Whitby Town vs Curzon Ashton — Non League Premier - Northern
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Whitby Town and Curzon Ashton meet in the Non League Premier - Northern 2026 season on 17 October 2026. Whitby Town have recorded 4 wins from 11 matches this season (36% win rate), averaging 1.64 goals scored and 2.82 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 55% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 73%; and clean sheets in 9% of games. Curzon Ashton have won 42% of their 12 matches, with 1.67 goals scored and 1.17 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 58%, Over 2.5 at 58%, and clean sheets at 33%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.32 for Whitby Town and 2.10 for Curzon Ashton. The models give Whitby Town a 26% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Curzon Ashton win at 51%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 67% and BTTS at 64%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Whitby Town | Home | Away | Curzon Ashton | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 64% | 60% | 67% | 92% | 86% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 55% | 40% | 67% | 50% | 29% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 18% | 0% | 33% | 17% | 0% | 40% |
| Failed To Score | 36% | 40% | 33% | 8% | 14% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Whitby Town | Home | Away | Curzon Ashton | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 91% | 80% | 100% | 67% | 71% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 73% | 80% | 67% | 42% | 43% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 45% | 60% | 33% | 8% | 0% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 9% | 20% | 0% | 33% | 29% | 40% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Whitby Town | Curzon Ashton | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 | 73% | 58% |
| Over 3.5 | 64% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 | 45% | 8% |
| BTTS | 55% | 58% |
| BTTS & Win | 27% | 8% |
| BTTS & Draw | 9% | 17% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 55% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 18% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Whitby Town | Curzon Ashton | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 9% | 42% |
| Draw 1st Half | 27% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 64% | 25% |
| Scored 1st Half | 18% | 58% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 73% | 42% |
| Win 2nd Half | 36% | 42% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 9% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 55% | 25% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 64% | 58% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 64% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 82% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 55% | 42% |
Recent Venue Form
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | +19 | 22 | |
| 2 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | +12 | 22 | |
| 3 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | +12 | 21 | |
| 4 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +12 | 19 | |
| 5 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 17 | |
| 6 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +11 | 16 | |
| 7 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +8 | 16 | |
| 8 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 16 | |
| 9 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | +2 | 13 | |
| 10 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 13 | |
| 11 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | +5 | 12 | |
| 12 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | -10 | 12 | |
| 13 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 11 | |
| 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 11 | |
| 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -7 | 10 | |
| 16 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 10 | |
| 17 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -10 | 9 | |
| 18 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -15 | 7 | |
| 19 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 6 | |
| 20 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -11 | 6 | |
| 21 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -7 | 5 | |
| 22 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 5 |
Team Insights
- ●Whitby Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Whitby Town have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Whitby Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Whitby Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Whitby Town have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●79% of Whitby Town's goals have been scored away.
- ●75% of Whitby Town's points have been earned away.
- ●Whitby Town have conceded 63% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Curzon Ashton have won their last 4 matches.
- ●Curzon Ashton have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Curzon Ashton have scored in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Curzon Ashton have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Curzon Ashton have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Curzon Ashton have won their last 3 away matches.
- ●Curzon Ashton have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Curzon Ashton have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Curzon Ashton have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Curzon Ashton have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●67% of Curzon Ashton's goals have been scored away.
- ●Curzon Ashton have conceded 60% of their goals in the first half.