ESMTK vs Csepel — NB III - Southeast
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ESMTK and Csepel meet in the NB III - Southeast 2026 season on 22 November 2026. ESMTK have recorded 11 wins from 15 matches this season (73% win rate), averaging 3.07 goals scored and 0.87 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 53% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 87%; and clean sheets in 47% of games. Csepel have won 44% of their 16 matches, with 2.06 goals scored and 1.31 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 63%, Over 2.5 at 56%, and clean sheets at 19%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.24 for ESMTK and 1.07 for Csepel. The models give ESMTK a 64% win probability, with a draw at 21% and an Csepel win at 16%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 64% and BTTS at 59%.
Season Statistics
ESMTK—
Csepel2º
Position
5º
2.25
PPG
1.54
67%
Win %
38%
2.75
Goals / game
2.08
1.00
Conceded / game
1.54
53%
BTTS %
63%
47%
Clean sheet %
19%
87%
Over 2.5 %
56%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
ESMTK
Home (6)
—
Csepel
Away (7)
2.67
PPG
1.14
83%
Win %
29%
3.00
Goals / game
1.29
0.50
Conceded / game
1.71
29%
BTTS %
40%
71%
Clean sheet %
30%
86%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| ESMTK | Home | Away | Csepel | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 100% | 100% | 100% | 69% | 100% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 87% | 100% | 75% | 50% | 67% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 67% | 57% | 75% | 38% | 33% | 40% |
| Failed To Score | 0% | 0% | 0% | 31% | 0% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| ESMTK | Home | Away | Csepel | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 53% | 29% | 75% | 81% | 100% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 27% | 14% | 38% | 25% | 33% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 7% | 0% | 13% | 6% | 0% | 10% |
| Clean Sheets | 47% | 71% | 25% | 19% | 0% | 30% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| ESMTK | Csepel | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 81% |
| Over 2.5 | 87% | 56% |
| Over 3.5 | 40% | 44% |
| Over 4.5 | 33% | 25% |
| BTTS | 53% | 63% |
| BTTS & Win | 27% | 38% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 25% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 47% | 44% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 40% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| ESMTK | Csepel | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 60% | 38% |
| Draw 1st Half | 27% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 13% | 13% |
| Scored 1st Half | 93% | 56% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 40% | 44% |
| Win 2nd Half | 80% | 44% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 13% | 25% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 7% | 31% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 87% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 33% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 100% | 69% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 73% | 50% |
Recent Venue Form
ESMTK (H)W
Honvéd II3–0
Honvéd II3–0W
Dabas6–0
Dabas6–0W
Vasas II2–0
Vasas II2–0W
Sándorfalva3–0
Sándorfalva3–0D
Hódmezővásárhely2–2
Hódmezővásárhely2–2W
Monori Se2–1
Monori Se2–1Csepel (A)WHonvéd II3–1
Honvéd II3–1LDabas0–1
Dabas0–1LVasas II0–6
Vasas II0–6W
Villány3–1
Villány3–1WSándorfalva5–1
Sándorfalva5–1W
Csepel UFC3–0
Csepel UFC3–0Head to Head · 3 matches
0
ESMTK
0%
0
Draws
0%
3
Csepel
100%
100%
Over 1.5
3/3
67%
Over 2.5
2/3
0%
Over 3.5
0/3
67%
BTTS
2/3
12/08/26ESMTK
Csepel
2–1ESMTK23/11/25Csepel
ESMTK
1–2Csepel06/08/25ESMTK
Csepel
2–0ESMTK| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Gyulai Termál | 13 | 13 | 0 | 0 | +34 | 39 |
| 2 | ESMTK | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | +21 | 27 |
| 3 |  III. Kerületi TUE | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | +10 | 26 |
| 4 |  Szeged-Csanád II | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | +8 | 23 |
| 5 | Csepel | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | +7 | 20 |
| 6 | Vasas II | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | +11 | 19 |
| 7 |  Újpest II | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | +10 | 19 |
| 8 | Monori Se | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | -1 | 15 |
| 9 | Dabas | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -12 | 15 |
| 10 |  Bekescsaba 1912 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 14 |
| 11 |  Szolnoki MAV FC | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -3 | 14 |
| 12 | Honvéd II | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -2 | 12 |
| 13 | Sándorfalva | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -22 | 11 |
| 14 | Hódmezővásárhely | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | -12 | 9 |
| 15 |  BKV Előre | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -28 | 8 |
| 16 |  Szegedi VSE | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | -21 | 6 |
Team Insights
ESMTK- ●ESMTK have won their last 4 matches.
- ●ESMTK have scored in each of their last 12 matches.
- ●ESMTK have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●ESMTK have won their last 4 home matches.
- ●ESMTK have kept a clean sheet in their last 4 home matches.
- ●ESMTK have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●ESMTK have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●ESMTK have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●ESMTK have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●ESMTK have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●ESMTK failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●ESMTK have won 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●ESMTK have scored in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●75% of ESMTK's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●ESMTK have scored 55% of their goals in the first half.
- ●ESMTK have conceded 58% of their goals in the first half.
Csepel- ●Csepel have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Csepel failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 11 matches.
- ●Csepel have been undefeated in their last 6 home matches.
- ●Csepel failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Csepel have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Csepel failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Csepel failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Csepel have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Csepel failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●67% of Csepel's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
ESMTKWASzolnoki MAV FC3–2
Szolnoki MAV FC3–2WHHonvéd II3–0
Honvéd II3–0WASzegedi VSE4–1
Szegedi VSE4–1WHDabas6–0
Dabas6–0DASzeged-Csanád II1–1
Szeged-Csanád II1–1WHVasas II2–0
Vasas II2–0–HÚjpest II25/10
Újpest II25/10–AGyulai Termál31/10
Gyulai Termál31/10–HIII. Kerületi TUE08/11
III. Kerületi TUE08/11CsepelWHSzolnoki MAV FC3–2
Szolnoki MAV FC3–2WAHonvéd II3–1
Honvéd II3–1DHSzegedi VSE1–1
Szegedi VSE1–1LADabas0–1
Dabas0–1DHSzeged-Csanád II1–1
Szeged-Csanád II1–1LAVasas II0–6
Vasas II0–6–AÚjpest II01/11
Újpest II01/11–HGyulai Termál07/11
Gyulai Termál07/11–HIII. Kerületi TUE15/11
III. Kerületi TUE15/11Top Scorers
ESMTKM. Balogh12 ⚽
J. Molnar9 ⚽
A. Burzi7 ⚽
P. Hegyi4 ⚽
3 ⚽
M. Kovacs2 ⚽
CsepelB. Bogdan9 ⚽
P. Ignacz4 ⚽
L. Szucs4 ⚽
D. Turi4 ⚽
3 ⚽
M. Giuliani2 ⚽
Cards Given
ESMTKD. Arday1 🟨
Csepel