Leek Town vs Alfreton Town — Non League Premier - Northern
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Leek Town and Alfreton Town meet in the Non League Premier - Northern 2026 season on 14 November 2026. Leek Town have recorded 7 wins from 21 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 2.00 goals scored and 1.52 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 86% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 67%; and clean sheets in 14% of games. Alfreton Town have won 33% of their 24 matches, with 1.08 goals scored and 1.46 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 42%, Over 2.5 at 54%, and clean sheets at 25%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.72 for Leek Town and 1.37 for Alfreton Town. The models give Leek Town a 47% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Alfreton Town win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 60% and BTTS at 62%.
Season Statistics
Leek Town—
Alfreton Town16º
Position
10º
1.08
PPG
1.33
23%
Win %
40%
2.00
Goals / game
1.40
2.00
Conceded / game
1.13
86%
BTTS %
42%
14%
Clean sheet %
25%
67%
Over 2.5 %
54%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Leek Town
Home (7)
—
Alfreton Town
Away (7)
1.14
PPG
0.57
29%
Win %
14%
2.00
Goals / game
0.86
1.86
Conceded / game
1.43
100%
BTTS %
50%
0%
Clean sheet %
13%
80%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Leek Town | Home | Away | Alfreton Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 100% | 100% | 100% | 58% | 63% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 52% | 50% | 55% | 29% | 31% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 24% | 30% | 18% | 13% | 13% | 13% |
| Failed To Score | 0% | 0% | 0% | 42% | 38% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Leek Town | Home | Away | Alfreton Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 86% | 100% | 73% | 75% | 69% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 43% | 50% | 36% | 42% | 44% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 19% | 10% | 27% | 17% | 19% | 13% |
| Clean Sheets | 14% | 0% | 27% | 25% | 31% | 13% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Leek Town | Alfreton Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 95% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 | 67% | 54% |
| Over 3.5 | 38% | 25% |
| Over 4.5 | 33% | 13% |
| BTTS | 86% | 42% |
| BTTS & Win | 19% | 17% |
| BTTS & Draw | 38% | 4% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 62% | 38% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 5% | 17% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Leek Town | Alfreton Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 43% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 29% |
| Loss 1st Half | 24% | 38% |
| Scored 1st Half | 76% | 42% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 71% | 42% |
| Win 2nd Half | 29% | 21% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 38% | 38% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 33% | 42% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 43% | 42% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 48% | 63% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 100% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 57% | 29% |
Recent Venue Form
Leek Town (H)W
Bootle4–1
Bootle4–1D
Ashton United2–2
Ashton United2–2D
Rylands3–3
Rylands3–3W
Hyde United2–1
Hyde United2–1L
Warrington Town1–2
Warrington Town1–2W
Bamber Bridge4–1
Bamber Bridge4–1Alfreton Town (A)W
Mickleover Sports2–1
Mickleover Sports2–1DAshton United0–0
Ashton United0–0L
Redcar Athletic1–3
Redcar Athletic1–3LBamber Bridge0–1
Bamber Bridge0–1W
Whitby Town4–1
Whitby Town4–1L
Stockton Town0–2
Stockton Town0–2| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Redcar Athletic | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | +20 | 34 |
| 2 |  Cleethorpes Town | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | +22 | 30 |
| 3 |  Guiseley AFC | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | +15 | 28 |
| 4 |  Gainsborough Trinity | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | +14 | 28 |
| 5 |  Avro | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | +10 | 28 |
| 6 |  Workington | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | +1 | 24 |
| 7 | Rylands | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | +4 | 23 |
| 8 | Warrington Town | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | +4 | 23 |
| 9 |  Curzon Ashton | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | +7 | 22 |
| 10 | Alfreton Town | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | +4 | 20 |
| 11 |  Lancaster City | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | -9 | 20 |
| 12 |  Bury | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +11 | 19 |
| 13 | Whitby Town | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | -15 | 19 |
| 14 |  AFC Emley | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | -10 | 17 |
| 15 | Hyde United | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -14 | 15 |
| 16 | Leek Town | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 14 |
| 17 | Ashton United | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 14 |
| 18 |  Quorn | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -6 | 14 |
| 19 | Stockton Town | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | -10 | 12 |
| 20 |  United of Manchester | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -6 | 10 |
| 21 | Bamber Bridge | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -17 | 10 |
| 22 |  Ilkeston Town | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | -24 | 10 |
Team Insights
Leek Town- ●Leek Town have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Leek Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 13 matches.
- ●Leek Town have scored in each of their last 13 matches.
- ●Leek Town have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Leek Town have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Leek Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Leek Town have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Leek Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Leek Town have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Leek Town have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Leek Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Leek Town have scored in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Leek Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Leek Town have scored in 6 of their 6 away matches.
Alfreton Town- ●Alfreton Town have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Alfreton Town have scored in each of their last 8 home matches.
- ●Alfreton Town have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Alfreton Town have scored in 8 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Alfreton Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Alfreton Town have lost 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●71% of Alfreton Town's goals have been scored at home.
- ●80% of Alfreton Town's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
Leek TownWALancaster City2–1
Lancaster City2–1DHAshton United2–2
Ashton United2–2DHRylands3–3
Rylands3–3WHHyde United2–1
Hyde United2–1LARedcar Athletic2–3
Redcar Athletic2–3LHWarrington Town1–2
Warrington Town1–2–ABury27/10
Bury27/10–ACurzon Ashton31/10
Curzon Ashton31/10–AGuiseley AFC03/11
Guiseley AFC03/11Alfreton TownDHWarrington Town1–1
Warrington Town1–1DAAshton United0–0
Ashton United0–0LHBury2–3
Bury2–3WHUnited of Manchester1–0
United of Manchester1–0LARedcar Athletic1–3
Redcar Athletic1–3WHGuiseley AFC1–0
Guiseley AFC1–0–HAFC Emley31/10
AFC Emley31/10–AQuorn06/11
Quorn06/11–AWorkington10/11
Workington10/11Top Scorers
Leek TownJ. Griffiths7 ⚽
C. Heath5 ⚽
H. Campbell3 ⚽
A. Hurst3 ⚽
A. Panter3 ⚽
3 ⚽
Alfreton TownS. Ligendza6 ⚽
D. Youmbi5 ⚽
D. Odunaiya4 ⚽
J. Kruszynski3 ⚽
S. R. Parker2 ⚽
L. Salmon1 ⚽
Cards Given
Leek TownA. Hurst1 🟨
Alfreton TownK. Williams2 🟨