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Bury vs Workington — Non League Premier - Northern

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Bury
Bury
12º · 1.73 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 7d 1h
vs
–
–
Workington
Workington
6º · 1.60 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 14d 1h
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Bury and Workington meet in the Non League Premier - Northern 2026 season on 31 October 2026. Bury have recorded 13 wins from 22 matches this season (59% win rate), averaging 2.45 goals scored and 1.05 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 68%; and clean sheets in 36% of games. Workington have won 47% of their 19 matches, with 1.79 goals scored and 1.79 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 68%, Over 2.5 at 79%, and clean sheets at 11%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.18 for Bury and 1.26 for Workington. The models give Bury a 55% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Workington win at 22%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 66% and BTTS at 63%.

Season Statistics

Bury
—
Workington
12º
Position
6º
1.73
PPG
1.60
55%
Win %
47%
2.00
Goals / game
1.73
1.00
Conceded / game
1.67
50%
BTTS %
68%
36%
Clean sheet %
11%
68%
Over 2.5 %
79%
7.0
Avg corners
0.0
6.0
Avg shots
0.0
5.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
43.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

Bury
Home (5)
—
Workington
Away (8)
2.40
PPG
1.63
80%
Win %
50%
3.00
Goals / game
1.63
0.60
Conceded / game
1.75
46%
BTTS %
60%
46%
Clean sheet %
10%
77%
Over 2.5 %
80%
7.0
Avg corners
0.0
6.0
Avg shots
0.0
5.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
43.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

BuryHomeAwayWorkingtonHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored82%92%67%79%89%70%
Over 1.5 Scored59%77%33%58%67%50%
Over 2.5 Scored45%69%11%37%56%20%
Failed To Score18%8%33%21%11%30%

Goals Conceded

BuryHomeAwayWorkingtonHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded64%54%78%89%89%90%
Over 1.5 Conceded27%15%44%58%56%60%
Over 2.5 Conceded14%8%22%16%0%30%
Clean Sheets36%46%22%11%11%10%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

BuryWorkington
Over 0.595%100%
Over 1.573%95%
Over 2.568%79%
Over 3.550%47%
Over 4.532%26%
BTTS50%68%
BTTS & Win27%37%
BTTS & Draw9%16%
BTTS & Over 2.545%63%
BTTS No & Over 2.523%16%

1st Half / 2nd Half

BuryWorkington
Win 1st Half48%26%
Draw 1st Half38%32%
Loss 1st Half14%42%
Scored 1st Half71%42%
Conceded 1st Half43%47%
Win 2nd Half38%47%
Draw 2nd Half33%26%
Loss 2nd Half29%26%
Scored 2nd Half62%68%
Conceded 2nd Half43%68%
Over 0.5 HT81%74%
Over 1.5 HT52%32%

Recent Venue Form

Bury (H)
WPrescot Cables3–0
DHarrogate Town1–1
WBromsgrove Sporting2–1
DGainsborough Trinity3–3
WWorkington5–1
WAFC Emley4–0
Workington (A)
WBamber Bridge2–1
LQuorn0–3
DWarrington Town2–2
WAFC Emley3–1
LBury1–5
WLancaster City3–0

Team Corners

Team CornersBuryWorkington
Corners Earned / Match7.00.0
Corners Against / Match7.00.0
Over 2.5 Corners For100%0%
Over 3.5 Corners For100%0%
Over 4.5 Corners For100%0%
Over 2.5 Corners Against100%0%
Over 3.5 Corners Against100%0%
Over 4.5 Corners Against100%0%

Head to Head · 1 matches

1
Bury
100%
0
Draws
0%
0
Workington
0%
100%
Over 1.5
1/1
100%
Over 2.5
1/1
100%
Over 3.5
1/1
100%
BTTS
1/1
19/09/26
Bury
5–1
Workington
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Redcar Athletic151041+2034
2Cleethorpes Town14932+2230
3Guiseley AFC13913+1528
4Gainsborough Trinity14914+1428
5Avro14914+1028
6Workington15735+124
7Rylands14725+423
8Warrington Town14653+423
9Curzon Ashton13715+722
10Alfreton Town15627+420
11Lancaster City16628-920
12Bury11614+1119
13Whitby Town15618-1519
14AFC Emley15456-1017
15Hyde United15438-1415
16Leek Town13355014
17Ashton United14356-114
18Quorn13355-614
19Stockton Town15339-1012
20United of Manchester13247-610
21Bamber Bridge14248-1710
22Ilkeston Town153111-2410

Team Insights

Bury
  • ●Bury have won their last 2 home matches.
  • ●Bury have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
  • ●Bury have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 home matches.
  • ●68% of Bury's goals have been scored at home.
  • ●73% of Bury's goals conceded were conceded away.
  • ●Bury have scored 64% of their goals in the first half.
  • ●Bury have conceded 64% of their goals in the first half.
Workington
  • ●Workington failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
  • ●Workington failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 home matches.
  • ●Workington have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
  • ●Workington failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 home matches.
  • ●Workington have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
  • ●Workington failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 8 away matches.
  • ●Workington have won 4 of their 8 away matches.
  • ●Workington have scored in 6 of their 8 away matches.
WABamber Bridge21º2–1
LHWhitby Town13º1–2
LAQuorn18º0–3
DAWarrington Town8º2–2
WAAFC Emley14º3–1
LABury1–5
WHIlkeston Town22º3–1

Season Schedule

Bury
WAAlfreton Town3–2
LAStockton Town0–1
WHAFC Emley4–0
LAHyde United1–2
WHIlkeston Town7–0
LHLancaster City0–1
–HLeek Town27/10
–HWorkington31/10
–HAvro03/11
Workington
WABamber Bridge2–1
LHWhitby Town1–2
LAQuorn0–3
DAWarrington Town2–2
DHCleethorpes Town1–1
WAAFC Emley3–1
–ABury31/10
–HAshton United07/11
–HAlfreton Town10/11

Top Scorers

Bury
T. Carr6 ⚽
K. Evans5 ⚽
M. Touray3 ⚽
D. Pedro3 ⚽
G. Glendon3 ⚽
O. Robinson3 ⚽
Workington
L. Hunter10 ⚽
B. Dickenson4 ⚽
B. Carroll2 ⚽
D. Hopper2 ⚽
J. J. Palmer2 ⚽
S. Rigg1 ⚽

Cards Given

Bury
D. Pedro1 🟨
Workington
K. Nugent2 🟨
A. Mitchell1 🟨