Leek Town vs Ashton United — Non League Premier - Northern
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Leek Town and Ashton United meet in the Non League Premier - Northern 2026 season on 10 October 2026. Leek Town have recorded 3 wins from 14 matches this season (21% win rate), averaging 1.86 goals scored and 1.57 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 86% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 57%; and clean sheets in 14% of games. Ashton United have won 38% of their 13 matches, with 1.54 goals scored and 1.23 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 54%, Over 2.5 at 38%, and clean sheets at 15%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.51 for Leek Town and 1.35 for Ashton United. The models give Leek Town a 43% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Ashton United win at 31%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 54% and BTTS at 58%.
Season Statistics
Leek Town—
Ashton United19º
Position
13º
0.67
PPG
1.22
11%
Win %
33%
1.89
Goals / game
1.11
2.11
Conceded / game
1.00
86%
BTTS %
54%
14%
Clean sheet %
15%
57%
Over 2.5 %
38%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Leek Town
Home (4)
—
Ashton United
Away (4)
0.75
PPG
1.00
25%
Win %
25%
1.75
Goals / game
0.50
1.75
Conceded / game
1.00
100%
BTTS %
43%
0%
Clean sheet %
14%
67%
Over 2.5 %
29%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Leek Town | Home | Away | Ashton United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 100% | 100% | 100% | 69% | 83% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 36% | 17% | 50% | 31% | 33% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 21% | 17% | 25% | 23% | 17% | 29% |
| Failed To Score | 0% | 0% | 0% | 31% | 17% | 43% |
Goals Conceded
| Leek Town | Home | Away | Ashton United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 86% | 100% | 75% | 85% | 83% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 43% | 50% | 38% | 38% | 33% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 21% | 0% | 38% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 14% | 0% | 25% | 15% | 17% | 14% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Leek Town | Ashton United | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 93% | 69% |
| Over 2.5 | 57% | 38% |
| Over 3.5 | 36% | 23% |
| Over 4.5 | 36% | 23% |
| BTTS | 86% | 54% |
| BTTS & Win | 7% | 23% |
| BTTS & Draw | 43% | 15% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 38% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 7% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Leek Town | Ashton United | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 43% | 23% |
| Draw 1st Half | 43% | 54% |
| Loss 1st Half | 14% | 23% |
| Scored 1st Half | 86% | 38% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 64% | 38% |
| Win 2nd Half | 14% | 38% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 43% | 31% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 43% | 31% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 29% | 54% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 57% | 54% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 100% | 62% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 57% | 46% |
Recent Venue Form
Leek Town (H)L
Warrington Town1–2
Warrington Town1–2W
Bamber Bridge4–1
Bamber Bridge4–1L
AFC Emley1–2
AFC Emley1–2L
Whitby Town1–2
Whitby Town1–2D
Runcorn Linnets1–1
Runcorn Linnets1–1D
Macclesfield1–1
Macclesfield1–1Ashton United (A)WWhitby Town5–2
Whitby Town5–2L
Curzon Ashton0–2
Curzon Ashton0–2DAFC Emley1–1
AFC Emley1–1LBamber Bridge0–1
Bamber Bridge0–1W
Stockton Town1–0
Stockton Town1–0WRuncorn Linnets4–2
Runcorn Linnets4–2Head to Head · 4 matches
3
Leek Town
75%
0
Draws
0%
1
Ashton United
25%
50%
Over 1.5
2/4
25%
Over 2.5
1/4
25%
Over 3.5
1/4
25%
BTTS
1/4
07/03/26Leek Town
Ashton United
0–1Leek Town11/11/25Ashton United
Leek Town
2–0Ashton United22/03/25Ashton United
Leek Town
3–1Ashton United16/11/24Leek Town
Ashton United
1–0Leek Town| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Cleethorpes Town | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | +19 | 22 |
| 2 |  Avro | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | +12 | 22 |
| 3 |  Redcar Athletic | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | +12 | 21 |
| 4 |  Guiseley AFC | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +12 | 19 |
| 5 | Warrington Town | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 17 |
| 6 |  Bury | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +11 | 16 |
| 7 | Curzon Ashton | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +8 | 16 |
| 8 |  Workington | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 16 |
| 9 |  Gainsborough Trinity | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | +2 | 13 |
| 10 |  Rylands | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 13 |
| 11 |  Alfreton Town | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | +5 | 12 |
| 12 | Whitby Town | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | -10 | 12 |
| 13 | Ashton United | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 11 |
| 14 |  Hyde United | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 11 |
| 15 | AFC Emley | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -7 | 10 |
| 16 |  Lancaster City | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 10 |
| 17 | Bamber Bridge | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -10 | 9 |
| 18 |  Ilkeston Town | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -15 | 7 |
| 19 | Leek Town | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 6 |
| 20 |  Quorn | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -11 | 6 |
| 21 |  United of Manchester | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -7 | 5 |
| 22 | Stockton Town | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 5 |
Team Insights
Leek Town- ●Leek Town have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Leek Town have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Leek Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Leek Town have scored in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Leek Town have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Leek Town have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Leek Town have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Leek Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Leek Town have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Leek Town have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Leek Town have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Leek Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Leek Town have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
Ashton United- ●Ashton United have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Ashton United have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Ashton United failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Ashton United failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●80% of Ashton United's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Ashton United have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Leek TownLARedcar Athletic2–3
Redcar Athletic2–3LHWarrington Town1–2
Warrington Town1–2LAWorkington2–3
Workington2–3DAAvro4–4
Avro4–4WHBamber Bridge4–1
Bamber Bridge4–1LHAFC Emley1–2
AFC Emley1–2–HHyde United22/09
Hyde United22/09–AGuiseley AFC03/10
Guiseley AFC03/10–HRylands06/10
Rylands06/10Ashton UnitedLHCleethorpes Town0–1
Cleethorpes Town0–1LACurzon Ashton0–2
Curzon Ashton0–2LHGainsborough Trinity1–2
Gainsborough Trinity1–2DHIlkeston Town1–1
Ilkeston Town1–1DAAFC Emley1–1
AFC Emley1–1WHWhitby Town2–0
Whitby Town2–0–HWarrington Town03/10
Warrington Town03/10–AQuorn06/10
Quorn06/10–ALeek Town10/10
Leek Town10/10Top Scorers
Leek TownJ. Griffiths5 ⚽
A. Panter3 ⚽
H. Campbell3 ⚽
3 ⚽
L. Weir2 ⚽
J. Bickerton1 ⚽
Ashton UnitedJ. Hardy2 ⚽
D. Turner2 ⚽
K. Willoughby2 ⚽
R. Kendall1 ⚽
D. Coghill1 ⚽
Trialist F1 ⚽
Cards Given
Leek TownA. Hurst1 🟨
Ashton UnitedC. Spooner1 🟨