Worcester City vs Kettering Town — Non League Premier - Southern Central
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Worcester City and Kettering Town meet in the Non League Premier - Southern Central 2026 season on 17 November 2026. Worcester City have recorded 8 wins from 23 matches this season (35% win rate), averaging 1.09 goals scored and 1.04 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 48% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 35%; and clean sheets in 30% of games. Kettering Town have won 57% of their 21 matches, with 2.10 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 57%, Over 2.5 at 57%, and clean sheets at 43%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.59 for Worcester City and 1.33 for Kettering Town. The models give Worcester City a 39% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Kettering Town win at 35%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 56% and BTTS at 59%.
Season Statistics
Worcester City—
Kettering Town17º
Position
4º
1.00
PPG
1.87
23%
Win %
53%
1.15
Goals / game
1.93
1.31
Conceded / game
1.13
48%
BTTS %
57%
30%
Clean sheet %
43%
35%
Over 2.5 %
57%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Worcester City
Home (5)
—
Kettering Town
Away (7)
1.40
PPG
1.14
40%
Win %
29%
1.20
Goals / game
1.43
1.00
Conceded / game
1.86
27%
BTTS %
75%
55%
Clean sheet %
25%
27%
Over 2.5 %
63%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Worcester City | Home | Away | Kettering Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 70% | 64% | 75% | 95% | 92% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 22% | 18% | 25% | 50% | 54% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 13% | 9% | 17% | 32% | 38% | 22% |
| Failed To Score | 30% | 36% | 25% | 5% | 8% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Worcester City | Home | Away | Kettering Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 70% | 45% | 92% | 59% | 46% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 26% | 18% | 33% | 36% | 23% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 9% | 9% | 8% | 14% | 8% | 22% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 55% | 8% | 41% | 54% | 22% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Worcester City | Kettering Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 61% | 77% |
| Over 2.5 | 35% | 59% |
| Over 3.5 | 22% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 | 4% | 32% |
| BTTS | 48% | 59% |
| BTTS & Win | 13% | 23% |
| BTTS & Draw | 22% | 18% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 30% | 45% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 4% | 14% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Worcester City | Kettering Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 30% | 45% |
| Draw 1st Half | 30% | 23% |
| Loss 1st Half | 39% | 32% |
| Scored 1st Half | 35% | 55% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 48% | 45% |
| Win 2nd Half | 35% | 55% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 43% | 32% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 22% | 14% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 57% | 73% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 39% | 36% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 74% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 17% | 41% |
Recent Venue Form
Worcester City (H)W
Real Bedford4–1
Real Bedford4–1W
Chorley1–0
Chorley1–0L
Stourbridge1–3
Stourbridge1–3L
Leek Town0–2
Leek Town0–2D
Banbury United0–0
Banbury United0–0W
Stratford Town2–1
Stratford Town2–1Kettering Town (A)W
Bury Town3–2
Bury Town3–2LStourbridge1–4
Stourbridge1–4L
Bromsgrove Sporting1–2
Bromsgrove Sporting1–2W
Matlock Town4–0
Matlock Town4–0L
Rushall Olympic2–3
Rushall Olympic2–3D
Wellingborough Town2–2
Wellingborough Town2–2Head to Head · 3 matches
1
Worcester City
33%
1
Draws
33%
1
Kettering Town
33%
100%
Over 1.5
3/3
67%
Over 2.5
2/3
33%
Over 3.5
1/3
100%
BTTS
3/3
03/10/26Worcester City
Kettering Town
1–3Worcester City11/04/26Worcester City
Kettering Town
2–1Worcester City06/09/25Kettering Town
Worcester City
1–1Kettering Town| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Bedford | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | +18 | 35 |
| 2 | Bury Town | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 32 |
| 3 | Bromsgrove Sporting | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | +14 | 31 |
| 4 | Kettering Town | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | +12 | 28 |
| 5 | Rushall Olympic | 16 | 9 | 0 | 7 | +7 | 27 |
| 6 |  Alvechurch | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | +14 | 26 |
| 7 |  Peterborough Sports | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | +6 | 26 |
| 8 |  Needham Market | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | +9 | 25 |
| 9 |  Anstey Nomads | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | +6 | 23 |
| 10 |  Halesowen Town | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 23 |
| 11 | Stourbridge | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | +2 | 22 |
| 12 |  Racing Club Warwick | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | +3 | 20 |
| 13 |  Redditch United | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | +2 | 18 |
| 14 | Stratford Town | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | -6 | 16 |
| 15 |  Leiston | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 15 |
| 16 | Banbury United | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | -10 | 14 |
| 17 | Worcester City | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 13 |
| 18 |  Hitchin Town | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -6 | 13 |
| 19 |  Bishop's Stortford | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | -10 | 13 |
| 20 |  Leamington | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | -9 | 10 |
| 21 |  Leighton Town | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | -17 | 6 |
| 22 |  Stamford | 15 | 1 | 1 | 13 | -35 | 4 |
Team Insights
Worcester City- ●Worcester City have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Worcester City failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Worcester City have scored in 6 of their 8 away matches.
- ●71% of Worcester City's goals conceded were conceded away.
Kettering Town- ●Kettering Town have scored in each of their last 11 matches.
- ●Kettering Town have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Kettering Town have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Kettering Town have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Kettering Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Kettering Town have scored in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Kettering Town have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Kettering Town have kept a clean sheet in 5 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Kettering Town have scored in 7 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Kettering Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Kettering Town have scored in 7 of their 7 away matches.
- ●66% of Kettering Town's goals have been scored at home.
- ●76% of Kettering Town's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Kettering Town have conceded 65% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Worcester CityWHReal Bedford4–1
Real Bedford4–1WABanbury United3–0
Banbury United3–0LHStourbridge1–3
Stourbridge1–3LARushall Olympic0–1
Rushall Olympic0–1DARacing Club Warwick2–2
Racing Club Warwick2–2DHBanbury United0–0
Banbury United0–0–HRacing Club Warwick10/11
Racing Club Warwick10/11–AAnstey Nomads14/11
Anstey Nomads14/11–HKettering Town17/11
Kettering Town17/11Kettering TownWABury Town3–2
Bury Town3–2LAStourbridge1–4
Stourbridge1–4WHRushall Olympic3–2
Rushall Olympic3–2WHLeiston4–0
Leiston4–0LABromsgrove Sporting1–2
Bromsgrove Sporting1–2DHHalesowen Town1–1
Halesowen Town1–1–HRedditch United07/11
Redditch United07/11–AAnstey Nomads10/11
Anstey Nomads10/11–AReal Bedford14/11
Real Bedford14/11Top Scorers
Worcester CityC. Wise4 ⚽
L. Lockett3 ⚽
A. Bishop3 ⚽
D. Idehen2 ⚽
B. Smalley2 ⚽
N. Hayward2 ⚽
Kettering TownE. Panter10 ⚽
M. Gyasi6 ⚽
T. Fleming3 ⚽
S. Jeffers3 ⚽
P. Harvey2 ⚽
B. Brown2 ⚽
Cards Given
Worcester CityA. Bishop1 🟨
C. Wise1 🟨
F. Salmon1 🟨
Kettering TownE. Maja1 🟨
E. Panter1 🟨
W. Van Lier1 🟨