Lancaster City vs Redcar Athletic — Non League Premier - Northern
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Lancaster City and Redcar Athletic meet in the Non League Premier - Northern 2026 season on 5 December 2026. Lancaster City have recorded 7 wins from 22 matches this season (32% win rate), averaging 1.18 goals scored and 1.73 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 59% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 59%; and clean sheets in 23% of games. Redcar Athletic have won 57% of their 23 matches, with 1.78 goals scored and 1.13 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 52%, Over 2.5 at 57%, and clean sheets at 39%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.10 for Lancaster City and 1.74 for Redcar Athletic. The models give Lancaster City a 25% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Redcar Athletic win at 50%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 54% and BTTS at 55%.
Season Statistics
Lancaster City—
Redcar Athletic12º
Position
1º
1.24
PPG
2.19
35%
Win %
63%
1.18
Goals / game
2.19
1.71
Conceded / game
0.94
59%
BTTS %
52%
23%
Clean sheet %
39%
59%
Over 2.5 %
57%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Lancaster City
Home (8)
—
Redcar Athletic
Away (8)
1.25
PPG
2.13
38%
Win %
63%
1.00
Goals / game
2.25
1.50
Conceded / game
0.75
60%
BTTS %
40%
20%
Clean sheet %
50%
60%
Over 2.5 %
40%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Lancaster City | Home | Away | Redcar Athletic | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 77% | 80% | 75% | 83% | 77% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 36% | 30% | 42% | 48% | 54% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 5% | 0% | 8% | 30% | 38% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 23% | 20% | 25% | 17% | 23% | 10% |
Goals Conceded
| Lancaster City | Home | Away | Redcar Athletic | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 77% | 80% | 75% | 61% | 69% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 60% | 42% | 30% | 46% | 10% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 23% | 10% | 33% | 13% | 15% | 10% |
| Clean Sheets | 23% | 20% | 25% | 39% | 31% | 50% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Lancaster City | Redcar Athletic | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 | 73% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 59% | 57% |
| Over 3.5 | 32% | 48% |
| Over 4.5 | 14% | 22% |
| BTTS | 59% | 52% |
| BTTS & Win | 14% | 26% |
| BTTS & Draw | 18% | 13% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 55% | 43% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 5% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Lancaster City | Redcar Athletic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 23% | 30% |
| Draw 1st Half | 45% | 48% |
| Loss 1st Half | 32% | 22% |
| Scored 1st Half | 55% | 48% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 59% | 30% |
| Win 2nd Half | 23% | 52% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 36% | 22% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 41% | 26% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 45% | 70% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 48% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 82% | 61% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 36% | 35% |
Recent Venue Form
Lancaster City (H)L
Leek Town1–2
Leek Town1–2W
Stockton Town1–0
Stockton Town1–0W
Ilkeston Town2–1
Ilkeston Town2–1L
Curzon Ashton0–2
Curzon Ashton0–2D
Tadcaster Albion1–1
Tadcaster Albion1–1L
Workington0–3
Workington0–3Redcar Athletic (A)L
Ashton United0–1
Ashton United0–1WAshton United2–1
Ashton United2–1WIlkeston Town5–0
Ilkeston Town5–0LCurzon Ashton1–3
Curzon Ashton1–3W
Guisborough Town1–0
Guisborough Town1–0D
Cleethorpes Town1–1
Cleethorpes Town1–1Head to Head · 1 matches
0
Lancaster City
0%
0
Draws
0%
1
Redcar Athletic
100%
100%
Over 1.5
1/1
100%
Over 2.5
1/1
100%
Over 3.5
1/1
100%
BTTS
1/1
18/08/26Lancaster City
Redcar Athletic
3–1Lancaster City| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Redcar Athletic | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | +20 | 35 |
| 2 | Cleethorpes Town | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | +23 | 33 |
| 3 |  Guiseley AFC | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | +18 | 32 |
| 4 | Curzon Ashton | 16 | 10 | 1 | 5 | +12 | 31 |
| 5 |  Gainsborough Trinity | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | +11 | 29 |
| 6 |  Avro | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | +9 | 29 |
| 7 | Workington | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | +2 | 27 |
| 8 |  Rylands | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | +5 | 26 |
| 9 |  Warrington Town | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | +4 | 26 |
| 10 |  Bury | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | +12 | 23 |
| 11 |  Alfreton Town | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | +5 | 23 |
| 12 | Lancaster City | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | -9 | 21 |
| 13 |  AFC Emley | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | -9 | 20 |
| 14 |  Whitby Town | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | -20 | 19 |
| 15 |  Quorn | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | -5 | 18 |
| 16 | Stockton Town | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | -5 | 15 |
| 17 |  Hyde United | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | -15 | 15 |
| 18 | Ashton United | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 14 |
| 19 | Leek Town | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -6 | 14 |
| 20 | Ilkeston Town | 16 | 4 | 1 | 11 | -23 | 13 |
| 21 |  United of Manchester | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -7 | 12 |
| 22 |  Bamber Bridge | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | -19 | 11 |
Team Insights
Lancaster City- ●Lancaster City have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Lancaster City failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Lancaster City have lost 4 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Lancaster City failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 9 away matches.
- ●Lancaster City have scored in 7 of their 9 away matches.
Redcar Athletic- ●Redcar Athletic have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Redcar Athletic have scored in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Redcar Athletic have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Redcar Athletic have been undefeated in their last 8 home matches.
- ●Redcar Athletic failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Redcar Athletic have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Redcar Athletic have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Redcar Athletic have scored in each of their last 8 away matches.
- ●Redcar Athletic failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Redcar Athletic have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Redcar Athletic have won 5 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Redcar Athletic have scored in 8 of their 8 away matches.
Season Schedule
Lancaster CityDAUnited of Manchester0–0
United of Manchester0–0LAAFC Emley0–1
AFC Emley0–1LHLeek Town1–2
Leek Town1–2WHStockton Town1–0
Stockton Town1–0DAWarrington Town2–2
Warrington Town2–2LAAvro3–5
Avro3–5–HCleethorpes Town07/11
Cleethorpes Town07/11–AGainsborough Trinity14/11
Gainsborough Trinity14/11–HAshton United21/11
Ashton United21/11Redcar AthleticDHGuiseley AFC2–2
Guiseley AFC2–2WAAshton United2–1
Ashton United2–1WHAvro3–1
Avro3–1WAIlkeston Town5–0
Ilkeston Town5–0LACurzon Ashton1–3
Curzon Ashton1–3WHAlfreton Town3–1
Alfreton Town3–1–AHyde United07/11
Hyde United07/11–HBamber Bridge10/11
Bamber Bridge10/11–HWarrington Town14/11
Warrington Town14/11Top Scorers
Lancaster CityS. Yawson4 ⚽
C. Bailey3 ⚽
D. Lawson3 ⚽
J. Craig3 ⚽
S. Bailey3 ⚽
S. Sanogo2 ⚽
Redcar AthleticA. Boyes14 ⚽
B. Fewster7 ⚽
O. Fletcher4 ⚽
A. Ardelean3 ⚽
C. Round2 ⚽
D. Rowe2 ⚽
Cards Given
Lancaster CityJ. Nolan1 🟨
Redcar AthleticD. Lay1 🟨