Ilkeston Town vs Avro — Non League Premier - Northern
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Ilkeston Town and Avro meet in the Non League Premier - Northern 2026 season on 17 October 2026. Ilkeston Town have recorded 3 wins from 12 matches this season (25% win rate), averaging 1.00 goals scored and 2.33 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 58% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 67%; and clean sheets in 8% of games. Avro have won 67% of their 12 matches, with 2.75 goals scored and 1.92 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 67%, Over 2.5 at 75%, and clean sheets at 17%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.31 for Ilkeston Town and 1.89 for Avro. The models give Ilkeston Town a 26% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Avro win at 50%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 62% and BTTS at 62%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Ilkeston Town | Home | Away | Avro | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 67% | 60% | 71% | 83% | 83% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 17% | 20% | 14% | 67% | 83% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 8% | 20% | 0% | 50% | 67% | 33% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 40% | 29% | 17% | 17% | 17% |
Goals Conceded
| Ilkeston Town | Home | Away | Avro | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 92% | 80% | 100% | 83% | 100% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 67% | 60% | 71% | 58% | 67% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 42% | 20% | 57% | 42% | 50% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 8% | 20% | 0% | 17% | 0% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Ilkeston Town | Avro | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 92% | 92% |
| Over 2.5 | 67% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 | 42% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 | 17% | 50% |
| BTTS | 58% | 67% |
| BTTS & Win | 17% | 50% |
| BTTS & Draw | 8% | 8% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 67% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 17% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Ilkeston Town | Avro | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 17% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 25% | 42% |
| Loss 1st Half | 58% | 25% |
| Scored 1st Half | 25% | 67% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 67% | 67% |
| Win 2nd Half | 25% | 50% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 25% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 50% | 17% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 67% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 75% | 58% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 58% | 58% |
Recent Venue Form
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | +19 | 22 | |
| 2 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | +12 | 22 | |
| 3 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | +12 | 21 | |
| 4 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +12 | 19 | |
| 5 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 17 | |
| 6 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +11 | 16 | |
| 7 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +8 | 16 | |
| 8 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 16 | |
| 9 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | +2 | 13 | |
| 10 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 13 | |
| 11 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | +5 | 12 | |
| 12 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | -10 | 12 | |
| 13 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 11 | |
| 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 11 | |
| 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -7 | 10 | |
| 16 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 10 | |
| 17 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -10 | 9 | |
| 18 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -15 | 7 | |
| 19 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 6 | |
| 20 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -11 | 6 | |
| 21 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -7 | 5 | |
| 22 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 5 |
Team Insights
- ●Ilkeston Town have failed to win in their last 7 matches.
- ●Ilkeston Town have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Ilkeston Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Ilkeston Town have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Ilkeston Town have lost their last 3 home matches.
- ●Ilkeston Town have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Ilkeston Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Ilkeston Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●67% of Ilkeston Town's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Avro have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Avro have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Avro have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Avro have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Avro have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Avro have won their last 3 away matches.
- ●Avro have won 4 of their 5 away matches.