Quorn vs Alfreton Town — Non League Premier - Northern
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Quorn and Alfreton Town meet in the Non League Premier - Northern 2026 season on 6 November 2026. Quorn have recorded 6 wins from 22 matches this season (27% win rate), averaging 1.73 goals scored and 2.23 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 73% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 77%; and clean sheets in 14% of games. Alfreton Town have won 33% of their 24 matches, with 1.08 goals scored and 1.46 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 42%, Over 2.5 at 54%, and clean sheets at 25%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.67 for Quorn and 1.59 for Alfreton Town. The models give Quorn a 42% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Alfreton Town win at 33%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 63% and BTTS at 65%.
Season Statistics
Quorn—
Alfreton Town18º
Position
10º
1.08
PPG
1.33
23%
Win %
40%
1.77
Goals / game
1.40
2.23
Conceded / game
1.13
73%
BTTS %
42%
14%
Clean sheet %
25%
77%
Over 2.5 %
54%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Quorn
Home (6)
—
Alfreton Town
Away (7)
1.00
PPG
0.57
17%
Win %
14%
1.83
Goals / game
0.86
2.67
Conceded / game
1.43
73%
BTTS %
50%
18%
Clean sheet %
13%
82%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Quorn | Home | Away | Alfreton Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 82% | 82% | 82% | 58% | 63% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 59% | 64% | 55% | 29% | 31% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 23% | 27% | 18% | 13% | 13% | 13% |
| Failed To Score | 18% | 18% | 18% | 42% | 38% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Quorn | Home | Away | Alfreton Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 86% | 82% | 91% | 75% | 69% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 68% | 64% | 73% | 42% | 44% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 23% | 18% | 27% | 17% | 19% | 13% |
| Clean Sheets | 14% | 18% | 9% | 25% | 31% | 13% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Quorn | Alfreton Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 91% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 | 77% | 54% |
| Over 3.5 | 59% | 25% |
| Over 4.5 | 32% | 13% |
| BTTS | 73% | 42% |
| BTTS & Win | 18% | 17% |
| BTTS & Draw | 27% | 4% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 68% | 38% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 9% | 17% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Quorn | Alfreton Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 23% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 41% | 29% |
| Loss 1st Half | 36% | 38% |
| Scored 1st Half | 59% | 42% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 64% | 42% |
| Win 2nd Half | 23% | 21% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 41% | 38% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 36% | 42% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 68% | 42% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 68% | 63% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 82% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 50% | 29% |
Recent Venue Form
Quorn (H)W
Workington3–0
Workington3–0D
Ashton United2–2
Ashton United2–2W
Leamington4–2
Leamington4–2W
Shepshed Dynamo2–1
Shepshed Dynamo2–1L
Whitby Town3–6
Whitby Town3–6D
Gainsborough Trinity2–2
Gainsborough Trinity2–2Alfreton Town (A)W
Mickleover Sports2–1
Mickleover Sports2–1DAshton United0–0
Ashton United0–0L
Redcar Athletic1–3
Redcar Athletic1–3L
Bamber Bridge0–1
Bamber Bridge0–1WWhitby Town4–1
Whitby Town4–1L
Stockton Town0–2
Stockton Town0–2| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Redcar Athletic | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | +20 | 34 |
| 2 |  Cleethorpes Town | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | +22 | 30 |
| 3 |  Guiseley AFC | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | +15 | 28 |
| 4 | Gainsborough Trinity | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | +14 | 28 |
| 5 |  Avro | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | +10 | 28 |
| 6 | Workington | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | +1 | 24 |
| 7 |  Rylands | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | +4 | 23 |
| 8 |  Warrington Town | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | +4 | 23 |
| 9 |  Curzon Ashton | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | +7 | 22 |
| 10 | Alfreton Town | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | +4 | 20 |
| 11 |  Lancaster City | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | -9 | 20 |
| 12 |  Bury | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +11 | 19 |
| 13 | Whitby Town | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | -15 | 19 |
| 14 |  AFC Emley | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | -10 | 17 |
| 15 |  Hyde United | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -14 | 15 |
| 16 |  Leek Town | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 14 |
| 17 | Ashton United | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 14 |
| 18 | Quorn | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -6 | 14 |
| 19 | Stockton Town | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | -10 | 12 |
| 20 |  United of Manchester | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -6 | 10 |
| 21 | Bamber Bridge | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -17 | 10 |
| 22 |  Ilkeston Town | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | -24 | 10 |
Team Insights
Quorn- ●Quorn have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Quorn have scored in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Quorn have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Quorn have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Quorn have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Quorn have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Quorn failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Quorn failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Quorn have scored in 6 of their 7 away matches.
Alfreton Town- ●Alfreton Town have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Alfreton Town have scored in each of their last 8 home matches.
- ●Alfreton Town have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Alfreton Town have scored in 8 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Alfreton Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Alfreton Town have lost 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●71% of Alfreton Town's goals have been scored at home.
- ●80% of Alfreton Town's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
QuornDAHyde United2–2
Hyde United2–2WHWorkington3–0
Workington3–0DHAshton United2–2
Ashton United2–2WABamber Bridge4–2
Bamber Bridge4–2LAGuiseley AFC1–4
Guiseley AFC1–4WAIlkeston Town2–0
Ilkeston Town2–0–AUnited of Manchester27/10
United of Manchester27/10–HWarrington Town31/10
Warrington Town31/10–HAlfreton Town06/11
Alfreton Town06/11Alfreton TownDHWarrington Town1–1
Warrington Town1–1DAAshton United0–0
Ashton United0–0LHBury2–3
Bury2–3WHUnited of Manchester1–0
United of Manchester1–0LARedcar Athletic1–3
Redcar Athletic1–3WHGuiseley AFC1–0
Guiseley AFC1–0–HAFC Emley31/10
AFC Emley31/10–AQuorn06/11
Quorn06/11–AWorkington10/11
Workington10/11Top Scorers
QuornJ. Friend7 ⚽
T. Pennant4 ⚽
J. Lawrence-Lowther3 ⚽
T. Berridge3 ⚽
Trialist3 ⚽
B. Kee2 ⚽
Alfreton TownS. Ligendza6 ⚽
D. Youmbi5 ⚽
D. Odunaiya4 ⚽
J. Kruszynski3 ⚽
S. R. Parker2 ⚽
L. Salmon1 ⚽
Cards Given
QuornE. Reaney2 🟨
J. Lawrence-Lowther1 🟨
Alfreton TownK. Williams2 🟨