Bury vs Redcar Athletic — Non League Premier - Northern
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Bury and Redcar Athletic meet in the Non League Premier - Northern 2026 season on 21 November 2026. Bury have recorded 14 wins from 24 matches this season (58% win rate), averaging 2.50 goals scored and 1.17 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 54% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 71%; and clean sheets in 33% of games. Redcar Athletic have won 57% of their 23 matches, with 1.78 goals scored and 1.13 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 52%, Over 2.5 at 57%, and clean sheets at 39%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.77 for Bury and 1.63 for Redcar Athletic. The models give Bury a 39% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Redcar Athletic win at 37%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 66% and BTTS at 67%.
Season Statistics
Bury—
Redcar Athletic11º
Position
1º
1.69
PPG
2.19
54%
Win %
63%
2.15
Goals / game
2.19
1.23
Conceded / game
0.94
54%
BTTS %
52%
33%
Clean sheet %
39%
71%
Over 2.5 %
57%
7.0
Avg corners
0.0
6.0
Avg shots
0.0
5.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
43.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Bury
Home (7)
—
Redcar Athletic
Away (8)
2.14
PPG
2.13
71%
Win %
63%
3.00
Goals / game
2.25
1.14
Conceded / game
0.75
53%
BTTS %
40%
40%
Clean sheet %
50%
80%
Over 2.5 %
40%
7.0
Avg corners
0.0
6.0
Avg shots
0.0
5.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
43.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Bury | Home | Away | Redcar Athletic | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 84% | 94% | 67% | 83% | 77% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 60% | 75% | 33% | 48% | 54% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 44% | 63% | 11% | 30% | 38% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 16% | 6% | 33% | 17% | 23% | 10% |
Goals Conceded
| Bury | Home | Away | Redcar Athletic | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 68% | 63% | 78% | 61% | 69% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 36% | 31% | 44% | 30% | 46% | 10% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 16% | 13% | 22% | 13% | 15% | 10% |
| Clean Sheets | 32% | 38% | 22% | 39% | 31% | 50% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Bury | Redcar Athletic | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 | 76% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 72% | 57% |
| Over 3.5 | 52% | 48% |
| Over 4.5 | 32% | 22% |
| BTTS | 56% | 52% |
| BTTS & Win | 28% | 26% |
| BTTS & Draw | 12% | 13% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 52% | 43% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 20% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Bury | Redcar Athletic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 46% | 30% |
| Draw 1st Half | 38% | 48% |
| Loss 1st Half | 17% | 22% |
| Scored 1st Half | 67% | 48% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 42% | 30% |
| Win 2nd Half | 38% | 52% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 29% | 22% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 33% | 26% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 67% | 70% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 48% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 79% | 61% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 50% | 35% |
Recent Venue Form
Bury (H)D
Avro2–2
Avro2–2L
Workington1–2
Workington1–2W
Leek Town5–3
Leek Town5–3W
Prescot Cables3–0
Prescot Cables3–0D
Harrogate Town1–1
Harrogate Town1–1W
Bromsgrove Sporting2–1
Bromsgrove Sporting2–1Redcar Athletic (A)L
Ashton United0–1
Ashton United0–1WAshton United2–1
Ashton United2–1W
Ilkeston Town5–0
Ilkeston Town5–0L
Curzon Ashton1–3
Curzon Ashton1–3W
Guisborough Town1–0
Guisborough Town1–0D
Cleethorpes Town1–1
Cleethorpes Town1–1Team Corners
| Team Corners | Bury | Redcar Athletic |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 7.0 | 0.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 7.0 | 0.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 100% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 100% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
Head to Head · 1 matches
0
Bury
0%
1
Draws
100%
0
Redcar Athletic
0%
0%
Over 1.5
0/1
0%
Over 2.5
0/1
0%
Over 3.5
0/1
0%
BTTS
0/1
08/08/26Bury
Redcar Athletic
0–0Bury| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Redcar Athletic | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | +20 | 35 |
| 2 | Cleethorpes Town | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | +23 | 33 |
| 3 |  Guiseley AFC | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | +15 | 29 |
| 4 |  Gainsborough Trinity | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | +11 | 29 |
| 5 | Curzon Ashton | 15 | 9 | 1 | 5 | +11 | 28 |
| 6 | Avro | 15 | 9 | 1 | 5 | +9 | 28 |
| 7 | Workington | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | +2 | 27 |
| 8 |  Rylands | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | +5 | 26 |
| 9 |  Alfreton Town | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | +5 | 23 |
| 10 |  Warrington Town | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | +3 | 23 |
| 11 | Bury | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | +12 | 22 |
| 12 |  Lancaster City | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | -9 | 21 |
| 13 |  Whitby Town | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | -20 | 19 |
| 14 |  Quorn | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | -5 | 18 |
| 15 |  AFC Emley | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | -11 | 17 |
| 16 |  Stockton Town | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | -5 | 15 |
| 17 |  Hyde United | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | -15 | 15 |
| 18 | Ashton United | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 14 |
| 19 | Leek Town | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | -3 | 14 |
| 20 | Ilkeston Town | 16 | 4 | 1 | 11 | -23 | 13 |
| 21 |  United of Manchester | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -6 | 12 |
| 22 |  Bamber Bridge | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | -17 | 11 |
Team Insights
Bury- ●Bury failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Bury have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Bury have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Bury have scored in 7 of their 8 home matches.
- ●77% of Bury's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Bury have scored 57% of their goals in the first half.
Redcar Athletic- ●Redcar Athletic have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Redcar Athletic have scored in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Redcar Athletic have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Redcar Athletic have been undefeated in their last 8 home matches.
- ●Redcar Athletic failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Redcar Athletic have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Redcar Athletic have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Redcar Athletic have scored in each of their last 8 away matches.
- ●Redcar Athletic failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Redcar Athletic have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Redcar Athletic have won 5 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Redcar Athletic have scored in 8 of their 8 away matches.
Season Schedule
BuryDHAvro2–2
Avro2–2LHWorkington1–2
Workington1–2WHLeek Town5–3
Leek Town5–3WAAlfreton Town3–2
Alfreton Town3–2LAStockton Town0–1
Stockton Town0–1WHAFC Emley4–0
AFC Emley4–0–ABamber Bridge07/11
Bamber Bridge07/11–HCleethorpes Town10/11
Cleethorpes Town10/11–AQuorn17/11
Quorn17/11Redcar AthleticDHGuiseley AFC2–2
Guiseley AFC2–2WAAshton United2–1
Ashton United2–1WHAvro3–1
Avro3–1WAIlkeston Town5–0
Ilkeston Town5–0LACurzon Ashton1–3
Curzon Ashton1–3WHAlfreton Town3–1
Alfreton Town3–1–AHyde United07/11
Hyde United07/11–HBamber Bridge10/11
Bamber Bridge10/11–HWarrington Town14/11
Warrington Town14/11Top Scorers
BuryK. Evans7 ⚽
T. Carr6 ⚽
M. Touray5 ⚽
O. Robinson4 ⚽
L. Graham3 ⚽
D. Pedro3 ⚽
Redcar AthleticA. Boyes14 ⚽
B. Fewster7 ⚽
O. Fletcher4 ⚽
A. Ardelean3 ⚽
C. Round2 ⚽
D. Rowe2 ⚽
Cards Given
BuryD. Pedro1 🟨
O. Threlkeld1 🟨
Redcar AthleticD. Lay1 🟨