Worcester City vs Stourbridge — Non League Premier - Southern Central
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Worcester City and Stourbridge meet in the Non League Premier - Southern Central 2026 season on 13 October 2026. Worcester City have recorded 3 wins from 12 matches this season (25% win rate), averaging 0.67 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 42% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 17%; and clean sheets in 33% of games. Stourbridge have won 22% of their 9 matches, with 1.33 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 67%, Over 2.5 at 56%, and clean sheets at 11%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.34 for Worcester City and 1.13 for Stourbridge. The models give Worcester City a 42% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Stourbridge win at 31%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 45% and BTTS at 50%.
Season Statistics
Worcester CityStourbridgeHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Worcester City | Home | Away | Stourbridge | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 67% | 67% | 67% | 78% | 60% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 44% | 40% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 11% | 0% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 33% | 33% | 22% | 40% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Worcester City | Home | Away | Stourbridge | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 67% | 33% | 100% | 89% | 80% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 25% | 0% | 50% | 56% | 80% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 8% | 0% | 17% | 33% | 40% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 33% | 67% | 0% | 11% | 20% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Worcester City | Stourbridge | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 50% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 | 17% | 56% |
| Over 3.5 | 8% | 44% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 22% |
| BTTS | 42% | 67% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 11% |
| BTTS & Draw | 25% | 44% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 17% | 44% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Worcester City | Stourbridge | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 25% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 42% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 33% | 33% |
| Scored 1st Half | 33% | 56% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 42% | 67% |
| Win 2nd Half | 25% | 22% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 42% | 22% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 33% | 56% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 33% | 44% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 42% | 78% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 8% | 56% |
Recent Venue Form
Worcester City (H)
Knowle1–0
Bromsgrove Sporting0–1
Stamford1–0
Stratford Town1–1
Merthyr Town1–0
Malvern Town0–0Stourbridge (A)
Hitchin Town1–1
Banbury United1–1
Peterborough Sports2–1
Halesowen Town3–3
AFC Sudbury4–0
Spalding United1–3Head to Head · 2 matches
StourbridgeWorcester City| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Real Bedford | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | +15 | 21 |
| 2 |  Alvechurch | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | +13 | 18 |
| 3 |  Bury Town | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | +8 | 18 |
| 4 | Bromsgrove Sporting | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | +8 | 18 |
| 5 |  Kettering Town | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +8 | 15 |
| 6 |  Anstey Nomads | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +6 | 14 |
| 7 |  Rushall Olympic | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | +2 | 12 |
| 8 |  Leiston | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 11 |
| 9 |  Needham Market | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 | Stourbridge | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +1 | 9 |
| 11 | Peterborough Sports | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 |
| 12 | Halesowen Town | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | -1 | 9 |
| 13 |  Bishop's Stortford | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 7 |
| 14 |  Redditch United | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 |  Racing Club Warwick | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 6 |
| 16 |  Leighton Town | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 5 |
| 17 | Worcester City | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 5 |
| 18 | Banbury United | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 5 |
| 19 |  Leamington | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 5 |
| 20 | Hitchin Town | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -5 | 4 |
| 21 | Stratford Town | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -9 | 3 |
| 22 | Stamford | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | -17 | 0 |
Team Insights
Worcester City- ●Worcester City have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●80% of Worcester City's goals conceded were conceded away.
Stourbridge- ●Stourbridge have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Stourbridge failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Stourbridge have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Stourbridge have scored 63% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Worcester CityNeedham Market0–2Bromsgrove Sporting0–1Leamington1–1Stamford1–0Leighton Town1–2Alvechurch1–3Banbury United22/09Racing Club Warwick29/09Bishop's Stortford03/10StourbridgeHitchin Town1–1Leamington0–2Banbury United1–1Leiston2–2Peterborough Sports2–1Stamford2–0Real Bedford22/09Alvechurch29/09Racing Club Warwick03/10Top Scorers
Worcester CityStourbridgeCards Given
Worcester CityStourbridge