Alfreton Town vs AFC Emley — Non League Premier - Northern
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Alfreton Town and AFC Emley meet in the Non League Premier - Northern 2026 season on 31 October 2026. Alfreton Town have recorded 8 wins from 24 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 1.08 goals scored and 1.46 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 42% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 54%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. AFC Emley have won 24% of their 21 matches, with 0.95 goals scored and 1.81 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 57%, Over 2.5 at 57%, and clean sheets at 19%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.67 for Alfreton Town and 1.19 for AFC Emley. The models give Alfreton Town a 47% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an AFC Emley win at 27%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 54% and BTTS at 56%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Alfreton Town | Home | Away | AFC Emley | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 58% | 63% | 50% | 67% | 80% | 55% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 29% | 31% | 25% | 24% | 10% | 36% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 13% | 13% | 13% | 5% | 0% | 9% |
| Failed To Score | 42% | 38% | 50% | 33% | 20% | 45% |
Goals Conceded
| Alfreton Town | Home | Away | AFC Emley | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 75% | 69% | 88% | 81% | 90% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 42% | 44% | 38% | 43% | 50% | 36% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 17% | 19% | 13% | 29% | 30% | 27% |
| Clean Sheets | 25% | 31% | 13% | 19% | 10% | 27% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Alfreton Town | AFC Emley | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 | 71% | 81% |
| Over 2.5 | 54% | 57% |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | 38% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 10% |
| BTTS | 42% | 57% |
| BTTS & Win | 17% | 14% |
| BTTS & Draw | 4% | 24% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 38% | 38% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 17% | 19% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Alfreton Town | AFC Emley | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 24% |
| Draw 1st Half | 29% | 48% |
| Loss 1st Half | 38% | 29% |
| Scored 1st Half | 42% | 38% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 42% | 43% |
| Win 2nd Half | 21% | 14% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 38% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 42% | 52% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 42% | 38% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 63% | 67% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 29% | 48% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 1 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | +20 | 34 | |
| 2 | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | +22 | 30 | |
| 3 | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | +15 | 28 | |
| 4 | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | +14 | 28 | |
| 5 | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | +10 | 28 | |
| 6 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | +1 | 24 | |
| 7 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | +4 | 23 | |
| 8 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | +4 | 23 | |
| 9 | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | +7 | 22 | |
| 10 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | +4 | 20 | |
| 11 | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | -9 | 20 | |
| 12 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +11 | 19 | |
| 13 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | -15 | 19 | |
| 14 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | -10 | 17 | |
| 15 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -14 | 15 | |
| 16 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 14 | |
| 17 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 14 | |
| 18 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -6 | 14 | |
| 19 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | -10 | 12 | |
| 20 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -6 | 10 | |
| 21 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -17 | 10 | |
| 22 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | -24 | 10 |
Team Insights
- ●Alfreton Town have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Alfreton Town have scored in each of their last 8 home matches.
- ●Alfreton Town have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Alfreton Town have scored in 8 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Alfreton Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Alfreton Town have lost 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●71% of Alfreton Town's goals have been scored at home.
- ●80% of Alfreton Town's points have been earned at home.
- ●AFC Emley have won their last 2 matches.
- ●AFC Emley have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●AFC Emley failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●AFC Emley failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●AFC Emley have lost 4 of their 7 home matches.
- ●AFC Emley have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●AFC Emley failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 8 away matches.
- ●AFC Emley have scored 63% of their goals in the first half.