Alfreton Town vs Curzon Ashton — Non League Premier - Northern
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Alfreton Town and Curzon Ashton meet in the Non League Premier - Northern 2026 season on 21 November 2026. Alfreton Town have recorded 8 wins from 24 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 1.08 goals scored and 1.46 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 42% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 54%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. Curzon Ashton have won 44% of their 18 matches, with 1.72 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 61%, Over 2.5 at 61%, and clean sheets at 28%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.73 for Alfreton Town and 1.42 for Curzon Ashton. The models give Alfreton Town a 42% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Curzon Ashton win at 32%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 61% and BTTS at 63%.
Season Statistics
Alfreton Town—
Curzon Ashton10º
Position
9º
1.33
PPG
1.69
40%
Win %
54%
1.40
Goals / game
1.85
1.13
Conceded / game
1.31
42%
BTTS %
61%
25%
Clean sheet %
28%
54%
Over 2.5 %
61%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Alfreton Town
Home (8)
—
Curzon Ashton
Away (7)
2.00
PPG
1.29
63%
Win %
43%
1.88
Goals / game
1.86
0.88
Conceded / game
1.71
38%
BTTS %
63%
31%
Clean sheet %
25%
56%
Over 2.5 %
75%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Alfreton Town | Home | Away | Curzon Ashton | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 58% | 63% | 50% | 89% | 90% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 29% | 31% | 25% | 56% | 50% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 13% | 13% | 13% | 22% | 20% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 42% | 38% | 50% | 11% | 10% | 13% |
Goals Conceded
| Alfreton Town | Home | Away | Curzon Ashton | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 75% | 69% | 88% | 72% | 70% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 42% | 44% | 38% | 39% | 30% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 17% | 19% | 13% | 11% | 0% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 25% | 31% | 13% | 28% | 30% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Alfreton Town | Curzon Ashton | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 71% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 | 54% | 61% |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | 44% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 11% |
| BTTS | 42% | 61% |
| BTTS & Win | 17% | 17% |
| BTTS & Draw | 4% | 17% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 38% | 56% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 17% | 6% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Alfreton Town | Curzon Ashton | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 29% | 39% |
| Loss 1st Half | 38% | 28% |
| Scored 1st Half | 42% | 56% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 42% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 21% | 39% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 38% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 42% | 28% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 42% | 61% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 63% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 29% | 50% |
Recent Venue Form
Alfreton Town (H)D
Warrington Town1–1
Warrington Town1–1L
Bury2–3
Bury2–3W
United of Manchester1–0
United of Manchester1–0W
Guiseley AFC1–0
Guiseley AFC1–0W
Shifnal Town FC2–1
Shifnal Town FC2–1L
Stratford Town0–2
Stratford Town0–2Curzon Ashton (A)D
Bridlington Town2–2
Bridlington Town2–2L
Whitby Town0–1
Whitby Town0–1L
Rylands1–5
Rylands1–5W
Lancaster City2–0
Lancaster City2–0W
Cleethorpes Town3–1
Cleethorpes Town3–1WWarrington Town4–0
Warrington Town4–0Head to Head · 15 matches
6
Alfreton Town
40%
4
Draws
27%
5
Curzon Ashton
33%
67%
Over 1.5
10/15
53%
Over 2.5
8/15
27%
Over 3.5
4/15
60%
BTTS
9/15
08/08/26Alfreton Town
Curzon Ashton
1–0Alfreton Town25/04/26Curzon Ashton
Alfreton Town
3–3Curzon Ashton06/12/25Alfreton Town
Curzon Ashton
2–1Alfreton Town18/04/25Alfreton Town
Curzon Ashton
0–0Alfreton Town01/01/25Curzon Ashton
Alfreton Town
0–1Curzon Ashton06/04/24Curzon Ashton
Alfreton Town
0–0Curzon Ashton06/02/24Alfreton Town
Curzon Ashton
2–1Alfreton Town25/02/23Alfreton Town
Curzon Ashton
0–1Alfreton Town07/02/23Curzon Ashton
