Leek Town vs Gainsborough Trinity — Non League Premier - Northern
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Leek Town and Gainsborough Trinity meet in the Non League Premier - Northern 2026 season on 24 November 2026. Leek Town have recorded 7 wins from 23 matches this season (30% win rate), averaging 2.00 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 87% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 70%; and clean sheets in 13% of games. Gainsborough Trinity have won 44% of their 25 matches, with 1.92 goals scored and 1.44 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 60%, Over 2.5 at 68%, and clean sheets at 20%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.66 for Leek Town and 1.95 for Gainsborough Trinity. The models give Leek Town a 35% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Gainsborough Trinity win at 41%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 70% and BTTS at 69%.
Season Statistics
Leek Town—
Gainsborough Trinity19º
Position
4º
0.93
PPG
1.81
20%
Win %
56%
2.00
Goals / game
2.00
2.20
Conceded / game
1.31
87%
BTTS %
60%
13%
Clean sheet %
20%
70%
Over 2.5 %
68%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Leek Town
Home (7)
—
Gainsborough Trinity
Away (7)
1.14
PPG
2.29
29%
Win %
71%
2.00
Goals / game
2.57
1.86
Conceded / game
1.29
100%
BTTS %
91%
0%
Clean sheet %
9%
80%
Over 2.5 %
82%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Leek Town | Home | Away | Gainsborough Trinity | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 100% | 100% | 100% | 76% | 57% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 50% | 50% | 50% | 60% | 50% | 73% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 25% | 30% | 21% | 32% | 29% | 36% |
| Failed To Score | 0% | 0% | 0% | 24% | 43% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Leek Town | Home | Away | Gainsborough Trinity | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 88% | 100% | 79% | 80% | 71% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 50% | 50% | 44% | 43% | 45% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 25% | 10% | 36% | 20% | 29% | 9% |
| Clean Sheets | 13% | 0% | 21% | 20% | 29% | 9% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Leek Town | Gainsborough Trinity | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 96% |
| Over 1.5 | 96% | 92% |
| Over 2.5 | 71% | 68% |
| Over 3.5 | 42% | 36% |
| Over 4.5 | 38% | 24% |
| BTTS | 88% | 60% |
| BTTS & Win | 17% | 28% |
| BTTS & Draw | 33% | 20% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 67% | 48% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 4% | 20% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Leek Town | Gainsborough Trinity | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 38% | 28% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 48% |
| Loss 1st Half | 29% | 24% |
| Scored 1st Half | 71% | 44% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 75% | 44% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 44% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 32% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 33% | 24% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 46% | 64% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 64% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 100% | 68% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 63% | 40% |
Recent Venue Form
Leek Town (H)W
Bootle4–1
Bootle4–1D
Ashton United2–2
Ashton United2–2D
Rylands3–3
Rylands3–3W
Hyde United2–1
Hyde United2–1L
Warrington Town1–2
Warrington Town1–2W
Bamber Bridge4–1
Bamber Bridge4–1Gainsborough Trinity (A)WWarrington Town2–1
Warrington Town2–1W
AFC Emley2–1
AFC Emley2–1W
Whitby Town6–2
Whitby Town6–2D
Bury3–3
Bury3–3D
Leamington1–1
Leamington1–1W
Sherwood Colliery4–2
Sherwood Colliery4–2Head to Head · 4 matches
1
Leek Town
25%
0
Draws
0%
3
Gainsborough Trinity
75%
75%
Over 1.5
3/4
50%
Over 2.5
2/4
0%
Over 3.5
0/4
50%
BTTS
2/4
24/02/26Leek Town
Gainsborough Trinity
2–0Leek Town07/02/26Gainsborough Trinity
Leek Town
1–0Gainsborough Trinity26/04/25Leek Town
Gainsborough Trinity
2–1Leek Town24/08/24Gainsborough Trinity
Leek Town
1–2Gainsborough Trinity| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Redcar Athletic | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | +20 | 35 |
