Workington vs Alfreton Town — Non League Premier - Northern
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Workington and Alfreton Town meet in the Non League Premier - Northern 2026 season on 10 November 2026. Workington have recorded 9 wins from 19 matches this season (47% win rate), averaging 1.79 goals scored and 1.79 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 68% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 79%; and clean sheets in 11% of games. Alfreton Town have won 33% of their 24 matches, with 1.08 goals scored and 1.46 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 42%, Over 2.5 at 54%, and clean sheets at 25%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.67 for Workington and 1.28 for Alfreton Town. The models give Workington a 48% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Alfreton Town win at 27%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 57% and BTTS at 59%.
Season Statistics
Workington—
Alfreton Town6º
Position
10º
1.60
PPG
1.33
47%
Win %
40%
1.73
Goals / game
1.40
1.67
Conceded / game
1.13
68%
BTTS %
42%
11%
Clean sheet %
25%
79%
Over 2.5 %
54%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Workington
Home (7)
—
Alfreton Town
Away (7)
1.57
PPG
0.57
43%
Win %
14%
1.86
Goals / game
0.86
1.57
Conceded / game
1.43
78%
BTTS %
50%
11%
Clean sheet %
13%
78%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Workington | Home | Away | Alfreton Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 79% | 89% | 70% | 58% | 63% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 58% | 67% | 50% | 29% | 31% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 37% | 56% | 20% | 13% | 13% | 13% |
| Failed To Score | 21% | 11% | 30% | 42% | 38% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Workington | Home | Away | Alfreton Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 89% | 89% | 90% | 75% | 69% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 58% | 56% | 60% | 42% | 44% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 16% | 0% | 30% | 17% | 19% | 13% |
| Clean Sheets | 11% | 11% | 10% | 25% | 31% | 13% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Workington | Alfreton Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 95% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 | 79% | 54% |
| Over 3.5 | 47% | 25% |
| Over 4.5 | 26% | 13% |
| BTTS | 68% | 42% |
| BTTS & Win | 37% | 17% |
| BTTS & Draw | 16% | 4% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 63% | 38% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 16% | 17% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Workington | Alfreton Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 26% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 32% | 29% |
| Loss 1st Half | 42% | 38% |
| Scored 1st Half | 42% | 42% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 47% | 42% |
| Win 2nd Half | 47% | 21% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 26% | 38% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 26% | 42% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 68% | 42% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 68% | 63% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 74% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 32% | 29% |
Recent Venue Form
Workington (H)L
Whitby Town1–2
Whitby Town1–2D
Cleethorpes Town1–1
Cleethorpes Town1–1W
Blyth Spartans4–2
Blyth Spartans4–2W
Ilkeston Town3–1
Ilkeston Town3–1W
Marske United3–0
Marske United3–0W
Leek Town3–2
Leek Town3–2Alfreton Town (A)W
Mickleover Sports2–1
Mickleover Sports2–1D
Ashton United0–0
Ashton United0–0L
Redcar Athletic1–3
Redcar Athletic1–3L
Bamber Bridge0–1
Bamber Bridge0–1WWhitby Town4–1
Whitby Town4–1L
Stockton Town0–2
Stockton Town0–2| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Redcar Athletic | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | +20 | 34 |
| 2 | Cleethorpes Town | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | +22 | 30 |
| 3 |  Guiseley AFC | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | +15 | 28 |
| 4 |  Gainsborough Trinity | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | +14 | 28 |
| 5 |  Avro | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | +10 | 28 |
| 6 | Workington | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | +1 | 24 |
| 7 |  Rylands | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | +4 | 23 |
| 8 |  Warrington Town | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | +4 | 23 |
| 9 |  Curzon Ashton | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | +7 | 22 |
| 10 | Alfreton Town | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | +4 | 20 |
| 11 |  Lancaster City | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | -9 | 20 |
| 12 |  Bury | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +11 | 19 |
| 13 | Whitby Town | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | -15 | 19 |
| 14 |  AFC Emley | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | -10 | 17 |
| 15 |  Hyde United | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -14 | 15 |
| 16 | Leek Town | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 14 |
| 17 | Ashton United | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 14 |
| 18 |  Quorn | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -6 | 14 |
| 19 | Stockton Town | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | -10 | 12 |
| 20 |  United of Manchester | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -6 | 10 |
| 21 | Bamber Bridge | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -17 | 10 |
| 22 | Ilkeston Town | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | -24 | 10 |
Team Insights
Workington- ●Workington failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Workington failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Workington have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Workington failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Workington have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Workington failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Workington have won 4 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Workington have scored in 6 of their 8 away matches.
Alfreton Town- ●Alfreton Town have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Alfreton Town have scored in each of their last 8 home matches.
- ●Alfreton Town have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Alfreton Town have scored in 8 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Alfreton Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Alfreton Town have lost 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●71% of Alfreton Town's goals have been scored at home.
- ●80% of Alfreton Town's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
WorkingtonWABamber Bridge2–1
Bamber Bridge2–1LHWhitby Town1–2
Whitby Town1–2LAQuorn0–3
Quorn0–3DAWarrington Town2–2
Warrington Town2–2DHCleethorpes Town1–1
Cleethorpes Town1–1WAAFC Emley3–1
AFC Emley3–1–ABury31/10
Bury31/10–HAshton United07/11
Ashton United07/11–HAlfreton Town10/11
Alfreton Town10/11Alfreton TownDHWarrington Town1–1
Warrington Town1–1DAAshton United0–0
Ashton United0–0LHBury2–3
Bury2–3WHUnited of Manchester1–0
United of Manchester1–0LARedcar Athletic1–3
Redcar Athletic1–3WHGuiseley AFC1–0
Guiseley AFC1–0–HAFC Emley31/10
AFC Emley31/10–AQuorn06/11
Quorn06/11–AWorkington10/11
Workington10/11Top Scorers
WorkingtonL. Hunter10 ⚽
B. Dickenson4 ⚽
B. Carroll2 ⚽
D. Hopper2 ⚽
J. J. Palmer2 ⚽
S. Rigg1 ⚽
Alfreton TownS. Ligendza6 ⚽
D. Youmbi5 ⚽
D. Odunaiya4 ⚽
J. Kruszynski3 ⚽
S. R. Parker2 ⚽
L. Salmon1 ⚽
Cards Given
WorkingtonK. Nugent2 🟨
A. Mitchell1 🟨
Alfreton TownK. Williams2 🟨