Ilkeston Town vs United of Manchester — Non League Premier - Northern
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Ilkeston Town and United of Manchester meet in the Non League Premier - Northern 2026 season on 14 November 2026. Ilkeston Town have recorded 4 wins from 19 matches this season (21% win rate), averaging 0.89 goals scored and 2.32 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 53% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 63%; and clean sheets in 11% of games. United of Manchester have won 31% of their 26 matches, with 1.69 goals scored and 1.73 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 54%, Over 2.5 at 62%, and clean sheets at 19%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.31 for Ilkeston Town and 1.46 for United of Manchester. The models give Ilkeston Town a 33% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an United of Manchester win at 40%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 52% and BTTS at 56%.
Season Statistics
Ilkeston Town—
United of Manchester22º
Position
20º
0.67
PPG
0.77
20%
Win %
15%
0.67
Goals / game
1.46
2.27
Conceded / game
1.92
53%
BTTS %
54%
11%
Clean sheet %
19%
63%
Over 2.5 %
62%
0.0
Avg corners
2.0
0.0
Avg shots
7.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
3.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
2.5
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
30.5%
Home vs Away
Ilkeston Town
Home (8)
—
United of Manchester
Away (6)
0.75
PPG
0.33
25%
Win %
0%
0.50
Goals / game
0.83
1.88
Conceded / game
1.83
30%
BTTS %
29%
20%
Clean sheet %
29%
50%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
2.0
0.0
Avg shots
7.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
3.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
2.5
0.0%
Avg possession
30.5%
Goals Scored
| Ilkeston Town | Home | Away | United of | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 63% | 50% | 78% | 69% | 92% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 16% | 20% | 11% | 46% | 50% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 5% | 10% | 0% | 31% | 33% | 29% |
| Failed To Score | 37% | 50% | 22% | 31% | 8% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Ilkeston Town | Home | Away | United of | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 89% | 80% | 100% | 81% | 92% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 68% | 60% | 78% | 50% | 58% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 42% | 30% | 56% | 23% | 33% | 14% |
| Clean Sheets | 11% | 20% | 0% | 19% | 8% | 29% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Ilkeston Town | United of | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 96% |
| Over 1.5 | 89% | 88% |
| Over 2.5 | 63% | 62% |
| Over 3.5 | 42% | 38% |
| Over 4.5 | 16% | 31% |
| BTTS | 53% | 54% |
| BTTS & Win | 11% | 15% |
| BTTS & Draw | 5% | 15% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 47% | 42% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 16% | 19% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Ilkeston Town | United of | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 16% | 38% |
| Draw 1st Half | 32% | 31% |
| Loss 1st Half | 53% | 31% |
| Scored 1st Half | 26% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 63% | 38% |
| Win 2nd Half | 21% | 27% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 21% | 15% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 58% | 58% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 42% | 65% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 79% | 73% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 74% | 77% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 47% | 42% |
Recent Venue Form
Ilkeston Town (H)W
Avro2–0
Avro2–0L
Redcar Athletic0–5
Redcar Athletic0–5L
Guiseley AFC0–2
Guiseley AFC0–2L
Rylands0–1
Rylands0–1L
Anstey Nomads1–3
Anstey Nomads1–3L
Quorn0–2
Quorn0–2United of (A)D
Altrincham0–0
Altrincham0–0D
Stockton Town2–2
Stockton Town2–2L
Alfreton Town0–1
Alfreton Town0–1W
Worksop Town3–0
Worksop Town3–0L
Hyde United0–2
Hyde United0–2W
Garforth Town5–1
Garforth Town5–1Team Corners
| Team Corners | Ilkeston Town | United of |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 0.0 | 2.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 0.0 | 7.5 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 0% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 0% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 0% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 0% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 0% | 50% |
Head to Head · 6 matches
2
Ilkeston Town
33%
2
Draws
33%
2
United of
33%
83%
Over 1.5
5/6
33%
Over 2.5
2/6
17%
Over 3.5
1/6
67%
BTTS
