Welling United vs Leatherhead — Non League Premier - Isthmian
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Welling United and Leatherhead meet in the Non League Premier - Isthmian 2026 season on 27 October 2026. Welling United have recorded 11 wins from 20 matches this season (55% win rate), averaging 1.80 goals scored and 1.55 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 55% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 60%; and clean sheets in 35% of games. Leatherhead have won 40% of their 20 matches, with 1.80 goals scored and 1.75 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 70%, Over 2.5 at 75%, and clean sheets at 25%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.99 for Welling United and 1.22 for Leatherhead. The models give Welling United a 55% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Leatherhead win at 22%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 62% and BTTS at 61%.
Season Statistics
Welling United—
Leatherhead2º
Position
13º
2.08
PPG
1.36
69%
Win %
36%
2.00
Goals / game
1.64
1.15
Conceded / game
1.82
55%
BTTS %
70%
35%
Clean sheet %
25%
60%
Over 2.5 %
75%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Welling United
Home (7)
—
Leatherhead
Away (6)
3.00
PPG
1.83
100%
Win %
50%
2.57
Goals / game
1.67
0.43
Conceded / game
1.67
50%
BTTS %
63%
50%
Clean sheet %
25%
60%
Over 2.5 %
75%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Welling United | Home | Away | Leatherhead | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 90% | 100% | 80% | 90% | 92% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 50% | 80% | 20% | 60% | 58% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 25% | 40% | 10% | 25% | 33% | 13% |
| Failed To Score | 10% | 0% | 20% | 10% | 8% | 13% |
Goals Conceded
| Welling United | Home | Away | Leatherhead | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 65% | 50% | 80% | 75% | 75% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 45% | 30% | 60% | 55% | 58% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 25% | 0% | 50% | 30% | 25% | 38% |
| Clean Sheets | 35% | 50% | 20% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Welling United | Leatherhead | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 | 50% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 | 40% | 35% |
| BTTS | 55% | 70% |
| BTTS & Win | 20% | 20% |
| BTTS & Draw | 10% | 30% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 65% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 10% | 10% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Welling United | Leatherhead | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 40% | 20% |
| Draw 1st Half | 35% | 45% |
| Loss 1st Half | 25% | 35% |
| Scored 1st Half | 60% | 45% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 45% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 45% | 45% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 30% | 25% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 25% | 30% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 70% | 80% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 85% | 65% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 30% | 35% |
Recent Venue Form
Welling United (H)W
Burgess Hill Town4–2
Burgess Hill Town4–2W
Whyteleafe1–0
Whyteleafe1–0D
Chertsey Town2–2
Chertsey Town2–2W
Cheshunt2–0
Cheshunt2–0W
Wingate & Finchley4–1
Wingate & Finchley4–1W
Faversham Town2–1
Faversham Town2–1Leatherhead (A)L
Yeovil Town2–5
Yeovil Town2–5L
Chatham Town0–3
Chatham Town0–3D
Three Bridges3–3
Three Bridges3–3W
Kingstonian1–0
Kingstonian1–0W
Aveley2–1
Aveley2–1W
Eastbourne Borough1–0
Eastbourne Borough1–0Head to Head · 1 matches
0
Welling United
0%
0
Draws
0%
1
Leatherhead
100%
100%
Over 1.5
1/1
100%
Over 2.5
1/1
100%
Over 3.5
1/1
100%
BTTS
1/1
11/08/26Welling United
Leatherhead
4–1Welling United| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Enfield Town | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | +17 | 28 |
| 2 | Welling United | 13 | 9 | 0 | 4 | +11 | 27 |
| 3 |  Lewes | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | +6 | 26 |
| 4 | Chatham Town | 13 | 8 | 0 | 5 | +13 | 24 |
| 5 |  Dartford | 13 | 8 | 0 | 5 | +2 | 24 |
| 6 |  Ramsgate | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | +12 | 22 |
| 7 | Eastbourne Borough | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | +10 | 22 |
| 8 |  Carshalton Athletic | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | -5 | 22 |
| 9 | Burgess Hill Town | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | +6 | 20 |
| 10 | Wingate & Finchley | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 20 |
| 11 |  Dulwich Hamlet | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 18 |
| 12 |  St Albans City | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +5 | 17 |
| 13 | Leatherhead | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 15 |
| 14 | Whyteleafe | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -3 | 15 |
| 15 | Cheshunt | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | -6 | 15 |
| 16 | Aveley | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | -1 | 14 |
| 17 |  Maldon & Tiptree | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | -17 | 14 |
| 18 |  Cray Wanderers | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +5 | 12 |
| 19 |  Brentwood Town | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | -1 | 12 |
| 20 | Three Bridges | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -13 | 9 |
| 21 |  Stanway Rovers | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | -20 | 7 |
| 22 |  Whitehawk | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | -20 | 6 |
Team Insights
Welling United- ●Welling United have won their last 7 home matches.
- ●Welling United have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Welling United have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Welling United have kept a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Welling United have scored in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Welling United have lost 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Welling United have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●69% of Welling United's goals have been scored at home.
- ●80% of Welling United's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●78% of Welling United's points have been earned at home.
Leatherhead- ●Leatherhead have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Leatherhead have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Leatherhead have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Leatherhead failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Leatherhead failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Leatherhead have won 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Leatherhead have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●73% of Leatherhead's points have been earned away.
Season Schedule
Welling UnitedLAChatham Town2–3
Chatham Town2–3WHBurgess Hill Town4–2
Burgess Hill Town4–2LAEastbourne Borough0–1
Eastbourne Borough0–1WAMaldon & Tiptree1–0
Maldon & Tiptree1–0WHWhyteleafe1–0
Whyteleafe1–0WHCheshunt2–0
Cheshunt2–0–HLeatherhead27/10
Leatherhead27/10–HCarshalton Athletic31/10
Carshalton Athletic31/10–ASt Albans City07/11
St Albans City07/11LeatherheadLHCheshunt1–2
Cheshunt1–2LAChatham Town0–3
Chatham Town0–3DAThree Bridges3–3
Three Bridges3–3DHWhyteleafe0–0
Whyteleafe0–0WAAveley2–1
Aveley2–1LHDulwich Hamlet2–3
Dulwich Hamlet2–3–AWelling United27/10
Welling United27/10–HStanway Rovers31/10
Stanway Rovers31/10–ABrentwood Town03/11
Brentwood Town03/11Top Scorers
Welling UnitedN. Melvin-Lambert7 ⚽
D. Anyadike3 ⚽
F. Shomotun3 ⚽
R. Kingsford3 ⚽
3 ⚽
A. Azeez2 ⚽
LeatherheadA. Igozouln7 ⚽
T. Dryer3 ⚽
N. Hogan3 ⚽
Mark Waters2 ⚽
K. Anokye-Boadi2 ⚽
M. Waters2 ⚽
Cards Given
Welling UnitedL. Majoyegbe2 🟨
Leatherhead