Leamington vs Hitchin Town — Non League Premier - Southern Central
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Leamington and Hitchin Town meet in the Non League Premier - Southern Central 2026 season on 3 October 2026. Leamington have recorded 4 wins from 13 matches this season (31% win rate), averaging 1.54 goals scored and 1.62 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 69% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 62%; and clean sheets in 15% of games. Hitchin Town have won 8% of their 12 matches, with 0.83 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 58%, Over 2.5 at 33%, and clean sheets at 8%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.39 for Leamington and 1.19 for Hitchin Town. The models give Leamington a 43% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Hitchin Town win at 31%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 48% and BTTS at 51%.
Season Statistics
LeamingtonHitchin TownHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Leamington | Home | Away | Hitchin Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 77% | 75% | 80% | 67% | 63% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 54% | 50% | 60% | 8% | 13% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 23% | 25% | 20% | 8% | 13% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 23% | 25% | 20% | 33% | 38% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Leamington | Home | Away | Hitchin Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 85% | 88% | 80% | 92% | 88% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 38% | 25% | 60% | 42% | 38% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 31% | 13% | 60% | 17% | 25% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 15% | 13% | 20% | 8% | 13% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Leamington | Hitchin Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 85% | 92% |
| Over 2.5 | 62% | 33% |
| Over 3.5 | 54% | 17% |
| Over 4.5 | 15% | 8% |
| BTTS | 69% | 58% |
| BTTS & Win | 23% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 23% | 42% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 54% | 17% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 17% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Leamington | Hitchin Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 38% | 17% |
| Draw 1st Half | 38% | 17% |
| Loss 1st Half | 23% | 67% |
| Scored 1st Half | 62% | 33% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 46% | 75% |
| Win 2nd Half | 38% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 23% | 25% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 38% | 42% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 62% | 42% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 69% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 77% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 54% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
Leamington (H)
Ilkeston Town3–1
Worcester City1–1
Kettering Town0–1
Anstey Nomads1–1
Yate Town3–1
Coventry City U212–3Hitchin Town (A)
Biggleswade Town1–1
Bishop's Stortford0–2
Racing Club Warwick1–1
Rushall Olympic1–2
London Lions2–0
Northwood2–0Head to Head · 2 matches
Hitchin TownLeamington| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Real Bedford | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | +15 | 21 |
| 2 |  Alvechurch | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | +13 | 18 |
| 3 |  Bury Town | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | +8 | 18 |
| 4 |  Bromsgrove Sporting | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | +8 | 18 |
| 5 | Kettering Town | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +8 | 15 |
| 6 | Anstey Nomads | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +6 | 14 |
| 7 | Rushall Olympic | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | +2 | 12 |
| 8 |  Leiston | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 11 |
| 9 |  Needham Market | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 |  Stourbridge | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +1 | 9 |
| 11 |  Peterborough Sports | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 |
| 12 |  Halesowen Town | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | -1 | 9 |
| 13 | Bishop's Stortford | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 7 |
| 14 |  Redditch United | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 | Racing Club Warwick | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 6 |
| 16 |  Leighton Town | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 5 |
| 17 | Worcester City | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 5 |
| 18 |  Banbury United | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 5 |
| 19 | Leamington | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 5 |
| 20 | Hitchin Town | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -5 | 4 |
| 21 |  Stratford Town | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -9 | 3 |
| 22 |  Stamford | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | -17 | 0 |
Team Insights
Leamington- ●77% of Leamington's goals conceded were conceded away.
Hitchin Town- ●Hitchin Town have failed to win in their last 7 matches.
- ●Hitchin Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Hitchin Town have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Hitchin Town have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Hitchin Town have conceded 64% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
LeamingtonBishop's Stortford1–3Stourbridge2–0Worcester City1–1Bury Town0–3Kettering Town0–1Anstey Nomads1–1Halesowen Town22/09Bromsgrove Sporting29/09Hitchin Town03/10Hitchin TownStourbridge1–1Bishop's Stortford0–2Kettering Town1–1Racing Club Warwick1–1Redditch United1–1Needham Market1–3Bury Town22/09Leighton Town29/09Leamington03/10Top Scorers
LeamingtonHitchin TownCards Given
LeamingtonHitchin Town