matches.
- ●Leighton Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Leighton Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Leighton Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Leighton Town have lost 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Leighton Town have conceded 65% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Needham MarketWHBishop's Stortford2–1
Bishop's Stortford2–1WALeamington2–1
Leamington2–1WABury Town5–0
Bury Town5–0DHAnstey Nomads1–1
Anstey Nomads1–1LARushall Olympic3–5
Rushall Olympic3–5WHStamford4–0
Stamford4–0–HLeighton Town27/10
Leighton Town27/10–ARedditch United31/10
Redditch United31/10–HStourbridge07/11
Stourbridge07/11Leighton TownLABanbury United0–1
Banbury United0–1LHRushall Olympic0–3
Rushall Olympic0–3LAStourbridge1–2
Stourbridge1–2LHPeterborough Sports2–4
Peterborough Sports2–4LAHitchin Town0–1
Hitchin Town0–1LAHalesowen Town2–4
Halesowen Town2–4–ANeedham Market27/10
Needham Market27/10–HBromsgrove Sporting31/10
Bromsgrove Sporting31/10–AAlvechurch07/11
Alvechurch07/11Top Scorers
Needham MarketR. Miles9 ⚽
L. Pearce6 ⚽
K. Hammond4 ⚽
L. Ingram2 ⚽
T. Allen2 ⚽
D. Morphew2 ⚽
Leighton TownS. Ibie3 ⚽
S. King2 ⚽
S. Vukoje2 ⚽
J. Odell-Bature1 ⚽
K. Williams1 ⚽
A. Jones1 ⚽
Cards Given
Needham MarketD. Morphew2 🟨
Leighton TownK. Williams2 🟨