Lancaster City vs Cleethorpes Town — Non League Premier - Northern
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Lancaster City and Cleethorpes Town meet in the Non League Premier - Northern 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Lancaster City have recorded 7 wins from 21 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 1.24 goals scored and 1.81 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 62% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 62%; and clean sheets in 19% of games. Cleethorpes Town have won 53% of their 19 matches, with 2.05 goals scored and 0.79 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 47%, Over 2.5 at 58%, and clean sheets at 47%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.10 for Lancaster City and 1.66 for Cleethorpes Town. The models give Lancaster City a 27% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Cleethorpes Town win at 47%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 52% and BTTS at 54%.
Season Statistics
Lancaster City—
Cleethorpes Town11º
Position
2º
1.25
PPG
2.14
38%
Win %
64%
1.25
Goals / game
2.21
1.81
Conceded / game
0.64
62%
BTTS %
47%
19%
Clean sheet %
47%
62%
Over 2.5 %
58%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Lancaster City
Home (8)
—
Cleethorpes Town
Away (7)
1.25
PPG
2.00
38%
Win %
57%
1.00
Goals / game
2.14
1.50
Conceded / game
0.57
60%
BTTS %
43%
20%
Clean sheet %
57%
60%
Over 2.5 %
57%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Lancaster City | Home | Away | Cleethorpes Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 81% | 80% | 82% | 89% | 83% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 38% | 30% | 45% | 47% | 50% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 5% | 0% | 9% | 32% | 25% | 43% |
| Failed To Score | 19% | 20% | 18% | 11% | 17% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Lancaster City | Home | Away | Cleethorpes Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 81% | 80% | 82% | 53% | 58% | 43% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 52% | 60% | 45% | 21% | 25% | 14% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 24% | 10% | 36% | 5% | 8% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 19% | 20% | 18% | 47% | 42% | 57% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Lancaster City | Cleethorpes Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 76% | 79% |
| Over 2.5 | 62% | 58% |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 26% |
| Over 4.5 | 14% | 16% |
| BTTS | 62% | 47% |
| BTTS & Win | 14% | 11% |
| BTTS & Draw | 19% | 21% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 57% | 32% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 5% | 26% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Lancaster City | Cleethorpes Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 24% | 32% |
| Draw 1st Half | 43% | 53% |
| Loss 1st Half | 33% | 16% |
| Scored 1st Half | 57% | 47% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 62% | 32% |
| Win 2nd Half | 24% | 53% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 32% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 43% | 16% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 48% | 84% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 52% | 37% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 86% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 38% | 26% |
Recent Venue Form
Lancaster City (H)L
Leek Town1–2
Leek Town1–2W
Stockton Town1–0
Stockton Town1–0W
Ilkeston Town2–1
Ilkeston Town2–1L
Curzon Ashton0–2
Curzon Ashton0–2D
Tadcaster Albion1–1
Tadcaster Albion1–1L
Workington0–3
Workington0–3Cleethorpes Town (A)L
Guiseley AFC1–2
Guiseley AFC1–2DWorkington1–1
Workington1–1W
Ashton United1–0
Ashton United1–0W
Gainsborough Trinity3–0
Gainsborough Trinity3–0WIlkeston Town3–0
Ilkeston Town3–0D
Warrington Town1–1
Warrington Town1–1Head to Head · 3 matches
0
Lancaster City
0%
2
Draws
67%
1
Cleethorpes Town
33%
67%
Over 1.5
2/3
67%
Over 2.5
2/3
67%
Over 3.5
2/3
67%
BTTS
2/3
26/09/26Lancaster City
Cleethorpes Town
5–1Lancaster City21/03/26Cleethorpes Town
Lancaster City
0–0Cleethorpes Town08/11/25Lancaster City
Cleethorpes Town
2–2Lancaster City| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Redcar Athletic | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | +20 | 34 |
| 2 | Cleethorpes Town | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | +22 | 30 |
| 3 | Guiseley AFC | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | +15 | 28 |
| 4 | Gainsborough Trinity | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | +14 | 28 |
| 5 |  Avro | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | +10 | 28 |
| 6 | Workington | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | +1 | 24 |
| 7 |  Rylands | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | +4 | 23 |
| 8 | Warrington Town | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | +4 | 23 |
| 9 | Curzon Ashton | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | +7 | 22 |
| 10 |  Alfreton Town | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | +4 | 20 |
| 11 | Lancaster City | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | -9 | 20 |
| 12 |  Bury | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +11 | 19 |
| 13 |  Whitby Town | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | -15 | 19 |
| 14 |  AFC Emley | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | -10 | 17 |
| 15 |  Hyde United | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -14 | 15 |
| 16 | Leek Town | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 14 |
| 17 | Ashton United | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 14 |
| 18 |  Quorn | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -6 | 14 |
| 19 | Stockton Town | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | -10 | 12 |
| 20 |  United of Manchester | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -6 | 10 |
| 21 |  Bamber Bridge | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -17 | 10 |
| 22 | Ilkeston Town | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | -24 | 10 |
Team Insights
Lancaster City- ●Lancaster City failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Lancaster City failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Lancaster City have lost 4 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Lancaster City failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Lancaster City have won 3 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Lancaster City have scored in 7 of their 8 away matches.
Cleethorpes Town- ●Cleethorpes Town have scored in each of their last 14 matches.
- ●Cleethorpes Town have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Cleethorpes Town have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Cleethorpes Town have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Cleethorpes Town have scored in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Cleethorpes Town have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Cleethorpes Town have scored in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Cleethorpes Town have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Cleethorpes Town have won 4 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Cleethorpes Town have scored in 7 of their 7 away matches.
Season Schedule
Lancaster CityLAAFC Emley0–1
AFC Emley0–1LHLeek Town1–2
Leek Town1–2WHStockton Town1–0
Stockton Town1–0DAWarrington Town2–2
Warrington Town2–2LAAvro3–5
Avro3–5WHIlkeston Town2–1
Ilkeston Town2–1–AUnited of Manchester31/10
United of Manchester31/10–HCleethorpes Town07/11
Cleethorpes Town07/11–AGainsborough Trinity14/11
Gainsborough Trinity14/11Cleethorpes TownLAGuiseley AFC1–2
Guiseley AFC1–2WHRylands3–0
Rylands3–0WHHyde United1–0
Hyde United1–0DAWorkington1–1
Workington1–1DHRedcar Athletic1–1
Redcar Athletic1–1WAAshton United1–0
Ashton United1–0–HAvro31/10
Avro31/10–ALancaster City07/11
Lancaster City07/11–ABury10/11
Bury10/11Top Scorers
Lancaster CityS. Yawson4 ⚽
C. Bailey3 ⚽
D. Lawson3 ⚽
J. Craig3 ⚽
S. Bailey3 ⚽
S. Sanogo2 ⚽
Cleethorpes TownJ. Walker10 ⚽
J. Blunden5 ⚽
L. Hughes3 ⚽
B. Fewster3 ⚽
M. Wilson2 ⚽
C. Foster2 ⚽
Cards Given
Lancaster CityJ. Nolan1 🟨
Cleethorpes Town