Bury vs Workington — Non League Premier - Northern
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Bury and Workington meet in the Non League Premier - Northern 2026 season on 31 October 2026. Bury have recorded 13 wins from 22 matches this season (59% win rate), averaging 2.45 goals scored and 1.05 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 68%; and clean sheets in 36% of games. Workington have won 47% of their 19 matches, with 1.79 goals scored and 1.79 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 68%, Over 2.5 at 79%, and clean sheets at 11%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.18 for Bury and 1.26 for Workington. The models give Bury a 55% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Workington win at 22%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 66% and BTTS at 63%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Bury | Home | Away | Workington | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 82% | 92% | 67% | 79% | 89% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 59% | 77% | 33% | 58% | 67% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 45% | 69% | 11% | 37% | 56% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 18% | 8% | 33% | 21% | 11% | 30% |
Goals Conceded
| Bury | Home | Away | Workington | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 64% | 54% | 78% | 89% | 89% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 27% | 15% | 44% | 58% | 56% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 14% | 8% | 22% | 16% | 0% | 30% |
| Clean Sheets | 36% | 46% | 22% | 11% | 11% | 10% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Bury | Workington | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 73% | 95% |
| Over 2.5 | 68% | 79% |
| Over 3.5 | 50% | 47% |
| Over 4.5 | 32% | 26% |
| BTTS | 50% | 68% |
| BTTS & Win | 27% | 37% |
| BTTS & Draw | 9% | 16% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 45% | 63% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 23% | 16% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Bury | Workington | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 48% | 26% |
| Draw 1st Half | 38% | 32% |
| Loss 1st Half | 14% | 42% |
| Scored 1st Half | 71% | 42% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 43% | 47% |
| Win 2nd Half | 38% | 47% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 26% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 29% | 26% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 62% | 68% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 43% | 68% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 81% | 74% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 52% | 32% |
Recent Venue Form
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Bury | Workington |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 7.0 | 0.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 7.0 | 0.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 100% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 100% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
Head to Head · 1 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | +20 | 34 | |
| 2 | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | +22 | 30 | |
| 3 | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | +15 | 28 | |
| 4 | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | +14 | 28 | |
| 5 | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | +10 | 28 | |
| 6 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | +1 | 24 | |
| 7 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | +4 | 23 | |
| 8 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | +4 | 23 | |
| 9 | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | +7 | 22 | |
| 10 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | +4 | 20 | |
| 11 | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | -9 | 20 | |
| 12 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +11 | 19 | |
| 13 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | -15 | 19 | |
| 14 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | -10 | 17 | |
| 15 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -14 | 15 | |
| 16 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 14 | |
| 17 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 14 | |
| 18 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -6 | 14 | |
| 19 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | -10 | 12 | |
| 20 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -6 | 10 | |
| 21 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -17 | 10 | |
| 22 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | -24 | 10 |
Team Insights
- ●Bury have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Bury have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Bury have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 home matches.
- ●68% of Bury's goals have been scored at home.
- ●73% of Bury's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Bury have scored 64% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Bury have conceded 64% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Workington failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Workington failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Workington have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Workington failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Workington have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Workington failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Workington have won 4 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Workington have scored in 6 of their 8 away matches.