Quorn vs Workington — Non League Premier - Northern
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Quorn and Workington meet in the Non League Premier - Northern 2026 season on 10 October 2026. Quorn have recorded 3 wins from 15 matches this season (20% win rate), averaging 1.40 goals scored and 2.20 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 73% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 73%; and clean sheets in 13% of games. Workington have won 55% of their 11 matches, with 1.82 goals scored and 1.55 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 55%, Over 2.5 at 73%, and clean sheets at 18%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.65 for Quorn and 1.94 for Workington. The models give Quorn a 33% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Workington win at 42%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 69% and BTTS at 69%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Quorn | Home | Away | Workington | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 80% | 75% | 86% | 73% | 83% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 47% | 50% | 43% | 64% | 83% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 13% | 13% | 14% | 45% | 67% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 25% | 14% | 27% | 17% | 40% |
Goals Conceded
| Quorn | Home | Away | Workington | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 87% | 88% | 86% | 82% | 83% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 60% | 63% | 57% | 55% | 50% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 27% | 25% | 29% | 9% | 0% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 13% | 13% | 14% | 18% | 17% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Quorn | Workington | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 87% | 91% |
| Over 2.5 | 73% | 73% |
| Over 3.5 | 53% | 45% |
| Over 4.5 | 27% | 27% |
| BTTS | 73% | 55% |
| BTTS & Win | 13% | 36% |
| BTTS & Draw | 27% | 9% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 67% | 55% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 7% | 18% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Quorn | Workington | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 13% | 36% |
| Draw 1st Half | 47% | 36% |
| Loss 1st Half | 40% | 27% |
| Scored 1st Half | 53% | 45% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 67% | 36% |
| Win 2nd Half | 20% | 45% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 40% | 27% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 40% | 27% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 60% | 64% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 60% | 64% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 80% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 47% | 36% |
Recent Venue Form
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | +19 | 22 | |
| 2 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | +12 | 22 | |
| 3 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | +12 | 21 | |
| 4 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +12 | 19 | |
| 5 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 17 | |
| 6 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +11 | 16 | |
| 7 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +8 | 16 | |
| 8 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 16 | |
| 9 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | +2 | 13 | |
| 10 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 13 | |
| 11 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | +5 | 12 | |
| 12 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | -10 | 12 | |
| 13 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 11 | |
| 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 11 | |
| 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -7 | 10 | |
| 16 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 10 | |
| 17 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -10 | 9 | |
| 18 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -15 | 7 | |
| 19 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 6 | |
| 20 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -11 | 6 | |
| 21 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -7 | 5 | |
| 22 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 5 |
Team Insights
- ●Quorn have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Quorn have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Quorn failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●67% of Quorn's points have been earned away.
- ●Workington have won their last 5 matches.
- ●Workington have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Workington have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Workington have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Workington failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Workington have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Workington have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Workington failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●65% of Workington's goals have been scored at home.