Burgess Hill Town vs Aveley — Non League Premier - Isthmian
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Burgess Hill Town and Aveley meet in the Non League Premier - Isthmian 2026 season on 10 October 2026. Burgess Hill Town have recorded 3 wins from 10 matches this season (30% win rate), averaging 1.30 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 60% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 20% of games. Aveley have won 47% of their 17 matches, with 2.47 goals scored and 2.29 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 76%, Over 2.5 at 82%, and clean sheets at 6%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.69 for Burgess Hill Town and 1.63 for Aveley. The models give Burgess Hill Town a 41% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Aveley win at 35%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 65% and BTTS at 66%.
Season Statistics
Burgess Hill Town—
Aveley13º
Position
11º
1.43
PPG
1.43
29%
Win %
43%
1.57
Goals / game
1.86
1.29
Conceded / game
1.43
60%
BTTS %
76%
20%
Clean sheet %
6%
50%
Over 2.5 %
82%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Burgess Hill Town
Home (4)
—
Aveley
Away (3)
2.00
PPG
2.00
50%
Win %
67%
2.25
Goals / game
2.33
1.25
Conceded / game
0.67
67%
BTTS %
50%
33%
Clean sheet %
17%
83%
Over 2.5 %
67%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Burgess Hill | Home | Away | Aveley | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 70% | 83% | 50% | 82% | 91% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 50% | 83% | 0% | 71% | 73% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 10% | 17% | 0% | 53% | 55% | 50% |
| Failed To Score | 30% | 17% | 50% | 18% | 9% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Burgess Hill | Home | Away | Aveley | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 80% | 67% | 100% | 94% | 100% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 30% | 33% | 25% | 71% | 100% | 17% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 29% | 36% | 17% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 33% | 0% | 6% | 0% | 17% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Burgess Hill | Aveley | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 94% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 82% |
| Over 3.5 | 20% | 76% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 65% |
| BTTS | 60% | 76% |
| BTTS & Win | 20% | 41% |
| BTTS & Draw | 40% | 6% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 40% | 76% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 10% | 6% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Burgess Hill | Aveley | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 30% | 24% |
| Draw 1st Half | 40% | 24% |
| Loss 1st Half | 30% | 53% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 71% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 71% |
| Win 2nd Half | 30% | 59% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 40% | 12% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 30% | 29% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 76% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 60% | 65% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 80% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 30% | 65% |
Recent Venue Form
Burgess Hill (H)D
Ramsgate2–2
Ramsgate2–2D
Jersey Bulls0–0
Jersey Bulls0–0W
Dartford2–1
Dartford2–1D
Leatherhead2–2
Leatherhead2–2W
Whyteleafe3–0
Whyteleafe3–0W
Sevenoaks Town2–1
Sevenoaks Town2–1Aveley (A)W
Stanway Rovers2–0
Stanway Rovers2–0W
Three Bridges5–1
Three Bridges5–1L
Maldon & Tiptree0–1
Maldon & Tiptree0–1L
Southend0–4
Southend0–4W
Canvey Island4–1
Canvey Island4–1W
Brightlingsea Regent5–1
Brightlingsea Regent5–1Head to Head · 4 matches
2
Burgess Hill
50%
1
Draws
25%
1
Aveley
25%
75%
Over 1.5
3/4
50%
Over 2.5
2/4
50%
Over 3.5
2/4
50%
BTTS
2/4
20/12/25Aveley
Burgess Hill Town
2–5Aveley15/08/25Burgess Hill Town
Aveley
3–3Burgess Hill Town28/10/17Aveley
Burgess Hill Town
2–0Aveley18/10/14Aveley
Burgess Hill Town
1–0Aveley| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Enfield Town | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | +14 | 18 |
| 2 |  Welling United | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | +7 | 15 |
| 3 |  Carshalton Athletic | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | +4 | 15 |
| 4 | Dartford | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | +3 | 15 |
| 5 |  Dulwich Hamlet | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +7 | 13 |
| 6 |  St Albans City | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 13 |
| 7 | Leatherhead | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 13 |
| 8 |  Lewes | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 13 |
| 9 |  Chatham Town | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | +4 | 12 |
| 10 | Ramsgate | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +7 | 10 |
| 11 | Aveley | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 10 |
| 12 |  Eastbourne Borough | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 10 |
| 13 | Burgess Hill Town | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +2 | 10 |
| 14 | Maldon & Tiptree | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 9 |
| 15 |  Cray Wanderers | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 8 |
| 16 |  Wingate & Finchley | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -6 | 8 |
| 17 |  Cheshunt | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -5 | 5 |
| 18 | Whyteleafe | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 5 |
| 19 | Three Bridges | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -11 | 4 |
| 20 |  Brentwood Town | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 3 |
| 21 |  Whitehawk | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -11 | 2 |
| 22 | Stanway Rovers | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -16 | 1 |
Team Insights
Burgess Hill- ●Burgess Hill Town have been undefeated in their last 6 matches.
- ●Burgess Hill Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Burgess Hill Town have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Burgess Hill Town have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Burgess Hill Town have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●82% of Burgess Hill Town's goals have been scored at home.
- ●80% of Burgess Hill Town's points have been earned at home.
- ●Burgess Hill Town have scored 55% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Burgess Hill Town have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
Aveley- ●Aveley have lost their last 3 home matches.
- ●Aveley failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Aveley have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Aveley failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●86% of Aveley's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●60% of Aveley's points have been earned away.
Season Schedule
Burgess HillDHRamsgate2–2
Ramsgate2–2DAWhitehawk1–1
Whitehawk1–1WHDartford2–1
Dartford2–1DACheshunt1–1
Cheshunt1–1DHLeatherhead2–2
Leatherhead2–2WHWhyteleafe3–0
Whyteleafe3–0–HMaldon & Tiptree03/10
Maldon & Tiptree03/10–AWingate & Finchley06/10
Wingate & Finchley06/10–HAveley10/10
Aveley10/10AveleyLHWingate & Finchley3–4
Wingate & Finchley3–4LHLeatherhead1–2
Leatherhead1–2WAStanway Rovers2–0
Stanway Rovers2–0LHLewes0–2
Lewes0–2WAThree Bridges5–1
Three Bridges5–1WHWhitehawk3–2
Whitehawk3–2–ADulwich Hamlet29/09
Dulwich Hamlet29/09–HSt Albans City03/10
St Albans City03/10–ACheshunt06/10
Cheshunt06/10Top Scorers
Burgess HillC. Whelpdale6 ⚽
B. Pope2 ⚽
K. Rowe2 ⚽
G. Vorster1 ⚽
L. Oliva1 ⚽
S. Fenelon1 ⚽
AveleyT. Aromolaran6 ⚽
O. Peters5 ⚽
J. Gipson4 ⚽
M. Booth3 ⚽
C. Harris3 ⚽
J. Robinson2 ⚽
Cards Given
Burgess HillAveleyC. Harris1 🟨
R. Henshaw1 🟨