Alfreton Town
1–2Curzon Ashton26/04/22Curzon Ashton
Alfreton Town
4–2Curzon Ashton18/12/21Alfreton Town
Curzon Ashton
1–3Alfreton Town04/12/21Alfreton Town
Curzon Ashton
1–2Alfreton Town05/10/20Alfreton Town
Curzon Ashton
1–1Alfreton Town04/01/20Alfreton Town
Curzon Ashton
0–2Alfreton Town07/09/19Curzon Ashton
Alfreton Town
3–2Curzon Ashton| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Redcar Athletic | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | +20 | 34 |
| 2 | Cleethorpes Town | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | +22 | 30 |
| 3 | Guiseley AFC | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | +15 | 28 |
| 4 |  Gainsborough Trinity | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | +14 | 28 |
| 5 |  Avro | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | +10 | 28 |
| 6 |  Workington | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | +1 | 24 |
| 7 | Rylands | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | +4 | 23 |
| 8 | Warrington Town | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | +4 | 23 |
| 9 | Curzon Ashton | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | +7 | 22 |
| 10 | Alfreton Town | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | +4 | 20 |
| 11 | Lancaster City | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | -9 | 20 |
| 12 | Bury | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +11 | 19 |
| 13 | Whitby Town | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | -15 | 19 |
| 14 |  AFC Emley | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | -10 | 17 |
| 15 |  Hyde United | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -14 | 15 |
| 16 |  Leek Town | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 14 |
| 17 |  Ashton United | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 14 |
| 18 |  Quorn | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -6 | 14 |
| 19 |  Stockton Town | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | -10 | 12 |
| 20 | United of Manchester | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -6 | 10 |
| 21 |  Bamber Bridge | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -17 | 10 |
| 22 |  Ilkeston Town | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | -24 | 10 |
Team Insights
Alfreton Town- ●Alfreton Town have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Alfreton Town have scored in each of their last 8 home matches.
- ●Alfreton Town have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Alfreton Town have scored in 8 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Alfreton Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Alfreton Town have lost 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●71% of Alfreton Town's goals have been scored at home.
- ●80% of Alfreton Town's points have been earned at home.
Curzon Ashton- ●Curzon Ashton have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Curzon Ashton have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Curzon Ashton have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Curzon Ashton have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Curzon Ashton have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Curzon Ashton failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Curzon Ashton have won 3 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Curzon Ashton have scored in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●71% of Curzon Ashton's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
Alfreton TownDHWarrington Town1–1
Warrington Town1–1DAAshton United0–0
Ashton United0–0LHBury2–3
Bury2–3WHUnited of Manchester1–0
United of Manchester1–0LARedcar Athletic1–3
Redcar Athletic1–3WHGuiseley AFC1–0
Guiseley AFC1–0–HAFC Emley31/10
AFC Emley31/10–AQuorn06/11
Quorn06/11–AWorkington10/11
Workington10/11Curzon AshtonLAWhitby Town0–1
Whitby Town0–1LARylands1–5
Rylands1–5WHHyde United2–0
Hyde United2–0WHRedcar Athletic3–1
Redcar Athletic3–1WALancaster City2–0
Lancaster City2–0WHAshton United2–0
Ashton United2–0–AGainsborough Trinity27/10
Gainsborough Trinity27/10–HLeek Town31/10
Leek Town31/10–AStockton Town07/11
Stockton Town07/11Top Scorers
Alfreton TownS. Ligendza6 ⚽
D. Youmbi5 ⚽
D. Odunaiya4 ⚽
J. Kruszynski3 ⚽
S. R. Parker2 ⚽
L. Salmon1 ⚽
Curzon AshtonA. Curran7 ⚽
B. Holmes6 ⚽
T. Weston3 ⚽
H. Robertson2 ⚽
O. Lawal2 ⚽
W. Hayhurst1 ⚽
Cards Given
Alfreton TownK. Williams2 🟨
Curzon Ashton