Leek Town vs Ilkeston Town — Non League Premier - Northern
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Leek Town and Ilkeston Town meet in the Non League Premier - Northern 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Leek Town have recorded 7 wins from 21 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 2.00 goals scored and 1.52 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 86% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 67%; and clean sheets in 14% of games. Ilkeston Town have won 21% of their 19 matches, with 0.89 goals scored and 2.32 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 53%, Over 2.5 at 63%, and clean sheets at 11%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.13 for Leek Town and 1.35 for Ilkeston Town. The models give Leek Town a 57% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an Ilkeston Town win at 21%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 67% and BTTS at 66%.
Season Statistics
Leek Town—
Ilkeston Town16º
Position
22º
1.08
PPG
0.67
23%
Win %
20%
2.00
Goals / game
0.67
2.00
Conceded / game
2.27
86%
BTTS %
53%
14%
Clean sheet %
11%
67%
Over 2.5 %
63%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Leek Town
Home (7)
—
Ilkeston Town
Away (7)
1.14
PPG
0.57
29%
Win %
14%
2.00
Goals / game
0.86
1.86
Conceded / game
2.71
100%
BTTS %
78%
0%
Clean sheet %
0%
80%
Over 2.5 %
78%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Leek Town | Home | Away | Ilkeston Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 100% | 100% | 100% | 63% | 50% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 52% | 50% | 55% | 16% | 20% | 11% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 24% | 30% | 18% | 5% | 10% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 0% | 0% | 0% | 37% | 50% | 22% |
Goals Conceded
| Leek Town | Home | Away | Ilkeston Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 86% | 100% | 73% | 89% | 80% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 43% | 50% | 36% | 68% | 60% | 78% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 19% | 10% | 27% | 42% | 30% | 56% |
| Clean Sheets | 14% | 0% | 27% | 11% | 20% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Leek Town | Ilkeston Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 95% | 89% |
| Over 2.5 | 67% | 63% |
| Over 3.5 | 38% | 42% |
| Over 4.5 | 33% | 16% |
| BTTS | 86% | 53% |
| BTTS & Win | 19% | 11% |
| BTTS & Draw | 38% | 5% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 62% | 47% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 5% | 16% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Leek Town | Ilkeston Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 43% | 16% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 32% |
| Loss 1st Half | 24% | 53% |
| Scored 1st Half | 76% | 26% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 71% | 63% |
| Win 2nd Half | 29% | 21% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 38% | 21% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 33% | 58% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 43% | 42% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 48% | 79% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 100% | 74% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 57% | 47% |
Recent Venue Form
Leek Town (H)W
Bootle4–1
Bootle4–1D
Ashton United2–2
Ashton United2–2D
Rylands3–3
Rylands3–3W
Hyde United2–1
Hyde United2–1L
Warrington Town1–2
Warrington Town1–2W
Bamber Bridge4–1
Bamber Bridge4–1Ilkeston Town (A)L
Gainsborough Trinity1–3
Gainsborough Trinity1–3L
Lancaster City1–2
Lancaster City1–2L
Workington1–3
Workington1–3L
Leamington1–3
Leamington1–3L
Bury0–7
Bury0–7DAshton United1–1
Ashton United1–1Head to Head · 7 matches
4
Leek Town
57%
0
Draws
0%
3
Ilkeston Town
43%
100%
Over 1.5
7/7
71%
Over 2.5
5/7
43%
Over 3.5
3/7
71%
BTTS
5/7
31/01/26Leek Town
Ilkeston Town
1–3Leek Town20/09/25Ilkeston Town
Leek Town
1–2Ilkeston Town04/01/25Leek Town
Ilkeston Town
0–2Leek Town21/09/24Ilkeston Town
Leek Town
1–3Ilkeston Town03/11/20Leek Town
Ilkeston Town
2–3Leek Town22/02/20Leek Town
Ilkeston Town
2–0Leek Town10/09/19Ilkeston Town
Leek Town
2–1Ilkeston Town| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Redcar Athletic | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | +20 | 34 |
| 2 |  Cleethorpes Town | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | +22 | 30 |
| 3 |  Guiseley AFC | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | +15 | 28 |
| 4 | Gainsborough Trinity | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | +14 | 28 |
| 5 |  Avro | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | +10 | 28 |
| 6 | Workington | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | +1 | 24 |
| 7 | Rylands | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | +4 | 23 |
| 8 | Warrington Town | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | +4 | 23 |
| 9 |  Curzon Ashton | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | +7 | 22 |
| 10 |  Alfreton Town | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | +4 | 20 |
| 11 | Lancaster City | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | -9 | 20 |
| 12 | Bury | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +11 | 19 |
| 13 |  Whitby Town | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | -15 | 19 |
| 14 |  AFC Emley | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | -10 | 17 |
| 15 | Hyde United | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -14 | 15 |
| 16 | Leek Town | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 14 |
| 17 | Ashton United | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 14 |
| 18 |  Quorn | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -6 | 14 |
| 19 |  Stockton Town | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | -10 | 12 |
| 20 |  United of Manchester | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -6 | 10 |
| 21 | Bamber Bridge | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -17 | 10 |
| 22 | Ilkeston Town | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | -24 | 10 |
Team Insights
Leek Town- ●Leek Town have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Leek Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 13 matches.
- ●Leek Town have scored in each of their last 13 matches.
- ●Leek Town have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Leek Town have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Leek Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Leek Town have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Leek Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Leek Town have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Leek Town have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Leek Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Leek Town have scored in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Leek Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Leek Town have scored in 6 of their 6 away matches.
Ilkeston Town- ●Ilkeston Town have lost their last 4 away matches.
- ●Ilkeston Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Ilkeston Town have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Ilkeston Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Ilkeston Town have lost 6 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Ilkeston Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Ilkeston Town have lost 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Ilkeston Town have scored in 5 of their 7 away matches.
Season Schedule
Leek TownWALancaster City2–1
Lancaster City2–1DHAshton United2–2
Ashton United2–2DHRylands3–3
Rylands3–3WHHyde United2–1
Hyde United2–1LARedcar Athletic2–3
Redcar Athletic2–3LHWarrington Town1–2
Warrington Town1–2–ABury27/10
Bury27/10–ACurzon Ashton31/10
Curzon Ashton31/10–AGuiseley AFC03/11
Guiseley AFC03/11Ilkeston TownWHAvro2–0
Avro2–0LAGainsborough Trinity1–3
Gainsborough Trinity1–3LHRedcar Athletic0–5
Redcar Athletic0–5LHGuiseley AFC0–2
Guiseley AFC0–2LALancaster City1–2
Lancaster City1–2LHRylands0–1
Rylands0–1–HHyde United31/10
Hyde United31/10–ALeek Town07/11
Leek Town07/11–ACurzon Ashton10/11
Curzon Ashton10/11Top Scorers
Leek TownJ. Griffiths7 ⚽
C. Heath5 ⚽
H. Campbell3 ⚽
A. Hurst3 ⚽
A. Panter3 ⚽
3 ⚽
Ilkeston TownA. Dwyer7 ⚽
A. Hunter2 ⚽
L. Cox1 ⚽
L. Joyce1 ⚽
P. Johnson1 ⚽
S. Newell1 ⚽
Cards Given
Leek TownA. Hurst1 🟨
Ilkeston TownM. Abdullah2 🟨
L. Joyce1 🟨