4/6
25/04/26United of Manchester
Ilkeston Town
3–2United of Manchester29/11/25Ilkeston Town
United of Manchester
2–1Ilkeston Town12/04/25United of Manchester
Ilkeston Town
1–1United of Manchester17/08/24Ilkeston Town
United of Manchester
1–1Ilkeston Town06/01/24United of Manchester
Ilkeston Town
2–0United of Manchester22/08/23Ilkeston Town
United of Manchester
1–0Ilkeston Town| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Redcar Athletic | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | +20 | 34 |
| 2 |  Cleethorpes Town | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | +22 | 30 |
| 3 | Guiseley AFC | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | +15 | 28 |
| 4 |  Gainsborough Trinity | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | +14 | 28 |
| 5 | Avro | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | +10 | 28 |
| 6 |  Workington | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | +1 | 24 |
| 7 | Rylands | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | +4 | 23 |
| 8 |  Warrington Town | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | +4 | 23 |
| 9 |  Curzon Ashton | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | +7 | 22 |
| 10 | Alfreton Town | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | +4 | 20 |
| 11 |  Lancaster City | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | -9 | 20 |
| 12 |  Bury | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +11 | 19 |
| 13 |  Whitby Town | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | -15 | 19 |
| 14 |  AFC Emley | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | -10 | 17 |
| 15 | Hyde United | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -14 | 15 |
| 16 |  Leek Town | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 14 |
| 17 |  Ashton United | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 14 |
| 18 | Quorn | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -6 | 14 |
| 19 | Stockton Town | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | -10 | 12 |
| 20 | United of Manchester | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -6 | 10 |
| 21 |  Bamber Bridge | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -17 | 10 |
| 22 | Ilkeston Town | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | -24 | 10 |
Team Insights
Ilkeston Town- ●Ilkeston Town have lost their last 4 away matches.
- ●Ilkeston Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Ilkeston Town have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Ilkeston Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Ilkeston Town have lost 6 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Ilkeston Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Ilkeston Town have lost 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Ilkeston Town have scored in 5 of their 7 away matches.
United of- ●United of Manchester have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●United of Manchester failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 13 matches.
- ●United of Manchester have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●United of Manchester failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●United of Manchester have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●United of Manchester failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●United of Manchester failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●United of Manchester have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●United of Manchester failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●United of Manchester have lost 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●74% of United of Manchester's goals have been scored at home.
- ●80% of United of Manchester's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
Ilkeston TownWHAvro2–0
Avro2–0LAGainsborough Trinity1–3
Gainsborough Trinity1–3LHRedcar Athletic0–5
Redcar Athletic0–5LHGuiseley AFC0–2
Guiseley AFC0–2LALancaster City1–2
Lancaster City1–2LHRylands0–1
Rylands0–1–HHyde United31/10
Hyde United31/10–ALeek Town07/11
Leek Town07/11–ACurzon Ashton10/11
Curzon Ashton10/11United ofWHWhitby Town4–2
Whitby Town4–2DHAFC Emley1–1
AFC Emley1–1DAStockton Town2–2
Stockton Town2–2LAAlfreton Town0–1
Alfreton Town0–1WHWarrington Town4–1
Warrington Town4–1LHAvro3–4
Avro3–4–HQuorn27/10
Quorn27/10–HLancaster City31/10
Lancaster City31/10–AGuiseley AFC07/11
Guiseley AFC07/11Top Scorers
Ilkeston TownA. Dwyer7 ⚽
A. Hunter2 ⚽
L. Cox1 ⚽
L. Joyce1 ⚽
P. Johnson1 ⚽
S. Newell1 ⚽
United ofA. Le Fondre7 ⚽
M. Grivosti4 ⚽
M. Donohue4 ⚽
J. Buckley4 ⚽
N. Watson2 ⚽
G. Sithole1 ⚽
Cards Given
Ilkeston TownM. Abdullah2 🟨
L. Joyce1 🟨
United ofJ. Buckley2 🟨
2 🟨