Leek Town vs United of Manchester — Non League Premier - Northern
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Leek Town and United of Manchester meet in the Non League Premier - Northern 2026 season on 28 November 2026. Leek Town have recorded 7 wins from 24 matches this season (29% win rate), averaging 1.96 goals scored and 1.79 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 88% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 71%; and clean sheets in 13% of games. United of Manchester have won 29% of their 28 matches, with 1.61 goals scored and 1.64 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 54%, Over 2.5 at 57%, and clean sheets at 21%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.76 for Leek Town and 1.37 for United of Manchester. The models give Leek Town a 48% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an United of Manchester win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 61% and BTTS at 62%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Leek Town | Home | Away | United of | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 100% | 100% | 100% | 66% | 86% | 47% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 50% | 50% | 50% | 41% | 43% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 25% | 30% | 21% | 28% | 29% | 27% |
| Failed To Score | 0% | 0% | 0% | 34% | 14% | 53% |
Goals Conceded
| Leek Town | Home | Away | United of | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 88% | 100% | 79% | 79% | 86% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 50% | 50% | 45% | 50% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 25% | 10% | 36% | 21% | 29% | 13% |
| Clean Sheets | 13% | 0% | 21% | 21% | 14% | 27% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Leek Town | United of | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 | 96% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 | 71% | 55% |
| Over 3.5 | 42% | 34% |
| Over 4.5 | 38% | 28% |
| BTTS | 88% | 52% |
| BTTS & Win | 17% | 14% |
| BTTS & Draw | 33% | 17% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 67% | 38% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 4% | 17% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Leek Town | United of | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 38% | 38% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 31% |
| Loss 1st Half | 29% | 31% |
| Scored 1st Half | 71% | 48% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 75% | 38% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 24% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 21% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 33% | 55% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 46% | 59% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 69% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 100% | 76% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 63% | 38% |
Recent Venue Form
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Leek Town | United of |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 0.0 | 2.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 0.0 | 7.5 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 0% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 0% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 0% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 0% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 0% | 50% |
Head to Head · 5 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | +20 | 35 | |
| 2 | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | +23 | 33 | |
| 3 | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | +18 | 32 | |
| 4 | 16 | 10 | 1 | 5 | +12 | 31 | |
| 5 | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | +11 | 29 | |
| 6 | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | +9 | 29 | |
| 7 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | +2 | 27 | |
| 8 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | +5 | 26 | |
| 9 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | +4 | 26 | |
| 10 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | +12 | 23 | |
| 11 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | +5 | 23 | |
| 12 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | -9 | 21 | |
| 13 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | -9 | 20 | |
| 14 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | -20 | 19 | |
| 15 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | -5 | 18 | |
| 16 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | -5 | 15 | |
| 17 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | -15 | 15 | |
| 18 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 14 | |
| 19 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -6 | 14 | |
| 20 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 11 | -23 | 13 | |
| 21 | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -7 | 12 | |
| 22 | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | -19 | 11 |
Team Insights
- ●Leek Town have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Leek Town have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Leek Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 16 matches.
- ●Leek Town have scored in each of their last 16 matches.
- ●Leek Town have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Leek Town have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Leek Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Leek Town have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Leek Town have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Leek Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 away matches.
- ●Leek Town have scored in each of their last 9 away matches.
- ●Leek Town have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Leek Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Leek Town have scored in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Leek Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 9 of their 9 away matches.
- ●Leek Town have scored in 9 of their 9 away matches.
- ●65% of Leek Town's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●United of Manchester have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●United of Manchester have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●United of Manchester failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●United of Manchester failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 of their 9 home matches.
- ●United of Manchester failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 away matches.
- ●United of Manchester have lost 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●75% of United of Manchester's goals have been scored at home.
- ●83% of United of Manchester's points have been earned at home.