| 2 |  Cleethorpes Town | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | +23 | 33 |
| 3 |  Guiseley AFC | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | +15 | 29 |
| 4 | Gainsborough Trinity | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | +11 | 29 |
| 5 |  Curzon Ashton | 15 | 9 | 1 | 5 | +11 | 28 |
| 6 |  Avro | 15 | 9 | 1 | 5 | +9 | 28 |
| 7 |  Workington | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | +2 | 27 |
| 8 | Rylands | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | +5 | 26 |
| 9 |  Alfreton Town | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | +5 | 23 |
| 10 | Warrington Town | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | +3 | 23 |
| 11 | Bury | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | +12 | 22 |
| 12 |  Lancaster City | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | -9 | 21 |
| 13 | Whitby Town | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | -20 | 19 |
| 14 |  Quorn | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | -5 | 18 |
| 15 | AFC Emley | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | -11 | 17 |
| 16 |  Stockton Town | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | -5 | 15 |
| 17 | Hyde United | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | -15 | 15 |
| 18 | Ashton United | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 14 |
| 19 | Leek Town | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | -3 | 14 |
| 20 |  Ilkeston Town | 16 | 4 | 1 | 11 | -23 | 13 |
| 21 |  United of Manchester | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -6 | 12 |
| 22 | Bamber Bridge | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | -17 | 11 |
Team Insights
Leek Town- ●Leek Town have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Leek Town have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Leek Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 16 matches.
- ●Leek Town have scored in each of their last 16 matches.
- ●Leek Town have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Leek Town have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Leek Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Leek Town have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Leek Town have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Leek Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 away matches.
- ●Leek Town have scored in each of their last 9 away matches.
- ●Leek Town have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Leek Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Leek Town have scored in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Leek Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 9 of their 9 away matches.
- ●Leek Town have scored in 9 of their 9 away matches.
- ●65% of Leek Town's goals conceded were conceded away.
Gainsborough Trinity- ●Gainsborough Trinity have won their last 4 away matches.
- ●Gainsborough Trinity failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Gainsborough Trinity have scored in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Gainsborough Trinity have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Gainsborough Trinity failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 9 home matches.
- ●Gainsborough Trinity failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Gainsborough Trinity have won 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Gainsborough Trinity have scored in 7 of their 7 away matches.
Season Schedule
Leek TownLAGuiseley AFC1–4
Guiseley AFC1–4LACurzon Ashton1–2
Curzon Ashton1–2LABury3–5
Bury3–5WALancaster City2–1
Lancaster City2–1DHAshton United2–2
Ashton United2–2DHRylands3–3
Rylands3–3–HIlkeston Town07/11
Ilkeston Town07/11–AWhitby Town21/11
Whitby Town21/11–HGainsborough Trinity24/11
Gainsborough Trinity24/11Gainsborough TrinityDHBamber Bridge1–1
Bamber Bridge1–1LHCurzon Ashton0–3
Curzon Ashton0–3WAWarrington Town2–1
Warrington Town2–1WHHyde United4–0
Hyde United4–0WHIlkeston Town3–1
Ilkeston Town3–1WAAFC Emley2–1
AFC Emley2–1–ARylands07/11
Rylands07/11–HLancaster City14/11
Lancaster City14/11–AWorkington21/11
Workington21/11Top Scorers
Leek TownJ. Griffiths8 ⚽
C. Heath5 ⚽
A. Hurst4 ⚽
L. Weir4 ⚽
3 ⚽
A. Panter3 ⚽
Gainsborough TrinityC. Brown5 ⚽
O. Ashton4 ⚽
F. Preston4 ⚽
H. Beeden4 ⚽
R. Kokkinos3 ⚽
B. Blythe2 ⚽
Cards Given
Leek TownA. Hurst1 🟨
Gainsborough Trinity