Maldon & Tiptree vs Welling United — Non League Premier - Isthmian
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Maldon & Tiptree and Welling United meet in the Non League Premier - Isthmian 2026 season on 6 October 2026. Maldon & Tiptree have recorded 3 wins from 6 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.67 goals scored and 2.83 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 67% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 83%; and clean sheets in 17% of games. Welling United have won 58% of their 12 matches, with 1.92 goals scored and 1.58 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 58%, Over 2.5 at 67%, and clean sheets at 33%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.09 for Maldon & Tiptree and 1.36 for Welling United. The models give Maldon & Tiptree a 51% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Welling United win at 26%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 67% and BTTS at 65%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Maldon & | Home | Away | Welling United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 83% | 100% | 67% | 92% | 100% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 33% | 33% | 33% | 50% | 83% | 17% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 33% | 33% | 33% | 33% | 50% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 17% | 0% | 33% | 8% | 0% | 17% |
Goals Conceded
| Maldon & | Home | Away | Welling United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 83% | 67% | 100% | 67% | 50% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 67% | 67% | 67% | 42% | 17% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 33% | 0% | 67% | 25% | 0% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 17% | 33% | 0% | 33% | 50% | 17% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Maldon & | Welling United | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 83% | 92% |
| Over 2.5 | 83% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 | 67% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 | 67% | 42% |
| BTTS | 67% | 58% |
| BTTS & Win | 33% | 25% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 8% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 67% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 17% | 17% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Maldon & | Welling United | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 17% | 42% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 50% | 25% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 67% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 67% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 50% | 50% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 0% | 25% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 50% | 25% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 67% | 67% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 67% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 83% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 67% | 42% |
Recent Venue Form
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | +14 | 18 | |
| 2 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | +7 | 15 | |
| 3 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | +4 | 15 | |
| 4 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | +3 | 15 | |
| 5 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +7 | 13 | |
| 6 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 13 | |
| 7 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 13 | |
| 8 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 13 | |
| 9 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | +4 | 12 | |
| 10 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +7 | 10 | |
| 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 10 | |
| 12 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 10 | |
| 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +2 | 10 | |
| 14 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 9 | |
| 15 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 8 | |
| 16 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -6 | 8 | |
| 17 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -5 | 5 | |
| 18 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 5 | |
| 19 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -11 | 4 | |
| 20 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 3 | |
| 21 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -11 | 2 | |
| 22 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -16 | 1 |
Team Insights
- ●Maldon & Tiptree have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Maldon & Tiptree have conceded 73% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Welling United have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Welling United have won their last 4 home matches.
- ●Welling United have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●69% of Welling United's goals have been scored at home.
- ●89% of Welling United's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●80% of Welling United's points have been earned at home.
- ●Welling United have conceded 67% of their goals in the first half.