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Bury vs Leek Town — Non League Premier - Northern

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England · Non League Premier - Northern · Regular Season - 14
Bury
Bury
6º · 1.78 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 31d 4h
vs
–
–
Leek Town
Leek Town
19º · 0.67 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 31d 4h
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Bury and Leek Town meet in the Non League Premier - Northern 2026 season on 13 October 2026. Bury have recorded 9 wins from 14 matches this season (64% win rate), averaging 2.57 goals scored and 0.79 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 36% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 64%; and clean sheets in 50% of games. Leek Town have won 21% of their 14 matches, with 1.86 goals scored and 1.57 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 86%, Over 2.5 at 57%, and clean sheets at 14%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.30 for Bury and 1.36 for Leek Town. The models give Bury a 57% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an Leek Town win at 22%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 71% and BTTS at 67%.

Season Statistics

Bury
—
Leek Town
6º
Position
19º
1.78
PPG
0.67
56%
Win %
11%
2.11
Goals / game
1.89
0.89
Conceded / game
2.11
36%
BTTS %
86%
50%
Clean sheet %
14%
64%
Over 2.5 %
57%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

Bury
Home (5)
—
Leek Town
Away (5)
2.40
PPG
0.60
80%
Win %
0%
3.00
Goals / game
2.00
0.60
Conceded / game
2.40
25%
BTTS %
75%
63%
Clean sheet %
25%
75%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

BuryHomeAwayLeek TownHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored79%88%67%100%100%100%
Over 1.5 Scored57%75%33%36%17%50%
Over 2.5 Scored43%75%0%21%17%25%
Failed To Score21%13%33%0%0%0%

Goals Conceded

BuryHomeAwayLeek TownHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded50%38%67%86%100%75%
Over 1.5 Conceded21%13%33%43%50%38%
Over 2.5 Conceded7%0%17%21%0%38%
Clean Sheets50%63%33%14%0%25%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

BuryLeek Town
Over 0.593%100%
Over 1.564%93%
Over 2.564%57%
Over 3.550%36%
Over 4.529%36%
BTTS36%86%
BTTS & Win21%7%
BTTS & Draw0%43%
BTTS & Over 2.536%50%
BTTS No & Over 2.529%7%

1st Half / 2nd Half

BuryLeek Town
Win 1st Half38%43%
Draw 1st Half46%43%
Loss 1st Half15%14%
Scored 1st Half69%86%
Conceded 1st Half38%64%
Win 2nd Half46%14%
Draw 2nd Half31%43%
Loss 2nd Half23%43%
Scored 2nd Half54%29%
Conceded 2nd Half31%57%
Over 0.5 HT77%100%
Over 1.5 HT54%57%

Recent Venue Form

Bury (H)
WAFC Emley4–0
WWythenshawe Amateurs8–0
WIlkeston Town7–0
LLancaster City0–1
WRylands1–0
WCurzon Ashton3–2
Leek Town (A)
LRedcar Athletic2–3
WSporting Khalsa5–0
LWorkington2–3
DAvro4–4
DStockton Town1–1
DUnited of Manchester1–1
Non League Premier - Northern
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Cleethorpes Town9711+1922
2Avro9711+1222
3Redcar Athletic9630+1221
4Guiseley AFC9612+1219
5Warrington Town9522+417
6Bury9513+1116
7Curzon Ashton9513+816
8Workington9513+216
9Gainsborough Trinity9414+213
10Rylands9414-113
11Alfreton Town9405+512
12Whitby Town9405-1012
13Ashton United9324+111
14Hyde United9324-711
15AFC Emley9243-710
16Lancaster City9315-810
17Bamber Bridge9234-109
18Ilkeston Town9216-157
19Leek Town9135-26
20Quorn9135-116
21United of Manchester9126-75
22Stockton Town9126-105

Team Insights

Bury
  • ●Bury have won their last 2 home matches.
  • ●Bury have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
  • ●Bury have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 home matches.
  • ●79% of Bury's goals have been scored at home.
  • ●75% of Bury's points have been earned at home.
  • ●Bury have scored 63% of their goals in the first half.
  • ●Bury have conceded 75% of their goals in the first half.
Leek Town
  • ●Leek Town have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
  • ●Leek Town have lost their last 3 matches.
  • ●Leek Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 matches.
  • ●Leek Town have scored in each of their last 9 matches.
  • ●Leek Town have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
  • ●Leek Town have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
  • ●Leek Town have lost their last 2 away matches.
  • ●Leek Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
  • ●Leek Town have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
  • ●Leek Town have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
  • ●Leek Town have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
  • ●Leek Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●Leek Town have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
BuryBury
WHAFC Emley15º4–0
WHWythenshawe Amateurs8–0
LAHyde United14º1–2
WHIlkeston Town18º7–0
LHLancaster City16º0–1
WAGainsborough Trinity9º1–0
LAGuiseley AFC4º2–3
WHRylands10º1–0
WHCurzon Ashton7º3–2
DARedcar Athletic3º0–0
Leek TownLeek Town
LARedcar Athletic3º2–3
WASporting Khalsa5–0
LHWarrington Town5º1–2
LAWorkington8º2–3
DAAvro2º4–4
WHBamber Bridge17º4–1
LHAFC Emley15º1–2
DAStockton Town22º1–1
DAUnited of Manchester21º1–1
LHWhitby Town12º1–2

Season Schedule

Bury
WHAFC Emley4–0
LAHyde United1–2
WHIlkeston Town7–0
LHLancaster City0–1
WAGainsborough Trinity1–0
LAGuiseley AFC2–3
–HAvro03/10
–AStockton Town06/10
–AAlfreton Town10/10
Leek Town
LARedcar Athletic2–3
LHWarrington Town1–2
LAWorkington2–3
DAAvro4–4
WHBamber Bridge4–1
LHAFC Emley1–2
–HHyde United22/09
–AGuiseley AFC03/10
–HRylands06/10

Top Scorers

Bury
T. Carr6 ⚽
K. Evans4 ⚽
L. Graham2 ⚽
D. Pedro2 ⚽
M. Touray2 ⚽
O. Robinson2 ⚽
Leek Town
J. Griffiths5 ⚽
A. Panter3 ⚽
H. Campbell3 ⚽
3 ⚽
L. Weir2 ⚽
J. Bickerton1 ⚽

Cards Given

Bury
D. Pedro1 🟨
Leek Town
A. Hurst1 🟨