Workington vs Ashton United — Non League Premier - Northern
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Workington and Ashton United meet in the Non League Premier - Northern 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Workington have recorded 9 wins from 19 matches this season (47% win rate), averaging 1.79 goals scored and 1.79 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 68% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 79%; and clean sheets in 11% of games. Ashton United have won 29% of their 21 matches, with 1.43 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 57%, Over 2.5 at 48%, and clean sheets at 19%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.71 for Workington and 1.40 for Ashton United. The models give Workington a 49% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Ashton United win at 27%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 60% and BTTS at 62%.
Season Statistics
Workington—
Ashton United6º
Position
17º
1.60
PPG
1.00
47%
Win %
21%
1.73
Goals / game
1.21
1.67
Conceded / game
1.29
68%
BTTS %
57%
11%
Clean sheet %
19%
79%
Over 2.5 %
48%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Workington
Home (7)
—
Ashton United
Away (7)
1.57
PPG
0.86
43%
Win %
14%
1.86
Goals / game
1.14
1.57
Conceded / game
1.57
78%
BTTS %
58%
11%
Clean sheet %
8%
78%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Workington | Home | Away | Ashton United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 79% | 89% | 70% | 71% | 78% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 58% | 67% | 50% | 38% | 22% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 37% | 56% | 20% | 14% | 11% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 21% | 11% | 30% | 29% | 22% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Workington | Home | Away | Ashton United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 89% | 89% | 90% | 81% | 67% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 58% | 56% | 60% | 48% | 33% | 58% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 16% | 0% | 30% | 5% | 0% | 8% |
| Clean Sheets | 11% | 11% | 10% | 19% | 33% | 8% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Workington | Ashton United | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 95% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 | 79% | 48% |
| Over 3.5 | 47% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 | 26% | 19% |
| BTTS | 68% | 57% |
| BTTS & Win | 37% | 14% |
| BTTS & Draw | 16% | 24% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 63% | 48% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 16% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Workington | Ashton United | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 26% | 24% |
| Draw 1st Half | 32% | 52% |
| Loss 1st Half | 42% | 24% |
| Scored 1st Half | 42% | 38% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 47% | 38% |
| Win 2nd Half | 47% | 38% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 26% | 29% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 26% | 33% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 68% | 57% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 68% | 52% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 74% | 62% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 32% | 48% |
Recent Venue Form
Workington (H)L
Whitby Town1–2
Whitby Town1–2D
Cleethorpes Town1–1
Cleethorpes Town1–1W
Blyth Spartans4–2
Blyth Spartans4–2W
Ilkeston Town3–1
Ilkeston Town3–1W
Marske United3–0
Marske United3–0W
Leek Town3–2
Leek Town3–2Ashton United (A)L
Avro2–3
Avro2–3DLeek Town2–2
Leek Town2–2D
Quorn2–2
Quorn2–2D
Warrington Town2–2
Warrington Town2–2L
Buxton0–1
Buxton0–1WWhitby Town5–2
Whitby Town5–2Head to Head · 6 matches
2
Workington
33%
2
Draws
33%
2
Ashton United
33%
100%
Over 1.5
6/6
83%
Over 2.5
5/6
50%
Over 3.5
3/6
67%
BTTS
4/6
11/04/26Workington
Ashton United
2–1Workington23/08/25Ashton United
Workington
1–1Ashton United26/04/25Ashton United
Workington
5–1Ashton United24/08/24Workington
Ashton United
3–0Workington16/12/23Workington
Ashton United
2–2Workington12/08/23Ashton United
Workington
5–0Ashton United| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Redcar Athletic | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | +20 | 34 |
| 2 | Cleethorpes Town | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | +22 | 30 |
| 3 |  Guiseley AFC | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | +15 | 28 |
| 4 |  Gainsborough Trinity | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | +14 | 28 |
| 5 | Avro | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | +10 | 28 |
| 6 | Workington | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | +1 | 24 |
| 7 |  Rylands | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | +4 | 23 |
| 8 | Warrington Town | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | +4 | 23 |
| 9 |  Curzon Ashton | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | +7 | 22 |
| 10 |  Alfreton Town | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | +4 | 20 |
| 11 |  Lancaster City | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | -9 | 20 |
| 12 |  Bury | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +11 | 19 |
| 13 | Whitby Town | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | -15 | 19 |
| 14 |  AFC Emley | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | -10 | 17 |
| 15 |  Hyde United | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -14 | 15 |
| 16 | Leek Town | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 14 |
| 17 | Ashton United | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 14 |
| 18 | Quorn | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -6 | 14 |
| 19 |  Stockton Town | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | -10 | 12 |
| 20 |  United of Manchester | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -6 | 10 |
| 21 |  Bamber Bridge | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -17 | 10 |
| 22 | Ilkeston Town | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | -24 | 10 |
Team Insights
Workington- ●Workington failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Workington failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Workington have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Workington failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Workington have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Workington failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Workington have won 4 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Workington have scored in 6 of their 8 away matches.
Ashton United- ●Ashton United have failed to win in their last 10 matches.
- ●Ashton United have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Ashton United failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Ashton United have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Ashton United have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Ashton United failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Ashton United failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Ashton United have scored in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Ashton United have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
WorkingtonWABamber Bridge2–1
Bamber Bridge2–1LHWhitby Town1–2
Whitby Town1–2LAQuorn0–3
Quorn0–3DAWarrington Town2–2
Warrington Town2–2DHCleethorpes Town1–1
Cleethorpes Town1–1WAAFC Emley3–1
AFC Emley3–1–ABury31/10
Bury31/10–HAshton United07/11
Ashton United07/11–HAlfreton Town10/11
Alfreton Town10/11Ashton UnitedLAAvro2–3
Avro2–3LHRedcar Athletic1–2
Redcar Athletic1–2DHAlfreton Town0–0
Alfreton Town0–0DALeek Town2–2
Leek Town2–2DAQuorn2–2
Quorn2–2LHCleethorpes Town0–1
Cleethorpes Town0–1–HRylands31/10
Rylands31/10–HWarrington Town03/11
Warrington Town03/11–AWorkington07/11
Workington07/11Top Scorers
WorkingtonL. Hunter10 ⚽
B. Dickenson4 ⚽
B. Carroll2 ⚽
D. Hopper2 ⚽
J. J. Palmer2 ⚽
S. Rigg1 ⚽
Ashton UnitedJ. Hardy3 ⚽
N. Okome2 ⚽
D. Turner2 ⚽
K. Willoughby2 ⚽
J. Johnson2 ⚽
D. Coghill1 ⚽
Cards Given
WorkingtonK. Nugent2 🟨
A. Mitchell1 🟨
Ashton UnitedC. Spooner1 🟨