United of Manchester vs Lancaster City — Non League Premier - Northern
← Back

Unlock all Match Predictions
Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.
billed annually · cancel anytime
United of Manchester and Lancaster City meet in the Non League Premier - Northern 2026 season on 31 October 2026. United of Manchester have recorded 8 wins from 26 matches this season (31% win rate), averaging 1.69 goals scored and 1.73 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 54% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 62%; and clean sheets in 19% of games. Lancaster City have won 33% of their 21 matches, with 1.24 goals scored and 1.81 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 62%, Over 2.5 at 62%, and clean sheets at 19%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.96 for United of Manchester and 1.68 for Lancaster City. The models give United of Manchester a 44% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Lancaster City win at 32%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 70% and BTTS at 70%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| United of | Home | Away | Lancaster City | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 69% | 92% | 50% | 81% | 80% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 46% | 50% | 43% | 38% | 30% | 45% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 31% | 33% | 29% | 5% | 0% | 9% |
| Failed To Score | 31% | 8% | 50% | 19% | 20% | 18% |
Goals Conceded
| United of | Home | Away | Lancaster City | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 81% | 92% | 71% | 81% | 80% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 58% | 43% | 52% | 60% | 45% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 23% | 33% | 14% | 24% | 10% | 36% |
| Clean Sheets | 19% | 8% | 29% | 19% | 20% | 18% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| United of | Lancaster City | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 88% | 76% |
| Over 2.5 | 62% | 62% |
| Over 3.5 | 38% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 | 31% | 14% |
| BTTS | 54% | 62% |
| BTTS & Win | 15% | 14% |
| BTTS & Draw | 15% | 19% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 42% | 57% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 19% | 5% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| United of | Lancaster City | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 38% | 24% |
| Draw 1st Half | 31% | 43% |
| Loss 1st Half | 31% | 33% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 57% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 38% | 62% |
| Win 2nd Half | 27% | 24% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 15% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 58% | 43% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 65% | 48% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 73% | 52% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 77% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 42% | 38% |
Recent Venue Form
Team Corners
| Team Corners | United of | Lancaster City |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 2.0 | 0.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 7.5 | 0.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 50% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 50% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 50% | 0% |
Head to Head · 15 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | +20 | 34 | |
| 2 | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | +22 | 30 | |
| 3 | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | +15 | 28 | |
| 4 | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | +14 | 28 | |
| 5 | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | +10 | 28 | |
| 6 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | +1 | 24 | |
| 7 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | +4 | 23 | |
| 8 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | +4 | 23 | |
| 9 | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | +7 | 22 | |
| 10 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | +4 | 20 | |
| 11 | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | -9 | 20 | |
| 12 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +11 | 19 | |
| 13 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | -15 | 19 | |
| 14 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | -10 | 17 | |
| 15 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -14 | 15 | |
| 16 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 14 | |
| 17 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 14 | |
| 18 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -6 | 14 | |
| 19 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | -10 | 12 | |
| 20 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -6 | 10 | |
| 21 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -17 | 10 | |
| 22 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | -24 | 10 |
Team Insights
- ●United of Manchester have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●United of Manchester failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 13 matches.
- ●United of Manchester have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●United of Manchester failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●United of Manchester have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●United of Manchester failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●United of Manchester failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●United of Manchester have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●United of Manchester failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●United of Manchester have lost 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●74% of United of Manchester's goals have been scored at home.
- ●80% of United of Manchester's points have been earned at home.
- ●Lancaster City failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Lancaster City failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Lancaster City have lost 4 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Lancaster City failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Lancaster City have won 3 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Lancaster City have scored in 7 of their 8 away matches.